Banks Collapsing?! What’s Next? – Plus ENCORE episode with Financial Advisor Michael Kitces
There are massive rapid changes happening in the financial world.
First Republic Bank collapsed and JPMorgan Chase acquired it.
The Fed raised interest rates by yet another quarter of a percentage point, the 10th consecutive rate hike,
but they've hinted that there might not be an 11th.
The jobs report is still strong despite the high profile layoffs.
Inflation is hovering around 4%, which is a huge improvement but still double the target rate.
And the market is as volatile as ever.
What does all of this mean for you?
How can we make sense of this cacophony separate the noise from the signal and understand what to do with this information?
We're going to chat about that today.
Welcome to the Afford Anything podcast.
The show that understands you can afford anything but not everything.
Every choice that you make is a trade-off against something else and that doesn't just apply to your money.
That applies to any limited resource you need to manage your time, your focus, your energy.
So, what matters most and how do you make decisions accordingly?
Those are the big picture questions that this podcast explores.
In today's episode, we're going to do something a little bit different than what we normally do.
I'm recording this on Thursday, May 4, 2023.
We are going to talk about the current market, the current financial and economic environment.
We're going to talk about that for the first 10 minutes.
After that, we will replay an interview with acclaimed financial advisor Michael Kitzis.
Whether you're a longtime listener or new to the show, welcome.
I'm your host, Paula Pant, and let's start by talking about the banking collapse.
What are the key points you should know and how does this affect you?
Now, first of all, the collapse of First Republic Bank was the big story of the week.
For those of you who are or were, First Republic Bank customers rest assured that your deposits
are fine. You're effectively a JP Morgan Chase customer now.
Second, although the First Republic collapse came on the heels of the breakdown of both
Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the overall banking sector, particularly the big
national banks, are stable. The weaknesses that we have seen in the system have impacted
regional banks, primarily the regional banks that serve high net worth individuals and
companies based in high cost of living coastal cities. First Republic Bank had branches that
were concentrated in high cost coastal areas. Silicon Valley Bank obviously serves its namesake
area, or it used to. Now, seeing these regional banks collapse has caused a crisis in public
confidence in particularly regional banks. There is an index called the KBW Index, which
is essentially an index fund that tracks banking stocks. It includes 24 publicly traded banks,
including regional banks. That index fund right now is in the toilet. It suffered huge losses.
This week, it also of course dropped substantially in mid-March after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed.
In addition to that index fund, there are of course stocks for specific individual banks
that have dropped by as much as 20%. To the extent granted, the stock market does not
necessarily reflect public opinion, but to the extent that we can use what's happening in the
markets as a proxy for general sentiment, the KBW Index would indicate that people are pretty
shaken. In addition to that, the net outflow of deposits from banks that started again in
mid-March when Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, there's a net outflow. More people are shifting to money
market funds. That's been the unexpected winner. Money market funds have seen a
boom, a huge inflow since all of this started. Now, at the macro level, policy makers are going
to have their public debates about systematically what to do from here. Should the FDIC increase
the stated amount that it covers? Should smaller regional banks in particular be held to the
same set of regulations that the big banks are? What about shadow banks? Where do they fall
into the picture? So at the macro level, you hear people talk about these questions, but at the
individual level, you, what should you do? How do you protect and preserve your own money in the
face of all of this? Well, number one, rest assured that in all three of these banking collapses,
depositors, people like you and me, have been protected. Number two, however, it is wise to make sure
that your deposits at any one given institution or in any, especially in any single member account
stay under the 250,000 FDIC limit. Now, most people who are listening to this are like,
yeah, great. Thanks, Paula. Why would I have $250,000 just sitting in a account? But if you are a small
business owner, it's entirely likely that you would have more than that 250k. You would have
uninsured deposits because as a small business owner, that's payroll. Those are your operating
expenses. Likewise, if you're a real estate investor, maybe you did a cash out refi on one of your
properties, and now you've got that money sitting in an account while you're trying to figure out
which property you want to buy next. So for many entrepreneurs, many investors, even small-scale
mom and pop operations, it's entirely reasonable that you have deposits that are in excess of what
the FDIC would ensure. And I think if there is a takeaway from watching this, it's that if you are
dealing with accounts that have such large numbers, it is probably a good idea to spread that money
among different institutions. Not because I think that anything is going to happen. I think the
worst of it is behind us for this chapter, but simply as a matter of diligence and protocol.
But for anyone listening who is not an entrepreneur, is not a real estate investor, or maybe you've
just started, you're in the initial phases of your side hustle, things haven't quite taken off yet.
For anyone who's listening who has accounts with fewer zeros at the end, there's no reason for
anxiety. Now, one thing that's interesting about this banking collapse is that we're seeing more
consolidation in the banking sector. We're seeing big banks get bigger. Under normal circumstances,
regulations prohibit any one bank from holding more than 10% of the total number of deposits
across the nation. But these are not normal circumstances. We've seen this happen before.
We've seen this happen in 2008. In March 2008, JP Morgan Chase acquired Bear Stearns,
which was one of the biggest global investment banks. Six months later, in September 2008,
JP Morgan Chase, which is headed by Jamie Diamond, bought Washington Mutual, WAMU,
which was the biggest savings and loan association in the US at the time.
Similar to First Republic, WAMU was also seized by the FDIC. So fast forward to last week,
and I actually have a personal story about this. So last Thursday, April 27, I was lucky enough
to be one of 12 people who was invited to have dinner with Jamie Diamond, the chairman and CEO of
JP Morgan Chase. So that was exactly one week ago. The 12 of us who were having dinner with him
are the people associated with the business and economics journalism fellowship that I'm
part of this year. It's called the Night Badget Fellowship at Columbia University.
I'm eliminated in what I can tell you about that dinner, but I can say three things.
One, I can tell you that for weeks prior to the dinner, we, meaning every single fellow fellow,
all of my fellow Night Badget fellows, we took very seriously the task of thinking about what
questions we wanted to ask. So that's one of three things I can tell you. The second is that
I can tell you we had plenty of opportunity to ask whatever we wanted. And the third thing
that I can tell you is that I was pleasantly surprised and impressed by his openness and his
frankness. That dinner, and I posted photos from that dinner on Instagram. I'm on Instagram at
Paula. Oh, it was in my Insta stories. Oh, no, it was on the post too. Anyway, I'm on Instagram
at Paula, PAULA, P-A-N-T, follow me there. So that was Thursday. And then two days later,
the Wall Street Journal broke the story that JPMorgan Chase was expected to most likely
win the bid for First Republic. That was first reported in the Wall Street Journal on Saturday.
Then Sunday overnight, one of my fellows, one of my fellow fellows was tracking this really closely.
He was, we have a WhatsApp group and he posted at like 3 a.m. 4 a.m. to our WhatsApp group. He was
basically posting in real time as the public information broke. That was when it became official
that Chase acquired First Republic and that the face of banking will look different from here on
out. But Jamie Diamond did a conference call with his investors on Monday. That it was public,
he made public remarks in which he said that this part of the crisis is over, meaning that the
banking system is stable. And that doesn't necessarily mean that the US economy as a whole is going
to be rainbows and unicorns from here on out. In fact, in early April, he made public remarks
warning about storm clouds ahead. But it does mean that for you, for me, for ordinary individuals,
the bedrock of our ability to participate in the financial system is our confidence in
institutions continuing to exist. And while we have seen three banks collapse,
the indications point to the worst being over and the banking sector as a whole being stable.
It's funny that this even has to be a discussion because it is so foundational,
so fundamental. It's something that we typically take for granted. You know when there is confidence
in the banking system because nobody is talking about it, it is that taken for granted. It is
that foundational. And it looks as though we can get back to not talking about it.
So on that note, let's talk about one of the major factors that led to all of this,
inflation and interest rate hikes. That was the other news from this week, although it wasn't
even big news because this has become deregor at this point, but the Fed raised interest rates
by another quarter of a percentage point. Now, the Fed tends to meet roughly once every six weeks.
They generally meet around eight times a year. This is the 10th consecutive meeting at which they
have raised the federal funds rate. And that, by the way, is one of the reasons that we're facing
such turmoil in the banking sector because these rapid rate hikes had the effect of weakening
bank balance sheets, which led to everything that we've just talked about for the last,
however many minutes. The good news is that the rate hikes have put the brakes on inflation.
It's now hovering around 4%. And that's a huge improvement from where we were a few months ago,
but it has still doubled the target rate. So there's a possibility in the far future,
and by far, I mean maybe in the fall and the winter, there's a possibility that there might be more
rate hikes depending on how inflation looks three months, six months, nine months down the road.
But the Fed has signaled that they might cool it for a while. They might not hike the federal funds
rate for an 11th consecutive time. So for the time being at least, for the early summer, early to
mid summer, we can anticipate interest rates staying relatively steady. So again, how do we apply that
information? What should you do with that knowledge? Well, higher interest rates mean that the
interest rate on everything from your credit card balance to your car loans to your mortgage
is going to be higher. Of course, if you have a credit card balance, one of your top priorities
should be crushing that as quickly as possible. And that has nothing to do with what's happening
with the Fed. That's just a universal. When it comes to your mortgage, though,
the question gets a bit more interesting because there is a stronger argument to be made right now
for getting an adjustable rate mortgage if you're in the market to buy a home or buy a rental
property. For the last decade, when interest rates were low, a fixed rate was hardly even
questioned. It was at least anecdotally among the students in my rental property investing course,
it was just assumed that you would lock in a fixed rate. These days, however, we need to get
a spreadsheet involved and we need to start making some assumptions and testing some best case,
worst case and medium case scenarios. I won't go too far down the rabbit hole on this fixed versus
adjustable rate topic because that could be an entire episode in itself. But I will say that if
you opt for an adjustable rate, there are a few things you must know. First, you need to know how
long your initial rate is locked in. Second, you need to know how often your rate will adjust.
Third, you need to know how much your rate could adjust by during any singular adjustment.
And you should know that in two forms. You should know that in terms of percentage points.
And you should also know that in terms of what it means for your monthly bill.
And then the fourth thing you should know is how bad can it get? What is the highest
possible rate that your adjustable rate mortgage could go to? And what does that mean for your
monthly payment? And bear in mind, when you're asking the question, what does that mean for
your monthly payment? Remember, your principal balance is not going to change. The adjustable
rate changes the interest, but then there are also two other wildcard variables, the property
taxes that you pay and the insurance that you pay. And both of those could go up and that could have
significant consequences to your monthly payment as well. So you'll want to leave
some margin of error there because if in the worst case scenario, your adjustable rate
mortgage hits the maximum that it is contractually allowed to reach, if that's going to create a
principal and interest payment amount that would put you on the brink, assuming steady taxes and
insurance, well, then that's no good because then all your county has to do is hike the property
taxes or hike the assessment on your property and boom, now the bill is bigger than what you can handle.
So the takeaway is that there is a stronger case to be made for adjustable rate mortgages,
but you're going to want to spreadsheet the heck out of that possibility before you sign on the
dotted line. All right, so that is a bit of a synopsis on what's happening right now. Again,
I'm recording this on Thursday, May 4th, 2023. As I mentioned, I'm doing this fellowship at Columbia
in Business and Econ Journalism and it is currently finals week. My friend referred to it as
deadline inferno, so I'm currently living in the middle of deadline inferno, final projects,
final papers, lots of deadlines. So I'm sorry we couldn't record a fresh interview or fresh
Ask Paula and Joe episode as we normally do and we've skipped having a bonus episode for both the
month of April and the month of May of 2023, typically do a first Friday bonus, but
right now I have exactly 13 days between now and graduation and it is a belly flop across the
finish line running the gauntlet powering through the inferno, insert your favorite metaphor here.
It's rough. So for the rest of this episode, we are going to play an interview from our archives.
This is an interview with financial advisor Michael Kitzis, in which he talks about the importance
of investing in your human capital, which is precisely what I'm doing at this program here.
So I hope you enjoy the episode. Michael Kitzis is brilliant and one of the most respected
financial advisors out there and he was kind enough to speak to us back when we were a brand
new show. We originally recorded this interview as episode 64. Can you believe that back when we
were double digits? So for the rest of the episode, we will play that and we will return to our
normal episode release schedule. We'll return to doing first Fridays again. We will return to normal
sea after I graduate, which is, as of the time that I'm recording this, exactly 13 days from now,
assuming that I don't botch anything spectacularly in the next 13 days. Thank you for being part of
this community. Enjoy this upcoming replay of our interview with Michael Kitzis. Come say hello to
me on Instagram at PaulaPantPAULAPANT and I will catch you in the next episode. Here is
financial advisor Michael Kitzis discussing how your mind is more powerful than money. Enjoy.
Hey Michael. Hello Paula. Good to be here. Oh, thank you for coming on the show.
My pleasure. Thanks for having me over. I wanted to chat with you. Your blog,
Nerd's Eye View. I love how deep you go into a lot of topics and there's so much there
that we could talk about, but I actually wanted to talk to you about something that you've written
about that I think isn't discussed enough and it's the concept of human capital. Human capital.
Human capital. It sounds kind of like a strange sort of thing. What do you do with human capital?
So for the listeners, can you define what that means? The idea of human capital,
the easiest way to define it is sort of contrast it with our money. So in economic terms,
our money is our financial capital. So we might categorize our financial capital,
our investment accounts, our bank accounts, our cash, our retirement accounts, like all of these
different things that are financial instruments, they have economic value because the monetary
system says they does. That's what we define as our financial capital. And it's pretty straightforward.
We can make a balance sheet and figure out what we've gotten out of all the different accounts.
So the idea of human capital is to say, really, there's actually a second mechanism that most of us
have for earning and generating money. Number one is our financial capital. I can invest and get
interest and dividends and capital gains and all that. And the alternative is, I can work. I can
literally go out and do things as long as I'm physically capable. And that ability to earn,
that earnings power is what the economics world dubs human capital. So the idea like,
I can generate income. I can generate cash flow myself in two ways. Number one is,
I put my financial capital to work by investing. And number two is that I put my human capital to
work by working, by literally engaging in activities that earn and generate income.
So would human capital be the equivalent of trading time for money,
iron X per hour or iron X per year? Yeah, in the purest sense. And the economic side of it,
that's basically how they quantify it. So you might say, okay, your human capital is in the
simplest way. Okay, I make $50,000 a year and I'm going to be working for the next 30 years.
And so there's about a $1.5 million pile of money there that is earnings that I haven't earned yet,
but I'm physically capable of going out and earning cumulatively over the coming years.
And that's actually a really, really big pile of money. And that's part of what leads to some
really interesting strategies around how to plan for maximize your finances. Because as soon as you
sit down and look at that way and see, okay, so I'm 20 something years old and just getting going
in my career and just got a really nice raise. And now I'm making 40 or $50,000. That's an
awesome number. But when you sit down and say, okay, so you've really got two assets right now,
you've got your financial capital, which frankly may or may not even be positive,
depending on how much student loan debt you came out with, trying to build that up to be positive,
get some emergency savings, get some retirement savings going. And then you've got this human
capital side that's really actually the equivalent of probably a one or $2 million asset on your
personal balance sheet. It's just this giant pile of untapped potential, literally the years
you have not gone and worked and earned the money to generate the return with your human capital yet.
So I want to lead this conversation down two different paths. One path will assume that a
person wants to retire at a traditional age, which I would define as 62 or older. And then the second
path, I'd like to talk about people who want to retire after only spending, you know, a total of
maybe 10, 15, 20 years in the workforce. So I'd like to approach both of them, but I don't want
to conflate the two as we talk, particularly as we're defining concepts. Well, you know,
ironically, in this framework, they, I would actually view them really similarly. They're just
different points along a similar spectrum. So, you know, if you envision like, you've just
graduated from school, you're full of potential. You've got an immense amount of human capital,
all the years you're going to be working going for that you haven't earned yet, but it's coming.
And then your financial capital, which pretty much starts at zero because unless you inherited or
got money by some other means, like, you don't have any yet. You got lots of earning potential,
no actual financial capital yet. Right. So that's the picture for most recent college graduates.
Right. And you know, we're just hoping we get start the financial capital number at zero and
maybe not a negative number. Right. Once we start moving forward from there, every year we earn,
essentially, we're turning human capital into financial capital. You know, I do the work, I get
some checks. Now I got to decide what to do with my checks. And in the simplest sense, I have two
choices. Option one, I spend it. Option one, I save it so that I can spend it later. And that's
sort of the essence of retirement savings. So if you envision yourself as I've got this giant pile of
human capital, as I work over time, I'm going to convert it into some combination of money I spend
now and money I'm going to save so that I can spend later, then really almost all forms of retirement
ultimately just come down to that spectrum of saving and spending, how much of as you turn your
human capital into income, how much of it is going to go into each bucket, how much is going to go
into the current spending bucket, and how much is it going of it is going to go into the
basically future spending bucket, i.e. savings for future retirement. And so then it gets pretty
straightforward. The more you're willing to shift towards the save bucket, and the less you put
towards the spend bucket, the more you can build up the financial capital to the point where you
reach that moment of financial independence, where all of a sudden you say, I don't actually
need to work and earn any income anymore because I've got enough financial capital to pay all my
bills, I don't need my human capital and so I'm literally just going to walk away from it and
walk away from the job and stop earning, don't need the money anymore. And that's where most
financial advice, at least that I've read, the dominant conversation seems to be about how to
handle your financial capital. But the thing that I find really interesting in the conversation that
I think we're not having enough is as you are making investments, do you direct those investments
towards optimizing your financial capital as it works for you in what we will just broadly call
the market. And I mean that in a very broad sense, as your capital is working for you in the way in
which it does, whether that's real estate or the stock market or bonds or a gold bunker that
you've built underground, whatever it is, whatever it is. Amen, we invest in a wide variety of ways.
So broadly speaking, I would just refer to that as the market for this conversation.
This is getting to be a long question. Most of the conversation that we have is around how to
allocate that financial capital. But you've often talked about whether or not that money could be
better served investing in human capital. All right, so when you look at your earnings power
as this giant pile of money for all the cumulae of years that you're going to earn,
there's a couple of interesting things that happen. The first is you realize it's really
darn big. Again, even making $30,000 or $40,000 a year for the next 30 years is actually like a
million dollar pile of money. Now the bad news is when you add up all your spending cumulae for 30
years, it's an ungodly large amount of spending as well. So these things kind of offset each other
and you still have to get back to what do you save and what do you spend and what do you save.
But here's the interesting effect that crops up. So if you look at this and say, I'm making,
my goal is to work for 30 years and I'm going to make, I'm making $50,000 a year right now because
I just got that good promotion at work. And you multiply it out, that's basically a $1.5 million
pool of money for any of the engineers out there. Technically, you calculate this with an inflation
adjusted and just kind of back for real rates of return. So inflation adjusted, there would be
some adjustment where there would be some further adjustments, but just trying to keep this
relatively simple. Imagine it is 30 years of $50,000 a year is $1.5 million.
So we tend to spend a lot of time saying like, hey, if I can save a couple percent on my income
and like I can save $5,000 and if I grow that $5,000, if it grows at 8%, I increase my net worth
by $400 and compounded out over 30 years. That's actually a really big number.
Returns compounding for a long time really add up. But the interesting effect that crops up is to
say, well, what would happen if to my human capital, if instead of putting my money into a Roth IRA,
I went out and took some kind of training class that got me a raise or another promotion at work.
So like instead of putting a couple thousand dollars into my Roth IRA to get that lifetime
tax free growth, I put the couple thousand dollars into a class for myself and next year I managed
to get a 10% raise. So if I do that, it might not feel very good in the short term. I spend a
couple thousand dollars to get a raise that's worth a couple thousand dollars and at the end of
the year, I'm basically still treading water. But if you think of it in terms of your human capital,
so if I was going to work for 30 years and make 50 grand and I can figure out how to work for 30
years and make 55 grand, that's actually $150,000 of additional cumulative income I can generate over
the next 30 years. Now all of a sudden, spending a couple thousand dollars on classes or courses
or certification or whatever it is in your industry or chosen career, it's not just, hey,
I spent a couple thousand dollars and I got a raise for a couple thousand dollars. So I spent a couple
hundred thousand dollars and I increased the cumulative value of my human capital by like a
hundred grand. I got a one-e-to-one return on investing in myself.
Right. And it seems like if you planned on retiring early, you could just run the same
equation with a different multiplier. So I now have a $5,000 raise. I plan on staying in the workforce
for 10 more years. Therefore, that $5,000 raise is worth $50,000 and if it costs me $3,000 to get it,
then that's an amazing return. Right. And so the moving levers for retirement
and most across the board, we come back to the same couple of things. There's the one that we
talk about a lot, even including those that are really active in the extreme early retirement
movement, which is very heavily focused around the saving versus the spending. So if every year I
work and I earn my income, I can overgeneralizing a little, I get to divide into buckets, spend now
or spend later. If I want to retire early, I need to make the spend later bucket really big. And if
I'm going to make the spend later bucket really big, I need to put a lot of money towards the spend
later bucket every year, which means I have to constrain my current lifestyle. So I live very
frugally and I try to minimize my expenses. And there's a whole other discussion around just
minimalist living in general and whether it makes us happy or not. But just from the kind of the
math of retirement. And as I'm earning, if I want to retire earlier, I have to spend less
so that I can build the financial bucket up faster, which actually works for me twice a
the less I spend the more my financial bucket builds up. And the less I spend, the less cash
will I actually have to replace once I stop working because if my lifestyle expenses are more moderate,
I don't need to as much human capital to support it now and I won't need as much financial capital
support later. So you kind of win twice by managing your expenses down. But all the discussion is around
the saving versus spending, how do you manage your expenses and minimize your expenses so that
you can save more to retire early. And I find very few people spend much time talking about,
well, you know, if you just try to go out and find a way to earn a little bit more, reinvest
in yourself to get more income or more of a raise, you can actually still propel yourself to a
retirement or even early retirement even faster because it actually still moves the needle so
dramatically when you add up your cumulative earnings power, even in an early retirement scenario.
But so here is the literally the million dollar question. When you are spending money on investing
in yourself, when you're spending money on building that human capital, how do you know
that you're making a good investment? I mean, if you're buying a VTSIX, you know exactly what
you're getting. You know, you're going to do as well or as poorly as the overall economy.
But what about when you take a class? I mean, or you try to develop a new skill? How do you evaluate
that? It's a good question. The purest sense is just, does this give me a path to being able to
earn more down the road? And the challenge to me in this is some of us have careers or some of us
land in jobs and professions that just lay this out a little bit more clearly than others. No real
rhyme or reason to it is just how it turns out. So there are some industries out there.
If I'm in the computer industry and I want to climb up a little bit more, I got to go get
some more certifications and learn more programming languages or systems management administration
or whatever it is in the particular subfield you're in in computers and technology. And that's
your path forward. If you're in management, you've got a slightly different trajectory. It might be
learning project management skills are becoming, I think it's a CMP for project management. Maybe
it's going back to grad school and you're actually getting an MBA. When you get into some other
careers, it's unfortunately a little bit less vague. There's not as much of a clear cut
career path forward and you have to forge your way forward a little bit more and find the path as
it goes. That was certainly, I went through a version of that myself because the irony is
even in the world of financial advising, which is my world and my career, there's actually very
little that defines a clear career track. The irony in the world of financial advising is that
our entry standards are very, very low because you pretty much just have to get a license to be a
salesperson. And everything above and beyond that is all purely voluntary. There's no guarantee
that when I go get a certified financial planner designation that I was going to make more money
as a financial advisor, except the general belief that holds relatively true across most careers,
which is if you upgrade your skills and you know more than most others, there's usually a path to
more dollars that's attached to it at some point. And while there are probably exceptions to that
rule and almost anywhere where you can come up with a scenario where someone is very well
educated, yet somehow manages to self-sabotage or self-destruct themselves down to not getting
promotions, even then it's often because they somehow did something to themselves that blew
up their ability to get the promotion, invest in themselves and getting more education or
certifications or training or whatever it is in your career still is pretty much the path forward
for almost almost anyone, almost anywhere I find. This actually leads me to two follow-up
questions. The first is how can you evaluate if it's better to direct your human capital investments
towards your primary career versus some sort of secondary side business or side hustle as we like
to call it? To me, the biggest driver there is simply what are the prospects and the
career or the industry that you're in? And again, some people just have a lot more
upside to where they are than others. If you're sitting in a dead-end job somewhere
saying, working at a company that isn't growing saying, I just don't see a path forward to making
any more money or doing better where I am. So, number one, the writing should be on the wall,
you need to leave and move on at some point. And then option number two becomes, all right,
are you going to try to move forward in this career or profession or industry that you're in?
Or do you want to go out and try to get this going with a side hustle on your own?
That distinction, I think some of it is just look around at the options in your industry,
go online and search for career tracks and what the income potential is for the next tier up in
whatever your industry is. If you're a marketing associate, what's the opportunity to be a marketing
manager and see what your income potential is. And the alternative is, if that really feels dead-end,
if you don't see the upside opportunity there, then I think side hustles start coming to the table.
And the irony for so many people is that a lot of side hustles turn into careers later. Even for
what I do today, I started out in the world of financial advising and just started doing a little
bit of blogging and writing and speaking on the side because it was essentially a side hustle for
me. I thought it was interesting and I liked nerding out on stuff and sharing it with other
people. And did that slow and steadily as a side hustle for literally probably three or four years
and saw it slowly and steadily build to the point where after I was in about four years,
I said, you know what, I actually want to make this my primary. And I can flip to the career switch
and said, all right, I'm going to be primarily a writer and speaker and I'm going to dial back
how much time I spend in an advisory firm. And now probably 10, almost 10 years since I made that
switch, that's still kind of the balance. So the first almost 10 years of my career is primarily a
financial advisor that did writing and speaking on the side. And now I'm primarily a writer and
speaker and educator. And I still do financial advising on the side. I'm still a partner back
to an advisory firm, but that's now well under half of the time of what I do because the side hustle
became the main gig. And was that because it was more lucrative or because you enjoyed it more or
a bit of both. Honestly, it started out that it was just, it was more interesting. And I feel like
I'm like bashing my original job and career wasn't that the old one was uninteresting. It was just
that it was more interesting. It spoke to me more directly. I just, I felt more energized. I felt
more excited to get up in the morning doing that kind of work. What ultimately happened. And I can
say this, there's no academic empirical analysis for this. It's just what I see live working with
clients as an advisor. There is an effect that happens where when you actually find work that you
enjoy doing, where you're excited to get up out of bed in the morning to do it, all the math starts
to change. You know, it ended out being by far more lucrative than any of the prior work that I was
doing and financial advising even actually as a pretty good income potential. It ended out being
far more impactful financially as well simply because once you really get engaged in the work
that you're doing, you tend to like doing it, want to do more of it. And it turns out usually if you're
that engaged, you tend to get pretty good at it. And if you tend to get pretty good at it, that
ends up making more income potential as well.
We'll come back to this episode after this word from our sponsors.
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Particularly for people who don't necessarily have a clear trajectory in terms of if I take
X course, my job will give me Y promotion. Would it be fair to say that a major part of their
selection criteria for do I spend this $5,000 investing in earning more at my primary job
versus building a side hustle? Would it be fair to say that the best answer would be go where
your interest is? Or go, I hate to use passion so over your history.
I feel the same way. I feel like we sort of overshot the world of pursue your passions the point
now where I feel like we maybe convince a few people to become passionate ploppers because they
just follow the passion down a road that really genuinely had no business potential.
But I think at a minimum, it is pursuing your interests. It's pursuing things that you're passionate
about and enjoy. I'm always even a little bit wary of people that come and say, this is my
this is my passion because again, just having sat across from so many clients who go down this
rod for so many years. First of all, we rarely even really know what our passions going to be when
we're young. We think we know what the thing is. Then we get down the road and find that we may
or may not like it. For I imagine a lot of listeners here, either for themselves or a good friend that
they know, you know someone that went to college is absolutely convinced that they were going to
pursue this particular major that was their passion in air quotes. Now, they're a couple years out of
college and they're doing work that has nothing to do with what they studied in college. We thought
it was our passion and then we went and did it for a while. I was like, yeah, this actually isn't
really doing it for me. That's okay. That's okay to make those changes. It just means don't make the
stakes so high for yourself. I have to find today the thing I'm going to do that's going to be awesome
and amazing for the next 30 years. Find a thing that you can do that will make you slightly more
excited to get out of bed next month. Keep the stakes low because if you find something that's
positive and starts building you in a positive direction, the more energized you get, the more
you tend to take the steps to keep moving yourself forward. I've watched that kind of formula play
out for people over and over again over the years. Let's say that you, and I'm asking this question
because I know there are a lot of nerds who love to analyze the returns that they are getting on
every dollar that they've put in. Let's say that you invest $5,000 a year into starting small online
businesses or taking classes, taking some online classes, you invest this money into developing a
side hustle or a side business that you're interested in. That leads you on a sideways meandering path
that might go from A to B to C to D to E. Ultimately, maybe in the long run, you end up better than
you were before, but you had a lot of diversions along the way. Is there any way to evaluate the
ROI on the money that you spent or is it all just part of the narrative?
There's a blend. I think a lot of it is just realistically as part of the narrative,
but I think there are a couple of things that you can do to at least try to protect yourself from
not unwittingly digging a bigger hole and going down this journey and pursuing the narrative.
Step one to that is it is about investing yourself and upgrading your opportunities.
It doesn't mean you need to do this giant go big or go home. I heard on this podcast,
I should invest myself. I'm going to quit my job and go back to school and get a master's
degree and spend three years earning no money and hope that I earn that back again five or six
years from now. You don't have to make the stakes quite that high for yourself. When I look at a
lot of folks that I interact with, even within our field, one of the number ones that I end up
telling people when they're coming out of school is go take our writing class.
Not like creative writing. How to write emails that make you sound intelligent when you communicate
with people. I know that's hurtful for some folks that like their shorthand emails and their quick
notes, but if you want to climb a ladder in the business world in most places, the reality is
first impressions do matter. In a digital world now, for so many people, your first impression is
an email that you send out or some kind of written communication. If it's sloppy and poorly punctuated
and bad spelling and all that, it sets a poor impression for people. Again, I can only imagine
a couple of folks that are probably screaming at the podcast right now as they're listening to it.
But just having watched people play this out as someone who actually is a business owner of
multiple businesses that screens way more resumes than I frankly wish to screen.
It's a factual reality. When you're applying for a job with a whole bunch of other people that
are applying for a job, the sad truth is the person who's got to make a hiring decision and
has 57 resumes and has to at least get it down to a dozen that's workable are looking for pretty
much any reasonable excuse to call the initial resumes. And badly written cover letter that
uses terrible grammar and punctuation and says, hire me, I have great attention to detail.
Like, if your attention to detail isn't good enough to actually put that much work into a cover
letter you sent me, I'm probably not going to give you an interview. And it sucks and it's unfair
and it's life and it's reality. And so, to me, the starting point is things like that. What can we do
to improve writing skills? What can we do to improve basic public speaking skills? I'm a huge
fan of telling people, go try out Toastmasters. Basically, while it started with teaching people
how to do toasts at a party, but essentially it teaches you how to do public speaking and prompt
to public speaking skills. That's why they're called Toastmasters. I'd always wondered that.
Yeah, yeah, like, you know, it's the wedding. Go wedding toasts.
Oh, I just thought they were really into carbs. I don't know. Yeah, all that. That would be
taking them downhill these days. Adkins almost put them under. You know, again, it's one of those
things like you don't get a lot of opportunities necessarily in life to make big impacts that
can change your trajectory. If you're the one in a moment that's able to actually stand up and
move some problem forward in your job or your career, that can be a seminal pivot a moment for
you. And most people are terrified to step up to the challenge because we hate public speaking.
We hate public speaking. I mean, there was a survey I'd see because I do a lot of professional
speaking. So, we love to circulate these jokes. There was some survey that someone had done that
we are actually more afraid of public speaking than we are of death, which basically means
I'd rather be in the casket than giving the eulogy. That's how terrified we are of it.
And so Toastmasters is just a group that's built to help you get over these fears. It's a whole
bunch of folks. You teach and learn how to give small and prompt to speeches in front of small
groups. Everybody else in the room is just as terrified as you. So, you're all there together
to support each other and get through it. And I've seen people where ultimately it was transformative
to their business success and their career trajectory because they just became better able to speak
up in meetings that ultimately got them noticed by their boss, which ultimately got them moving
forward. And their whole career trajectory and financial capital was dramatically updated by what
at the end of the day was just hanging out with Toastmasters and figuring out how to get more
comfortable in speeches. And I think it's like a hundred bucks a year to join. Might even be
cheaper than that. So, a lot of what I'm talking about about how we upgrade our skills. I mean,
the reality is spending $100 to join Toastmasters and a couple hundred dollars to take a writing
class and maybe a couple hundred dollars to learn advanced Excel skills. We're not talking about
$50,000 tuition bills. We're talking about a couple hundred dollars here and a couple hundred
dollars there at the most, but not trying to figure out just how do we save it and add another
couple hundred dollars to our Roth IRA. So, it's going to grow tax-free for the next 30 years. It's
how do we apply this money in a way that gives us more upside potential, more bonus potential,
more promotion potential, because the realities, it becomes very uneven. I don't know which of those
hundred or three hundred dollar investments in yourself is going to be the one that pays off,
but all you need is one of them ever to give you a five or ten thousand dollar raise and it's worth
a couple hundred thousand dollars over your lifetime and will pay for itself literally a hundred times
over. I think that's where a lot of people get stopped up is not knowing exactly, you know,
is this going to pay off? And again, the higher we make the stakes for ourselves,
the more terrifying it becomes. I think justifiably so, because at some point ramp it up, it's a lot
of money. So, start smaller scale. You don't have to be that intensive out of the gate. Writing classes,
Toastmasters, Republic speaking, Word or Excel, whatever it is, whatever office application it is
that's relevant in your job and career, even that kind of stuff can be a path forward for
making more dollars and moving up and lifting that human capital up.
There's a lot of chatter about, you know, the idea of freeing yourself from
domestic tasks so that you can focus on career development, on building an education for yourself,
on building a side hustle. How do you evaluate that?
I look at it in a similar way and I'm one of those people that over the years has basically become
obsessed with finding any way to let go of small tasks and things that just free my mind a little.
So, I wrote a article on the blog a couple months ago. It was basically why I'll spend $100 on a tech
tool that saves me a minute a day. Truly. And why would you? Here's basically how it boils down to me
is saving a minute a day is five minutes a week, is 20 minutes a month, is about four hours a year.
So, at four hours a year, that's a half a day of cumulative productivity. So, as long as I've got
work that pays me more than about $25 an hour, I am technically making money every time I spend
a hundred bucks on something that saves me a minute a day. While that's hard to quantify off of like
the first one minute thing, the cumulative impact is where it really starts to add up. So, you in
practice, I probably spend one or $2,000 a year on a wide range of little one-off technology tools,
Dropbox Pro and Evernote and some social media tools because I do a lot of that for my business.
And you just one thing after another, most of which are individually, fairly small scale.
But when you start adding them all up and it's like, wow, I'm saving 10 or 20 or 30 minutes a day
of all these little things that each of which took a trivial minute or two but added up.
Like half an hour a day is a lot of time. That's a couple hours a week. That's a day or two a month.
That's a week or two a year. And also, the difference between whether I can find the time to take
extended vacation with my family or not comes down to, did I spend a little bit of money on
little miscellaneous tools that saved me a minute or two here and there? Because it really does
add up over time. And likewise, in part because we also are a family with three small children,
me and Amazon Prime were tight. Amazon visits our house probably at least five days a week,
occasionally six. Usually, we managed to have one day where we accidentally failed to order
something that also arrives from Amazon. And it just comes down to life is crazy and there's so
much stuff going on between working family and kids and all the rest that if I can save a little
bit of time by getting something delivered and not needing to go out to the store to pick something
up. And that saves me a couple minutes that I can spend with my kids. That's an easy no-brainer
trade-off to me. And again, I find that when you don't focus on your human capital and your
earning potential first, everything about the money coming into your household feels scarce.
It's a limited pie. We can only carve up the pie. And so, all of a sudden, it's like, well, why
would you spend a couple of dollars doing that when you could just do it yourself and save the
money because we could literally save the money or do something else with it? And again, the way
that I look at it is, what can I do to generate more return on my time to generate more value on
my human capital? Because the numbers are actually so much bigger on the human capital. The first
time I, well, for our world, it pretty much was getting my CFP certification. I went and got my
CFP certification. That's Certified Financial Planner? Certified Financial Planner. And use that to
get me a new job that got me a $10,000 promotion when I switched firms to a job I could have only
gotten with my CFP. And at the point I got my $10,000 raise with my CFP, I still remember my basic
personal commitment to myself was, you know, all that discussion we have about whether the like,
the Starbucks habit is worth it. I said, screw it, I'm never going to care about that again.
Yeah. Because once you do a $10,000 raise for the next 30 years, all this, I, and granted,
I don't even have that hardcore of a Starbucks habit, like a daily Starbucks habit still does
not add up to that much when you move the needle that much in your human capital. It might feel like
a big number and often is a big number if you just look at it from the perspective of the money that
comes in. But if you focus that you can also move the needle on how much is coming in in the first
place, it takes the focus off a lot of the spending minutiae and puts it frankly, where I think it
belongs, which is what you're earning and what you're doing to earn more in the first place. And so,
you know, even in terms of how we live our lifestyle, you know, there's, there's basically three things
I actually sweat I care about. How much I'm earning, what we're doing originally to build my salary,
now it's really to build my businesses, because I kind of did the morph from employee to
entrepreneur over the time. But, you know, what's happening with with our income and what can we do
to reinvest in ourselves to earn more? What are we spending on the house? Because the house is a
really big line item. Spending, do you mean mortgage or do you mean like decorating? What do you mean
by spending on the house? Mortgage slash rents, you know, whatever, you're kind of put the roof over
my head part of the fixed costs of your budget. Yep. And what do we spend on a car? Because they're
giant line items. And once you do a pretty good job on the income, the car and the house, and they
see you make the car on the house reasonable to the income, a lot of the rest of it starts to melt
away. You know, I don't sweat spending $50 here or $100 there, because for the first 10 years of my
career, my total combined rent plus car payments was hovered between 6 and 8% of my income.
Because I bought a cheap old beat up car and drove it to its grave and never had a car payment.
And even at the point I was making some pretty good money, I split an apartment with two of my
buddies through the entire decade of my 20s so that I could just save and bank the money,
which eventually became the cushion I used when I switched to make my side hustle my full time
business, and then ultimately became the down payment on the house where I'm raising my family.
And so when you start with the big items, incoming human capital number one, and then the big two
expenditures house or shelter and car, if you do well on those, what you'll find is the stress
around a lot of the other stuff really starts to melt away. We'll come back to the show in just a
second but first... Imagine this, you wake up to an alarm, it's dark outside, it's freezing cold,
all you want is to lay in bed for 30 more minutes but you can. You have to get up, you have to quickly
shower, scrape the ice off of your windshield, fight congestion and bumper to bumper traffic,
just so you can go to an office where you sit under a fluorescent light and drink mediocre instant
coffee and they have that scratchy one ply toilet paper in the bathroom and in your office they have
that really low profile carpet, you know what I'm talking about, the corporate carpet, the kind you
only ever see in offices because no one in their right mind would ever install that in a house.
And then meanwhile you're using the computer that the company gave you to use but it's a million
years old and you're like why are you hounding me for more productivity when you're giving me
this outdated equipment? If this sounds familiar and there's a part of you that's like man there's
got to be something better than this but where do I find it? How do I start? affordanything.com
slash escape, it's free affordanything.com slash escape.
What's your net worth? Net worth is defined as what you own minus what you owe and it's a great
number to track. Now how do you track that? For free go to affordanything.com slash personal
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affordanything.com slash personal capital. With the emphasis on human capital and earning and
boosting your earnings potential in whichever way you choose to do so whether it's through
advancing in your primary career, building a side hustle or whatever. The one point where I
keep getting hung up is that then to me it becomes hard to justify not working because if you value
your time at x per hour then every hour that you're taking a shower is costing you, you know,
it's an expensive shower. Yeah, I mean it does when you do this well, it does become a challenge
from the other end. If you actually get really, really good at monetizing your time and you get
your time up to a pretty valuable point, it becomes very difficult to actually figure out when and how
to say yes or say no to things or when to cut it off. And the irony is the more the
income potential climbs, the more your time per hour climbs, however you sort of carve up the value
of your time, the harder it gets to say no to things because just the dollars get bigger. I mean,
at some point it's like, well, I didn't really want to do this, but hey, I could spend a couple
hours on it over the weekend and it's a material amount of money from a household, so I kind of
want to do that. And it can become a slippery slope for people. You're struggling to figure out
when you ultimately say no. I talk about it and with some of the folks that I work with is saying
what's the filter you use to decide whether you're going to keep doing work or take that next client
or do that next thing. In the early stages, the filter usually is money. Like, is this a bigger
client, a better opportunity, a gig that can pay me more, whatever that side hustle thing looks like.
And as long as this is a bigger opportunity than some of the other ones, then I'm going to say
it's worthwhile. And you can keep inching up the threshold. I'm not going to take any gigs that
pay me at least unless I make at least 20 bucks an hour, 30 bucks an hour, 50 bucks an hour,
$100 an hour. And you just keep moving the needle up. Eventually, the challenge becomes if it goes
well, there are lots of opportunities coming in. They're all coming in at that number. And it gets
really hard to figure out how you're going to say no. You have to find new filters to figure out
what are you going to say yes to and what are you going to say no to.
What are some of the filters that you've either you've used or that you know other people have used?
So come at it a couple of different ways. I've ended out developing a few filters for what I use
and screen buy number one is just does it move the business forward in the grand scheme of things?
There's there's a fascinating book I highly recommend called essentialism by Greg McEwen.
And a fantastic book. The idea of it is for people that are successful and even for whole
businesses that are successful. Often the thing that makes them successful is they find a thing
they do that they do very well. They do it a whole bunch. They build a reputation for doing it really
well and it turns into a successful career or income or business. The more successful that you
become, the more people start to notice and the more people that start to notice it, the more
opportunities come to you. The challenges the opportunities come in is if you're not careful
about what you say yes to and what you say no to, eventually all this stuff is coming in and you
actually lose the focus that made you successful in the first place. And so Greg has a number of
fantastic sayings in the book. But one that for a long time has resonated with me is that the
difference between successful people and very successful people is that very successful people
are better at saying no. And it's a really interesting encounter to it a phenomenon but
it really is a dynamic that happens when if you're successful, if you can get that snowball starting
to roll down the hill, the challenge is snowball is to turn it to giant avalanches is that what
starts out really focused eventually just gobbles up anything in its path and becomes unmanageable.
And you lose the focus that made you successful in the first place. So for me, one of the big
filters is just it does this still ultimately stick towards the core of what I'm doing. And
the core of what I'm doing is my focus is primarily working with financial advisors
and trying to help them be more successful in their businesses and help more of their
clients with better solutions. And so I do very, very little that does not directly fit that and
anything that's going to go outside of that. I mean, I literally give myself an allowance of
I will do one or two unrelated things every month of maybe it's an outside engagement or an outside
podcast or something of that nature. And beyond that, I'm just going to say no because it's not
part of the core focus. The second filter for me, frankly, once I got married and had kids was,
I'm just going to push that weekends are more sacred time for me when I was single and on my
own. And then even the early years when my wife and I were married, but there were no kids yet
and our lives and worlds were much more flexible. Like, you know, hey, if there's a gig opportunity
that's on the weekend, like whatever, all travel, maybe it's to a cool city, it's fine. Now that we've
got kids, you know, for me, one of the filters just, Hey, this is a cool engagement and a great
opportunity. I love to work with you, but I'm sorry. I just I don't I don't travel for engagements on
Saturday. It's family time for me. You know, they become kind of arbitrary lines because the reality
is at some point, if that success flywheel starts rolling, you have to come up some ways to introduce
constraints, even if they're arbitrary or or the business can start to consume you or your career
can start to consume you. And I'm sure, you know, almost everyone can think of people they know
where their businesses or jobs started to consume them. One other direction I'd maybe encourage people
to think about as well as as you look at some of these dynamics of how do we move down the path
towards financial independence, kind of recognizing this balance between human capital and our earning
ability, and then what we spend and what we save. But the other area that I probably see people
get in trouble with the most is the phenomenon called lifestyle creep. Yes. So this effect that
if you're successful in you do reinvest in yourself, you get that job, you get that raise,
you get that something that moves you forward. And you say like, wow, I'm feeling less stressed
about my money. Things are going a little better. I saved a little more last year. You know, I'm
going to reward numero, Uno here a little, and I'm going to do something nice for myself. And not
that it's bad to do something nice for yourself to actually very healthy to do something nice for
yourself. But the trouble that people get into is that they don't just do something for themselves,
that's a nice one time thing. They do something for themselves that permanently changes their
lifestyle in a way that makes it harder to move forward in the future. Just the reality of how
we seem to be hardwired. We have a couple of sort of problematic forces that his at the same time.
Number one is that we're very, very quick to adjust and adapt to our current circumstances. So,
you know, the new house seems amazing. And then after a year or two, it's just another house that
I got to repair and deal with it. The new car seems amazing. I love the new car smell, but then
the next X years I'm going to own it. It's just the car I drive around and loses its newness and
specialness. And you know, we do this across the board from the cars we buy to the computers and
technology toys we buy and almost everything in between. And the problem that crops up for people
is they make what amount to permanent lifestyle decisions. And in the near term, it's, you know,
they feel happy and elated and it's kind of neat to have a new thing. But relatively quickly,
the joy of the new thing wears off. And the only thing that's left is the cost of it that you have
to bear for a long time. Because the second cruel thing that goes with this is why we adapt very
quickly to the upside, you know, things get better. But then we lift up our standard of living and
then it's just our standard of living. It's not a new thing anymore. Most of us horrifically hate
going backwards. We feeling like we're going backwards. We hate losing and giving anything up.
You know, I may have gotten relatively bored with it, but if you take it away, then I'm going to be
pissed. So we get ourselves into into trouble. And I see this all over the place. It's, you know,
I got a raise and then I go and get a fancy new apartment. And it's really cool to have the new
apartment. It's really fun to socialize in. But now you're actually not any closer to financial
independence than you were before, because you lifted your expenses up by as much or more than
you lifted your savings up. And now you're not actually making any progress. And I watch so many
people dig a hole for themselves. One of the biggest problems we actually see our firm does
actually a lot of work with people who are retiring or in kind of the final five to 10 year stretch
before retirement. And one of the biggest pinch that we commonly see for most of them is they have
all sorts of regrets about the lifestyle, the things that crept up into their lifestyle through,
I find particularly their 30s and 40s, because that tends to be when some of our biggest income
raises and career advancements come. And so those are sort of the big opportunity moments where we
can make these decisions, because we get stuck in these traps. You know, the car feels cool when I
buy it, but the new feeling wears off, but the car payments keep going for five years. And you know,
the big new mortgage, the bin new house feels really cool for the first year or two, but the
big mortgage is going to be with you for 30. And people get themselves into trouble with allowing
their lifestyle to creep upwards. And sometimes we don't even realize we're doing it. It's the
time that you finally decide you're going to stop mowing the lawn, you're going to have someone
else mow the lawn for you. And the first time you pay someone else to mow your lawn for most people
is like the last time they ever want to mow their own lawn. And then you get stuck. So like,
it's not just hanging out, someone come out and mow my lawn for a couple of bucks. It's,
no, no, you're going to have someone come out and mow your lawn for the next 30 years,
because once you do it, you almost never go backwards.
So that is really where the crux of my question lies, because with a McMansion or a fancy car,
it's easy to see that that has no value on your earning potential. But with something like,
say mowing the lawn, cleaning your house, you know, ways in which you trade money for time,
those do have an impact, or at least arguably do have an impact on your ability to earn. And,
you know, kind of goes back to that human capital investing in yourself piece of it,
you know, Amazon Prime, another good example.
And that to me is basically the distinction. Like, are you buying time for pleasure,
or are you buying time for business and earnings? And I think there's a difference between the two
in it, not to say that buying time for your business is good and buying time for yourself is bad,
because frankly, a lot of the research now that's coming forth on how to spend money in ways that
makes you happy. One of the biggest ways you can actually spend money that makes you happy is
spending it in ways that give you time. It's actually a spending money on time is much better
correlated to happiness than spending money on objects and things. But I think the crux of that
question really comes back to what is the purpose of how you're spending the money on time? Is it
for pleasure, or is it for business and work and earnings potential?
But I mean, you yourself said the reason we'll use Amazon Prime as an example,
you know, the reason that you pay for an Amazon Prime account, and then also not even bother
shopping around just, you know, buy the item on Amazon without looking at, without price
comparing, you know, toothpaste across five different stores is because you would rather
spend that time with your kids, which is pleasure and not business.
Yeah. But I look at those decisions very deliberately. And in our household, like,
we spend time actually thinking about when we're going to introduce some new expense,
whether it's as directly related to time savings as that or not, when we're going to do any kind
of regular expense that's going to be ongoing, it is actually a conversation, a conscious thought,
like, what am I doing this for? Why am I doing it? And, you know, do I want to saddle myself with
this forever? Because Lord knows, after a couple of years of Amazon Prime delivery,
like, I have no tolerance to go to a store anymore. It's kind of bad. It's a little healthy.
Oh, it's great. I love it. I'm personally, I'm very, very happy with it.
Have you found Google Express, by the way? It's my new obsession.
No, we haven't looked at Google Express, but I am based in the DC area. So we are,
we are now getting two hour delivery ramp ups on Amazon Prime. And there's,
there's really nothing quite so special is just deciding one morning you want a thing. And,
you know, Amazon drops off your house that afternoon. I figure within a couple of years,
we'll just hit a button on a phone and like a little drone will drop it on a heli pad out by
up behind the house. So I love it. I love the, I love the progress on it. But again, like,
we look at those things very deliberately about, okay, this is a thing we're going to
introduce to our lives at once we do it, we're going to have trouble going back. So just make
sure you actually want to pull the trigger on that. And I found for us, I mean, it was a
progression over time. You know, frankly, if I do the math on my income, the income per dollar
hour is good enough that I can justify almost any of those trade offs at this point. I couldn't
do that years ago when I can't know that my, my income has grown. But the progression along the way
that we were giving conscious thought to throughout was, is this a dollars for time thing or is this
dollars for object? And if it's dollars for time thing, am I doing it for myself or am I doing it for
trading off business and work and earnings opportunity? And honestly, like early on, most of them were
trading off for business opportunity time. You know, it was, hey, it would be nice if I didn't need to
move the lawn so that I could actually spend time doing a little bit more client stuff because that's
what brings the money in and puts food on the table and and shoes for my children. Over time,
that started to morph a little to the point where he said, okay, we've got kind of the work
stuffs figured out now that's going well. Now it becomes a question of trading time for sort of
personal stuff for family time or the rest. But our starting point without just recognizing those
dynamics was, you know, be very careful about introducing expenses into your life that are
recurring. That to me is probably the single biggest kind of warning slash takeaway for people
to bear in mind. Like spending money on time because you take a vacation, that's great. You can
have a wonderful time, even lots of research that validates the wonderful way to literally
enjoy your money and find some happiness. But you take a vacation and then next year you'll see how
things are going and decide whether or what kind of vacation you're going to want to take.
That's very different from I got a raise, I'm not taking a vacation, I got a raise, I'm going to
go buy myself a new car where no matter what happens with your job and your income and the rest
next year and the year after and the year after that, you're going to have the car payment,
it's going to be sticking around. So number one, I think is just giving thought to any,
when you introduce new expenses into your life, be cognizant of that lifestyle creep effect that
when you add them in, it's really hard to subtract them later. So be cognizant about what you're
spending on and then likewise be cognizant of just why are you doing it? Is it because you just
want a thing? Is it because you are trying to save time for work? Is it because you're trying to
save time for family or personal life? Any of those can be fine, at least in moderation.
But just taking the pause, even to ask the question about why you're doing it often helps to
avoid some problems because a lot of the time we just see these things out of impulse and we
don't even realize the trap we put ourselves in until after the fact when we think about
having to give up something that we don't want to give up. Okay, so unfortunately I have to go
fairly soon but final question before we wrap up is let's say that you're making, you're faced
with those decisions, right? So you're thinking about, you've got $5,000 and you could either spend
this money on a combination of buying more time for yourself via outsourcing some of your domestic
household chores and errands slash taking classes. You can spend it on yourself that way
or you can put it into a total stock market index fund. How do you make that comparison?
I mean, particularly not given the ambiguity of the outcome. I guess that's what this whole
conversation has been about. Yeah, I mean, some of it is. So I think there's a few ways that I look
at that question. Number one is just what's your time horizon? The reality is if you're within
five or even sometimes 10 years of retirement, unless you're on one amazing career trajectory,
like you can only move the needle so much on your career and your earnings power over just a couple
of years. So if you're time horizonally a couple of years until your retirement, I'd probably just
stuff it into the retirement account and buy my total market index and hope the market cooperates
for a few more years. The longer your time horizon, the more the contributions towards human capital
matter because just literally it's such a bigger number. When I've still got a couple of decades
left to work, my total investment accounts are $20,000 and my total human capital is worth $1.5
million. So which one would you invest into? You make 10% on your $20,000, you make $2,000.
You make 10% on your $1.5 million. You make 150 grand. One of these has much better
compounding potential. It's just literally the better investment opportunity. Now, where you go
with it for mayor, I think depends a lot on the nature of the work and the income earning opportunity
you have. Things like, hey, I want to hire someone to do some domestic tasks so I can free up a
little bit more time. My question for that immediately goes back to if you're going to buy some time,
I think you got to have a pretty clear sense of where it's going. So if you're doing freelance
work as a side gig and you're making $x an hour, like fantastic. If you got a side gig and you're
making $30 an hour, technically anything you can let go of that costs you $25 an hour or less so
that you can spend time doing the $30 an hour stuff, you are making money. You are minting money for
yourself every time you pay to delegate and the higher your income lifts up, the more it pays
to delegate. If you can make $50 an hour, you should let go of anything that's $45 an hour or less
and you can keep moving the needle up. That works well if you've got some kind of
freelance gig or business you own or hourly project, like something where you can actually
trade your time for money that directly, not everyone's in that position. If you're not, then
frankly, I'm a little bit wary about telling people to trade time for money or money for time unless
they just want to literally do it for their lifestyle because I can pretty much guarantee you, if you
do that trade, you're not going to want to go backwards. If you do that trade without a sense
of where you're going with it, you may just end up having a more expensive lifestyle and finding
yourself in a deeper hole than you may be in now. What if you are making that trade for a business
that is not profitable yet but you're hoping will be profitable in the future or if you are making
that trade so that you could go back to school to pursue a graduate degree? If you're making
the trade because you're trying to get to one of those breakthroughs, I think it's a reasonable
trade. Again, with the caveat that, and I say this ironically, as someone that's got two masters
degrees, one of the last things I put on that list is going back to school for graduate degrees.
Not that you don't get there at some point. Obviously, I literally did and I can definitely
say it was very rewarding for my long-term career, but it wasn't the first thing I went back for.
I graduated as an undergrad and I went and got a job and then I got a designation in my profession
and I got another one and I got another one. Even when I ultimately went back to grad school,
I went to grad school at night part-time while I was working full-time. I did have to do a little
bit of time for money trades so that I could do grad school classes two nights a week for a long
period of time. I didn't walk away from full-time grad school and do that big time for money shift.
Because frankly, to me, that was a risky trade-off. I was reasonably confident investing in myself
into the grad school program I was taking was going to be worthwhile, but that doesn't mean I want to
go all in on it and risk coming out at the other end and not finding the income potential that I
was expecting. I deliberately hedged my bets by keeping the job, keeping the day job, doing the
grad school at night. It took more than twice as long to get through it, but I had a steadier,
less risky path going through it. Then ultimately, at the end, I was able to find some new opportunities
that moved the career forward. I'd start again with the smaller scale stuff, which is,
can I join Toastmasters? Can I take a writing skills class? Can I beef up my excel and power
point and Microsoft Word skills or whatever it is that you use at your company or your business
to your industry? I'd start with the smaller scale stuff. I think we tend to... I see a lot of
people that go out and they try to buy a degree as a path to higher income. It's not the degree
that gets you the path to higher income. It's the skills, it's the training and experience.
Frankly, it's the confidence that you end out getting when you know you're good at what you do,
because you tend to sell yourself better and get negotiated better jobs and raises and gigs and
all that stuff, whatever your business is, when you've got that confidence. If you approach it,
do you know, don't approach it as, I want to buy a degree to get a better job. Approach it as,
I want to buy some training to improve my skills to move down a better path.
Just what you'll find is, the skills training is often actually much more reasonably priced
than trying to buy degrees. I find it tends to be a more stable path and actually a less expensive
one. Right, right. Absolutely. Taking classes, taking specific classes on specific topics that
you want to learn about is much cheaper. Yeah. Cheaper and less time and arguably more effective.
Yeah. And the other thing just to note to it, a lot of these changes, I mean, you may also just
have to go through a period of time where you got to buck up and put in a little more time
for getting it done. I've still seen people that are trying to make this transition are like,
well, I'm really aggravated because I'm trying to take this training class to improve my job,
but my boss won't give me Friday afternoons off to study. So let's say like, you're trying to get
a better career for the next 20 or 30 years. Spend a couple Sundays, put in the time yourself. I mean,
if you do it forever, eventually you're going to get grumpy about it because you're going to
want your time back. But recognize that for some of these as well, it's okay to put in an extra
sprint for a stage as well. Sometimes the big reinvestment you make isn't buying time.
It's just committing some time to try to get a breakthrough and move forward.
Right. Absolutely. Well, thank you so much, Michael.
My pleasure. I hope it's food for thought for people. We kind of ranged across a wide spectrum
of financial and career topics. Yeah. I think this was excellent. Where can people find you if
they'd like to know more about you? So you can find me in two places, kitsus.com, which is
my own site and blog and kind of personal platform these days. So the various businesses I'm involved
with. And then I'm also a co-founder of a group called the XY Planning Network, which is actually a
network of financial advisors, specifically that work with folks in their 20s, 30s, and 40s on these
kinds of issues. So most financial advisors out there sell products or they manage assets.
Kind of our champion mission at XY Planning Network is we just do financial planning for a monthly
subscription fee. No products, no asset minimums, none of that stuff. Just if you want some advice
in coaching, we have a network of a couple hundred advisors around the country that do that.
So kitsus.com is the personal site next to our planning network.com is our advisory network.
And that pretty much consumes my world these days. Nice. And I will link to both of those in the
show notes. All right. Awesome. Well, thank you very much.
Thank you, Michael, for coming on to the show. Now, what are some of the key takeaways that we
got from this? Here are three that stood out to me. Number one, lifestyle inflation isn't necessarily
bad per se, but it's better if you are to inflate your lifestyle, it's better to use your money
in a way that buys back your time. So ask yourself, are you trading a dollar for time,
or are you trading a dollar for an object? A couple of examples. If you decide to lifestyle
inflate by paying for salon haircuts instead of just cutting your own hair or getting like the cheap
$12 super cut cut, that's something that's not going to give you any more time. In fact,
it'll actually probably take away time because what you were doing before was probably faster.
If you decide to inflate your lifestyle in terms of getting blowouts and pedicures,
or buying a fancy car or a McMansion, all of those are lifestyle inflation examples in which
you're not buying any time for yourself. You're just spending money. But lifestyle inflation,
in which you decide to start outsourcing certain tasks, mowing your lawn, cleaning your house,
ordering things from Amazon Prime or Google Express, those are ways in which you can inflate
your lifestyle. Yet, it's going to cost you more money, but it will bring you back time. Now,
that doesn't necessarily mean that you should do it. It's just that these are different classes
of lifestyle inflation and ought to be way differently. Basically, there's a certain point at which we
should acknowledge that not all lifestyle inflation is created equal. Trading a dollar for an hour
is very different, not literally a dollar, but you know what I mean. Trading dollars for hours
is very different than trading dollars for objects. That's one of the takeaways that I got from this
conversation. By the way, quick pause here because I want to relate a few personal anecdotes.
First of all, Google Express, I'm not being paid to say this. I just found this. So I've been an
avid Amazon Prime user for a while. I actually had to put myself on an Amazon Prime fast because I
was overdoing it. But I'm back to Amazon Prime now and it's amazing because all of this stuff
that I would get in my car and drive to the store to buy now just comes to me. So for example,
I subscribe to Protein Powder on Amazon. So instead of having the drive to the store and buy protein
powder, it comes to me as a monthly subscription. So I don't even have to think about it.
Anyway, Google Express, it's the same business model as Amazon Prime. You pay a flat rate. I
think it's around $99 a year and they'll send you stuff from a variety of stores, including,
and this is the kicker, including Costco. So for a hundred bucks a year, I never have to physically
go to Costco again. I'm obviously going to be saving way more than four hours a year.
Just by virtue of not having to get into my car, drive to Costco and run around that whole store,
trying to find pine nuts and bags of whole bean coffee. So yeah, there's my little rant,
totally not being paid to say that. But anyway, the actual story that I wanted to relate before I
became an unpaid Google spokesperson was that I personally, I have struggled a lot with this
question of how to value your time, particularly in the context of when you are using your
dollars to buy back your time. How do you generate a value for that? Because if you were to simply
state, for example, you might state I make $50,000 per year. And so if you work 40 hours a week times
50 weeks a year, that's 2,000 working hours per year. If you made $50,000 a year, then you would
be making $25 an hour. But that type of math or that type of reasoning is a little bit flawed.
Number one, because not all hours are created evenly. There are some hours in which you're
focused and some in which you're not. There are some, if you're self-employed, there are billable
hours versus non-billable hours. And so I've never really known how to value an hour, especially
being self-employed. There are certain hours in which I'm, for that hour, literally making
thousands of dollars. And there are many, many, many other hours in which I'm working, making zero,
and a variety of hours in between. Depending on if I'm writing an article, if I'm giving a speech,
if I'm futzing around with my Twitter account, if I'm checking email, if I'm generally like kind
of halfheartedly checking email, but sort of also staring into space, I mean, part of the difficulty
in calculating the value of an hour comes from that. The other part of the difficulty, though,
comes from the fact that there are 168 hours a week. And so if you were to say, my hour is worth
$25 or $50 or $100, whatever it is, it doesn't matter. If you were to say that my hour is worth
X, then any hour that you're not working is biological extension, an hour in which you are
paying the opportunity cost of not earning X. And so like I mentioned during the interview,
that leads to some really weird logical extremes, right? Because, all right, if an hour is worth
40 bucks, then does that mean that the hour that I just spent watching Westworld cost me $40?
Or logically, does that mean that if it takes me seven hours to read a book,
then the cost of reading that book was $280? Like you see where this is going, right? Like if you,
you need to put some boundaries around your hours, and so it logically doesn't quite make sense to just
issue a blanket statement that if an hour of your time is worth $40, then that applies even
lead to all hours of your life. And it also logically doesn't make sense to state that if you
hired somebody to mow your lawn, and that saved you an hour, and then you increased your workload
by one hour, that you have therefore arbitrage mowing your lawn. Because even if you are working
for one additional hour, why does that one additional hour come from the lawn mowing rather than say
one fewer hour that you sleep, or one fewer hour that you cook, or just one fewer hour that you like
kind of puts around generally like staring out the window and not really doing a whole lot.
Even if you increase your workload by an extra hour a week, that hour could have come from anywhere.
So logically, the trading dollars for hours never really made a whole lot of sense to me.
And I struggled with this for a very long time. And the best answer that I have found so far
came from the author Laura Vanderkamp. She was a guest on our show in episode 38. We'll link to
that in the show notes. But Laura's advice was first fill your schedule with all of the things
that you cannot outsource, such as reading books, exercising, calling your mom, sleeping,
showering. Those are all the things that you just you can't outsource. So fill your schedule with that
first. And then once you've completely filled your schedule with that, if you have any time
remaining, then you can start putting in the things that are outsourceable. I loved that
explanation because it removed this kind of false rationalization of equating time with money,
which I think is not like mathematically and logically, it just doesn't work to try to make
a linear one to one exchange between time and money. And so by first filling your schedule with
the things that you cannot outsource, and then if and only if there's time remaining adding in
the things you can, that just seems like a much better framework. And it's one that doesn't drive
me to like, it doesn't drive me insane by taking me to the edge of logical extremes,
which is where I was going when people were trying to give the argument of an hour of your time is
worth X. So I went off on a bit of a tangent there, but that is all to say that there are three
major takeaways that I got from this conversation with Michael Kitzis. The first of those three major
takeaways is to think about whether you're trading a dollar for an hour versus whether you're trading
a dollar for an object. And if you are going to inflate your lifestyle, ideally do it in such a way
in which you're trading dollars for hours more so than objects. So that is chief takeaway number one.
Takeaway number two that I got out of this interview was to be very careful about recurring expenses.
As Michael said, taking a vacation or taking a trip traveling is not a recurring expense. You do
it once and you don't ever have to do it again. Versus getting a large mortgage. I mean, that's a
recurring payment that you're going to have to make for the life of the mortgage. So be careful about
about any of those because you're locking your future into higher fixed costs and the higher your
fixed costs, the less freedom you have, the less flexibility that you have. So think very carefully
before you start literally mortgaging your future. Chief takeaway number three that I got from our
conversation, this came at the very end when he said, it's not the degree, it's the skills
and the confidence. So if you are going to invest in yourself by virtue of learning,
don't necessarily fall into the dominant paradigm of thinking that education only comes from an
institution that can grant you a diploma. Because certainly there are some careers in which you
need a diploma. If you want to be a dentist, you're going to have to go through the requisite
schooling. If you want to be a doctor, ditto. But for a lot of fields, you don't necessarily need a
degree to be a writer or to be a business owner. You need skills and you need education and training
that can help you get those skills. But that doesn't mean that you have to enroll in a master's
program for that necessarily. Invest in yourself, but look for more cost-effective ways of doing it,
that you know, more cost-effective than going into grad school. And particularly if you have to go
into a bunch of debt to go into grad school, again, you're putting a big recurring expense
onto your future. Be wary of that. So those are the three takeaways that I got from this.
All of the websites and books and everything that we mentioned are going to be linked to in the
show notes, which you can find at affordanything.com slash show notes. So check out the show notes
while you're there. Subscribe to getting regular updates of the show notes delivered to your inbox
every Monday morning. And if you like this show, please do me a favor, head to iTunes and leave
us a review. Thank you so much for listening. My name is Paula Pan. This is the afford anything
podcast. I'll catch you next week.