Episode 117: Reacting to RJ Bell's Dream Preview: The After Party Panel
On this week's episode of Circles Off,
Johnny's back in the co-host chair.
We're gonna get to a wide variety of topics,
including Producers Zach making some minus EV moves.
And we're gonna react to the RJ Bell Dream Podcast,
talking about content creators in the space,
what's acceptable, what's not.
All that and more, this week's episode of Circles Off starts now.
Come on, let's battle!
Welcome to Circles Off episode number 117, right here.
On the Hammer Bedding Network,
Rob Pizzola joined by Johnny from Betstamp,
back in the co-host chair, our things.
Back after a week off, you guys survived, don't you?
Yeah, it was good.
We got a lot of views last week's episode.
Yeah.
How does that make you feel?
Just waiting to be replaced.
You guys let me know.
No, it was a good, it was a long episode,
so I think a lot of people wanted to hear it
and George's origin story as well.
Gee, stack.
What a nice guy.
What a nice guy.
He is a good dude.
He gave me a little cigarettelo when he left last week,
because I think I mentioned that I wish I had like a cigar for the golf,
and he's like, oh, a smoke one of these.
He came when he came in here last time,
he gave me a beautiful bottle of scotch
that I was enjoying just out of the blue.
What a just a genuine occasion gift.
Appreciate that.
I mean, he brought each of us,
so me, you and Zach, behind the glass, a bottle of scotch.
Yeah.
George, Rob actually sold this.
He flipped it for a bottle of money.
This respect that I actually am enjoying mine.
Thank you.
No, I never would do that,
but on top of that,
he did the interview here with Cabby.
He gave him a Kobe Bryant Rooking card.
Yeah, I know.
I was looking those up on eBay.
I mean, there's probably a couple of dimes for that card.
Yeah, Cabby's like, you just blew the budget for the show.
They don't know if he didn't have a budget.
There was no budget for 90 degrees.
Budget is zero.
Yeah, there will be.
Number 17.
17.
Ilya Kovalchuk.
Yeah.
Great as Jersey, the powder, blue,
falk, uh, thrashers.
What am I saying here?
Atlanta thrashers, powder, blue,
downless sleeve.
That's a Jersey.
Philip Rivers is my favorite number 17.
You will not get in the Hall of Fame
because that scumbag Eli Manning will
because he won the two Super Bulls.
But if you go back to that draft class,
Rivers, Rathus Burger,
Eli, poor rivers,
just could never get it done, man.
Poor you.
You almost came out of retirement last year,
San Fran won the,
won the NFC.
I actually saw that story.
That would have been really,
it's down to been bananas.
Oh, man.
Rivers has the chance to win the Super Bull.
He leaves about 100 million percent
and not won the Super Bull.
He leaves his wife at home with his 20 kids.
He's got a lot of kids.
I think he's got double digit kids.
He's wise, pregnant again.
Yeah.
Rivers, uh, I could never book him as a guest
when I was a radio producer.
The easy way to book guests
if you want to book an athlete,
obviously you contact the team.
But the PR guy,
depending on how big,
you know, your, your,
your station is or whatever,
then always going to give you the best players from the team.
So you might show for Phillip Rivers
and they'll be like, uh,
Phil's not available,
but like this guy is or whatever.
Middle line backer.
Okay, sure we'll do an interview.
Have some fun.
But you would always be able to get guests
by like saying you'll promote their products.
So I got like drew blood so once
because we were promoting like his winery
or Charles Woodson, the exact same thing.
Or if they were playing in like a charity tournament,
it's like, we'll have you on
and we'll talk about your charity golf tournament.
Like, boom, we'll do it.
But Phillip Rivers,
every single time,
I still love Phillip Rivers,
but it was always like,
we'll make a live donation
to the Rivers of Hope Foundation,
like live on air.
And we still couldn't get him to do it.
He's the only guy ever
that just like completely turned me down.
Yeah, tough bounce.
It's tough bounce.
Window clerk.
Speaking of something like 17.
I won't let you down.
Pinnacle sports book.
Oh man, that was so good.
That was actually really good.
I wish I could have thought of that.
There you go.
One week out of the seat,
all the sun is coming back in with fresh new ideas.
Pinnacle is the world's sharpest sports book
available to betters in Ontario.
We often preach line shopping here on circles off
and we're going to do that over the course of the football season.
But you're round.
And I think that's one of the most critical aspects of betting.
I'd never consider betting without Pinnacle
as one of my sportsbooks
because of their every day competitive odds.
We've shown that here on the circles off channel.
I recorded a video on line shopping a week ago as well.
And you can check that out right here on circles off.
But they do have the most competitive odds
in the entire industry.
So bet smart bet pinnacle.
They've been your trusted sportsbook for the past 25 years,
25 years in business for pinnacle sportsbook
and use code hammer when signing up.
It's a way of supporting the show.
So do that.
You must be 19 plus not available in the US.
And as always, please play responsibly.
Today's show is going to be an interesting one.
I waited for you to get back to do this one in specific.
So talk a little bit about this with G-Stack last week
about the bet bash panel.
You showed up at bet bash as well.
You were in the room for the hostility between me and Ravel.
Which by the way, this guy came after me on Twitter again this week.
You spelled it?
He posted a picture of him winning a bunch of parlays.
And he's like, oh, see Pizzola?
Like parlays aren't bad or whatever.
Guy completely missed the point.
Then proceeded to say that he was like a winning parlay better.
It took probably about 30 seconds for someone
to find his action network historical record.
And Debate was trying to explain
that there's no way to hack it on the action network app.
Which is obviously ways to hack it on any app, of course.
Definitely.
He's like, there's no way it could possibly happen.
Rob.
And then he's like, you don't understand how a tracking app
works.
And you're just like, Darren, don't tell me how a tracking app works.
It was so frustrating, man.
It was actually so frustrating to deal with that.
But there was another podcast, which talked about this bet bash panel.
So on RJ Bell's Dream Preview, there was an episode
called bet bash 2023, the after party panel.
And today, what we're going to do on the show
is we're going to listen to a lot of that specific episode
and we're going to react to it.
And I have not heard this.
Johnny has not heard this.
Our producer, Zach, listen to the whole thing.
So he's going to steer this along and maybe we'll move
and jump from here to there as time goes on.
But the reason we're going to do this is because when this
podcast came out, we got dozens upon dozens of messages
about this specific pod and what we thought about it.
And apparently, I mentioned by name,
Johnny's mentioned by name.
Oh, really?
That's what they tell me.
What do they even say about me?
Well, I don't know.
But judging by the cast here of who is part of this,
we have RJ Bell, who's the owner of pregame.
We have Steve Fesick, who appeared right here on Circles off.
Episode link in the description below.
I think one of our better episodes ever.
AJ Hoffman, I have no idea who that is.
Scott Sidenberg, I know exactly who that is.
I'll explain.
And Mackenzie Rivers.
So the description of this is these five people
discuss Betbash Las Vegas, very plain and simple.
Before we get into it, I think it's important to preface
just for the interest of being like, I don't want to say unbiased
because there's generally biases.
But just let the audience know what we think of these people,
generally speaking.
So Scott Sidenberg, as I mentioned, when I worked
for Prediction Machine, I did a weekly hit with Scott Sidenberg
on NBC Sports Radio.
He eventually went over to Veeson, where I continued to do hits
during the football season on his show on Veeson.
Scott is a great guy.
He would not an expert in betting.
And I think he would definitely admit that.
But he's really taken a fondness to that over the course of the years.
I think he's a very real person who is obviously
opinionated, as most people who are in radio are.
You do like to hear our own voices.
But I don't think he would be upset
if I said he's not an expert in betting.
RJ Bell, where do I start?
I infamously tweeted in 2014, which Zach has actually pulled up
on the screen here.
You can mock RJ and Vegas all you want,
but he provides some great info on a week to week basis.
Good stuff here, and I link to a pregame forum.
I've never deleted this.
I don't delete tweets.
So did you delete a couple tweets?
Have I?
No, I haven't deleted.
If there might have been a time where I tried to scrub
some stuff for one specific company, which I won't say,
where I was trying to get hired by that company.
But I think that's the only time I've ever deleted tweets.
Fair enough?
I listen.
I don't delete tweets.
I don't.
And this is a reminder, because this one would have been out
the door a long time ago.
So you don't believe this now, or you do?
I do not, because like, this was 2014.
I was a recreational better.
I was working in radio, like I mentioned, betting the NFL.
I was very much like into the short-term trend stuff.
Like this team is whatever and whatever coming off of a buy week.
That was the type of stuff that mattered to me.
And that's the kind of stuff that RJ was putting out at that time.
I don't now believe that that was valuable at all.
I was also interviewed two years later for
an article that came out on Dead Spin.
I believe the author was Ryan Goldberg.
The article was called How America Is Favorite Sports Betting Expert.
I don't know, turned.
It was basically a hit piece on pregame, okay?
And it was led by another better
that went by Jacob Wheatley-Schuller.
At that time, he was Vegas Watch on Twitter.
But essentially, none of my stuff ever made it into that article.
And it wasn't directed specifically at RJ Bell,
but it was directed at the Philly Godfather at that time.
But it was really eye-opening for a lot of people.
In terms of how these betting businesses do,
out-services do, and I think in that particular article,
we'll link to the article in the description.
We're not going to read through it.
It's very long if you want to take your time to do it.
But I think what the author did was broke down pregame's history
in terms of here's who wins, here's who loses,
and then here's how many win on top of the cost you have to pay for the subscription.
Which was how many?
I think it was one.
But that was just variants.
Yeah, I think it was one person, that one, with the subscription.
So anyways, RJ, I believe then threatened litigation against deadspin
and got some of the things in that article revoked,
or he was able to put his own words into it as well.
So if you do read it now, there's also commentary from RJ within there.
But to say that he's a polarizing individual,
would be understating it.
There's definitely a group of people,
Contrarianville, known as Seville.
A lot of people who give us negative comments for a show or whatever
doesn't matter to me, but that hate RJ Bell.
So there's a community that just despises the guy and thinks he's the worst person on Earth.
I'm not saying I believe that.
I don't hate a lot of people.
I don't think that there's some things with his business that are absolutely not right.
But I don't think all touts are scum either.
So there's like a fine line.
Steve Fesik, we shared our thoughts on Fesik.
Again, there's people out there that despise Steve Fesik.
I'm not one of those people.
Do I think everything he does is right?
Absolutely not.
I think that there's a lot of conflict with the pick route that he's taken.
But I don't hate on the individual himself.
So it is a group of people that
or core audience would probably want us to be very harsh on them.
I'm just stating the facts here.
I'm going to speak my mind as if I didn't know any of these five people essentially.
Yeah, for mine, I don't know any of them personally.
I met Fesik for like one minute at Bet Bash.
I was actually hoping to talk to him more,
but never got the chance like it's crazy busy there.
Like constantly moving around getting pulled in all different directions.
So yeah, no, but I don't know.
I don't even really know RJ Bellov.
So you know who he is.
RJ and Vegas, but I can't say I've listened to any of this stuff as well.
So we'll see it'll be an organic reaction from me.
That's for sure.
Okay, Zach, let's hit it.
Stay
Imagine a siren, a emergency edition
of the pod and we've got the man that everyone's talking about.
Release he's amongst the crowd that's being discussed.
Steve Fezik who was on a panel down at Serca.
There was a Bet Bash event.
And somehow someone canceled and he got on it.
Was it the beat team?
Is that the fairway to say the money?
Yeah, the money came in against this panel being popular as soon as the line-ups got reported and
Know this is the best panel by
The panel was it was a Rodney King echoing of why can't we all get along? Twitter wars. Why can't we all get along?
You know, I could have made this real simple and could have skipped the panel because most sports bettors that make money or almost make money our assholes
That is pretty accurate. I mean we can just say that
Let's wrap up boys. I'll meet you down at the bottom. What's wild is how he'd looked fed straight in the eye when he said that like
Didn't feel bad about it at all like oh, don't we all know that we all know that guys who make money betting sports and win super contest particularly
Multiple are asked no, I didn't say that I said that's a unique group
With an underbelly of sweetness that is an obvious it takes years to say
Here's what we're gonna do though
There what if you haven't heard we're gonna set the scene now. This is one of those
You know, there's an old saying why are the fights so tough in academia where there's like some professor of
Archaeology that's mad at some other professor and it's so intense and
The answer to that question is often well, that's all they've got what you have is people who
If you're good you could have done something else
It's very few people I know that really win at sports betting that would have been and couldn't have been a lawyer
Couldn't have been a professor
Usually their IQ is sufficient. Would you agree with that fact? Yeah, the bar is so high and requires such a level of competence to win
Significantly at sports betting so you're complimenting yourself right now. Yeah, okay
So you're saying to be me to be me if you're gonna make six figures a year betting sports
Means you should be able to bet seven figures if you'd gone to Wall Street or something else and
Yeah, I mean that's there's some element of truth to that. I mean honestly. No, there's there's honestly not I disagree with that
Okay, in like in the in the sense of
Well, I mean, I don't do that because I can't get a higher paying job than I make off sports
But I think that there's a lot of people who take less just just to bet sports than they could be making elsewhere
Since like what do you it's like comparing a different thing in life though like it's basically like saying oh if you were a
A doctor you could have became you were making 300 something thousand as a doctor
You could have become a lawyer and make 400,000 like yeah, it's a different job though
Like you want to be a doctor you want to be a lawyer you want to be whatever like it's true
And actually the path of lots of sports betters is starting with a full-time job and then just quitting that because they've now exceeded that income
Yeah, like personally like I would never want to be a lawyer like that's not my style
Like I wouldn't want to just don't not passionate about that. Don't want to do it right wouldn't like if you told me hey
you can make
Whatever make 10 million dollars right now you'll be a give you 10 million right you'll be a dentist for us your life
Probably like nah fuck that I'm with you genuinely. Yeah, I know I think I'm kind of with you
It's got even more money than that matters, but I think they're just setting the stage now for whatever conversation that we're gonna get into
Go ahead suck rating scheme that wasn't even gambling related that Phil was somehow involved in
You know, it's interesting that anyone can be diminished like that if you go unconventional
If you don't go with society says be a doctor be a lawyer be whatever that has a
Credentials in front of it and you better tow the line or we'll kick you out of the club
But if you're in this club, you know you tow the line
Well, guys like feds doesn't like that wild men like that
Well, you know what most people who don't like tow in the line
They are humans still most of them and they want to be affirmed
Well, how do you get affirmed in sports batting?
You can win super contests
But there's a reason people a lot of pros hate the feds is one two of those because it does affirm him
And it's pause pause pause
It's yes, it's a game of skill, but the amount of like that's not a different thing. It doesn't affirm anything
It actually it actually doesn't affirm anything like I would like the guy who won the circa millions contests last year
Yeah, could be a losing sports better. We don't even know that yeah
He might be a winner. He might be a loser
But that he won the circa millions like I'm not staking that guy to bet this year
That's what I'm saying. Yeah, I wouldn't stake him to win the super contest this year because he won last year
So this is already a disagreement for me as well like I don't think that
I think maybe football contests over a long period of time. There's like he didn't win twice
Whatever like I'm sure he's playing optimal strategy like he's picking. He's picking games, right? But like that's
It's not that big of you different time different number of entrants. Yeah, there's like a lot of things
It's a it's also a stale line pool like you just pick the odds like it's nothing to do with market reading
There's no bet sizing. There's no positions. No opposition like
Regular betting is way more of an indicator of skill than winning a supercon
Agreed. I'm not trying to diminish the feats of winning contests by the way
I'm just saying that this does not affirm
Anyone as being like a great better. I've never won a super contest. So I've never been in the supercon I've never won
I've never come within 10 games of winning one of the contests. Are you in this year? Yeah, circa mill
Circa mill to the max. I got the five entries and the ten survivors. Yeah
See you on the I like to piss away money. I'll see you on the car
I'm not on the piss away money. Do you need me on the ninth green at nine the super the circa millions this year
So I'll say this for everyone
I truly believe bait. There will there should be an overlay Derek Stevens former friend of the pod
He has
Well, former guest of the pod current friend friend Derek
It's guaranteeing up eight millie prize pool
Doesn't look like they're gonna get to the eight mill so there will be some overlay also circa millions
So many people forget to put in the picks. Yeah, so many people forget to put the picks in
I'm saying right now based on the prize structure. There's already no big
Right, so technically if you randomize
The fact that there's an overlay plus people forget the picks if you just use a randomizer each week
like go online be like randomize like
Whatever mark each game one to 32 or something each team and then just like randomize it five numbers
Use those plus EV for the year. It very well could be the case
I last year looked like it wasn't gonna fill and there was a ton that came in late
So it's still possible, but it didn't fill last year anyways. It was very close
Small overlay and they raised it from six mill to or five or six mill to eight mill
So
Unless it grows another, you know, yes
This guy grow. Oh, you know decent percentage chance
I think and plus the entries are max at five. Yeah, survivors 10. Yeah, you can only do five super contest
We're promoting the contest go sign up if you're in base. I think it's a good value
But also circus guarantee a lot people do these these pools and stuff especially around here like cash pools
They'll be like ought to 50 grand prize
It's all good. These ones are eight million
prize pool for if you win the survivor contest
Obviously, it's harder to win entry cost thousand bucks. You ask but like
Man, that's fun. That's real life changing money. That's fine. It's fun
Yeah, a great fun and you're not even getting bad value like they don't take a a big on that
So even if it goes so let's say eight million
But let's say a million people sign up. It's not like the prize is only eight million
Yeah, and the prize will be whatever the thing is like circuit doesn't take a big so totally agree
Anyways, when I win. I'm not retiring. Just you know Rob. Oh, you know what is negative VV though
Save it. No, no, no, no, no, I need to come up right now. Okay. What is negative VV heard from a buddy of Zax? Oh
No, you fucked up something with the insurance. No, okay
This guy you entered in circa millions. Yeah
This guy paid 35% for his proxy service. Oh
That's tough man. What how much you pay for your proxy
Okay, hold on
I use your proxy Maddie Simal, but how many entries did you buy?
One and how much money did you pay?
For the proxy we got the Saturday extended one. So whatever that oh, so it's it's more
Buddy, yeah, because you can you can wait to so a lot of the proxy services. No, I know, but how much did you pay?
So it's a thousand for the entry. How much for the proxy?
Uh
Well, I don't know what it is. I was told it was 350 bucks. Okay, I don't know for sure
But I will say every proxy has a service it list is what it's become
But you either pay for your like the
They're charged more for the extended sign-up time where you can get right all in one entry and paid 350 bucks
If that's the correct number for the proxy so you pay a thousand for the entry you pay 1350 for the entry
There's a EV down the drain on the proxy for one entry. If you did that's how that's Canadian though. Obviously
All right, sorry. That's like one dollar us
That's also not 30% though
Those three hundred fifty dollars then you need some receipts above 30%
If it was three because a thousand dollars can to connect us to Canadian is 13. So what is it 300 Canadian 350 Canadian?
I can pull I can pull up the exact receipts of how much
All right, you paid 26% fake sorry my bad the nose Canadian vs US still though anything above
That's it's too much fake
There you pay you you can't be getting one entry like pull it with someone get the same proxy
And also the worst part is this one of the most negative EV thing
Ask around buddy. You don't have any friends. You couldn't ask me. I would go you free proxy done easy
I did ask around that's how I ended up with the proxy that I have
Who did you ask? Yes me
So there is your first mistake. Well, listen here's the thing
I'm I'm only gonna ever advocate for someone who has never ever made a mistake for me
Or anyone that I know this is the issue so proxy services are a whole another topic of conversation
But there's always every year a nightmare story with a proxy service now
I know what you're gonna say about your proxy service not like a technical
Proxy potentially might be a better that we mutually know that would just make the picks on his behalf
But even then it's like there's nothing
There's no protection on his end
You know what I'm saying is there's yeah, of course, but what I'm saying is this
What good is that having a full-fledged insurance policy if you're paying more than the cost of the insurance
Like if you're paying more than what's worth you're paying 350 bucks. Okay, again Canadian US is about 260 for the listeners here
Paying a thousand bucks entry for the contest. Yeah, 260 bucks proxie. Yeah, obviously listen
It doesn't add up. Sorry. Is what is I don't mean to chirp you if it's less than that all good
But that's those are the numbers. I was told that's what that's why I'm going off that decision if you pay 25 bucks
And I'll take it back. I'll say fine
This I will guess that this was a heat of the moment thing for you
You had like one last day in Vegas. Well, you need a proxy to sign up with you
So like if you don't have any go go right or call they're all there. They're like they're they're they're hanging out there at the sports book
Yeah, anyways had the booth set up that day, and then you told you said that the this is your proxy and then I followed him on Twitter
And he was the only like the he was there
He was the guy there early bird gets the worm good on that proxy. You got the money
Well, I was there for you won't make any mistakes. No, no, no
He's not gonna make any mistakes, but nor will the regular proxy you could just check it
That's just not true though
Because lots of them you input your picks through a website the website goes down like this is what happened a couple years ago
I'm not gonna say who it was, but a website goes down and everyone's picks don't go in for a week
Like that's that's horseshit right like you never want that to have of course
You definitely don't want that to happen, but what I'm saying is like this guy will literally message you
If you don't send your picks and he'll be like list like he'll text you and be like dude
I'm at the counter right now like you you have three minutes like let's let's call me let's figure it out
Like that's the type of guy he is like let me just also set the scene for what was going on for me there
So just excuses for making a bad decision. I didn't go there to planning to sign up
Friday
I was working the basically the entire time until
6 p.m. Vegas time then I went out with the guys that I was there working with still not planning on doing
Millions or Survivor and then at like
11.45 p.m. Friday night Vegas time I get a text from someone asking me if I want to do a pool do with the survivor
And I said sure
Sunday morning or Saturday morning I get a text from someone else asking if I want to do the millions
So wait, are you in millions or survivor?
Well, I want a one in one. Yeah. Okay. Is the 350 per entry or was it for both cumulative
No, there's four the it that is four survivor or four millions only survivor is like
significantly cheaper the survivor proxy was significantly cheaper
You could have just asked me
Negative the move of the week
Five hours to get a proxy find the proxy meet up with them
Fill out the papers pay and do this because of how light last minute it was because I was leaving that night
And the proxy was leaving the sportsbook at 4 p.m. Sorry, I'm just gonna Google how long does it take to text someone? Is it under over five hours?
How's my response time on text? He did he for in fairness. He did message me. No, usually take me if I would
I wouldn't change my messaging to him
For what because I know so many people who've gotten fucked in these contests
Just because they picked a bad proxy or they relied on a friend to put in their picks
So yes, he's killing his Evie
There's also proxies that won't take anything up front
But they'll take a percentage of winnings where the Evie is even worse on those in a lot of things
Evie in those is better than the 350 I think depends on the percentage is not 350
I mean if it's yeah, it depends on percentage also the
Thousand was at the time of conversion 1500
What do you mean like it was 1500 dollars Canadian Tenter? No, that's impossible. I have the receipts
Oh my god, tell me you paid a massive big on usd to cat as well
Probably did exactly credit card or whatever
So your bank you're probably your banking the credit card the exchange rates of dollar 36 you bet a dollar 50
Yeah, or you already could have got two entries
Instead of one
Exactly, it's it we're running this topic now. I'm gonna come off looking like an ass on this thing
But seriously bro next time only lesson here is message around ask me help you always ask friends for help anyone listening right now
I did do something. I did though. I did ask friend for help. I got help all right
So for anyone you just disagreed with the person that it was no, I have to find the conversation
I have to find the conversation
If you still think that that was a good move
Power to you guys that you think it was a good move to pay probably 1800 bucks for a Canadian for which for the equivalent
What you should have been paying a hundred you should have been paying
1300 and 60 on the nose Canadian is correct you paid upwards of 1800 bucks total to get this done
It you've paid more for your lesson. I have but fair enough. I do have the receipts. It was Zach Phillips
How do you set up up via proxy for the circle contests?
I said you need someone to do it for you. I use Maddie Simeau at Vegas Maddie on Twitter. You put okay. Thanks
I don't know. I don't know how we're gonna get to a resolution here disappointing. I highly recommend Maddie Simeau again
I will if you want to do one entry in Vegas for a super contest
I would highly recommend not converting your cash via data card that I wouldn't also recommend
I would highly convert not converting your cash via credit card at the ATM and then using at Vegas Maddie for the one entry
But I'm sure he's reliable. If you're getting the 10 full suite bang. Yeah. Okay. Now your big branches lower like it's fine, but
Anyways, don't we have to this interview
Where did we go here? Where do we get no that's that's already my negative VV move over the week
We really skipped a segment. I'm done for today. I'm not giving another negative VV
Okay, that's fair. We just did a look things a little out of order. Hey, it's totally fine. Hey honestly love you guys
I know no arm apologize. No, no, no, no, I wasn't apologizing. I love you guys. I just want the best exact trying it
We try to help you he has been trying to teach you
Like plus EV for a long time
But in all aspects of life you've applied it to sports bed
But in other aspects of life you have currently failed
No, no, he's in currently fail. He's been doing he's been doing great. This is a guy's the best kid. I'm just saying
Ask for help anyone on the camera if anyone listening to this or watching this
If you're gonna look to do something right away. You're gonna look to do something new
I know we message Rob
But the best thing you can do is have a network of people where you can message four or five guys
Hey, how do I get this reservation at this place? Hey, I'm looking to go here. I'm in this city
Imagine being in a new city having five friends in that city being able to ask them
Hey, what's the best thing for here? I've been taking that in network super important
But you have to actually leverage it and then on the other end if somebody if somebody messages you
Make sure you're providing value giving out the stuff if someone messages you's okay
What do I do for this? How do I edit this thing on YouTube? You don't be like oh, well, it's true
Yeah, I charge a hundred bucks this not help someone out and someone help you out
It's it's a lot of the same principles. We preach with sports betting. One is the line shopping obviously
You obviously in sports betting. It's a little different because no matter what you're getting like the same bet
You know, I'm saying it's not the same services or whatever. Yeah, exactly. You don't
What you what I mean fair enough the second thing is we preach not waiting to the last minute as well
And that is a could be a
A catastrophic mistake sometimes because you put yourself in a you know, you don't have those options a lot of times when you wait
The last minute the line moves the limits are way higher the market's more efficient
And he's learning a little bit about the efficient market
Yeah, I get that
I don't know no more excuses you admit admit it was a mistake. Yeah paid too much move on win the contest prove me wrong
That's it win it and then be like oh, well, is that 350? Yeah, well
I don't feel so good about with the chances of winning the millions because of
Whose partners one third of my team? Yeah, but you guys lay it with Luke on his team. Well, you could go for the booby prize
Then yeah, no, no, he he's not gonna listen to this
So I already told talk to the other guy in the thing and I said look
We'll submit the picks the first two weeks
You and I sit down. We reevaluate where where we're out after the first two weeks if things aren't going well
We just get Luke's picks every week for the rest of it and then we just go from there and see what we're doing
It's good move what it is. That's not a bad move. Yeah, all right bad move back to the pod here
Horse batting now, right? There's no credentials exactly given out based upon you know doing these
Internships or years of study. Yeah, exactly. So usually it's hey, he's a professor at Harvard, right? You can look at I think his name is is it Cornell West
Uh
McKenzie you probably know the the guy he's running for president now. Yeah, Cornell. What's going on?
I'm a fan of his presentation is awesome generally. He's a very bombastic political guy
He's I think running for president now, you know as a third party
But he was I think a Princeton for a long time
But when a guy comes on talking a little loud and they say professor at Princeton
You got to accept good. There's something there
Well, there's no such thing now. That's why back in the day
Sports batting usually the voices of it were bookmakers because it's for one second
So I can tell you where this is gonna go already, right?
This isn't the argument of like who can police the sports betting space if there are no like
Accol how do we determine who the best betters are?
Because what he's saying right now is like, okay, if you go to other industries. This is where it's gonna go
This is where it goes. This is where okay
If if other industries have like certificates or you go to school to become a medical doctor or your professor or you whatever
There's there's ways for them like like there's a levels of expertise, right in the sports betting space
You don't necessarily have that this is the the common point that's brought up a lot of times
Um, and this is kind of like if anyone is upset with the way that I handle myself or how I call people out
I often get like well, who are you? Who are you? Who says that you're allowed to determine what's right and what's wrong?
And my answer to that is I don't think that they're I'm determining that. I'm just stating my opinion
On what I think and this is coming from someone who does this as a profession
Can anyone prove that or do they know how much income I make? No
But what it tends to happen in the betting community is people here of one another or they
Here like who's a stiff who not to work with who you should work with who's one betting this stuff
I could tell you who's got the best WNBA stuff and best NBA stuff
Even for people that I haven't worked with before just through word of mouth. So it's kind of like a community in a sense
If that's where this is going, but like this is often what happens
And I'm getting way too ahead of myself here
But RJ Bell runs pregame
This is a conversation amongst pregame experts. They're selling a product
The hammer circles off. We're not technically selling a product
But we're still trying to monetize in our own way
So people are always like well, you're always selling a product. Yeah, I said that's what I've said
It's like a while back
But even if you just have your own Twitter profile. Yeah, it's a tweet. You're selling something
You're selling something because you you're garnering an audience which garners attention
Which gives you credibility to allow you to later sell yourself or something or whatever
Even if you're selling yourself as like an application to for someone to work with you or like you or whatever
So okay, agreed agreed, but he's he's right. Yes. Okay. I'd like to see where this goes
Zach because this this is a very common criticism of the space right now
Doesn't matter how much they know you in that article you can say mgms
But in truth those guys other than bookmaking don't know as much as the batters do typically
So my point here is
If you're not validated
You're not credentialed and you have any ego you want your mom to be proud of you
The only way to do that is to gain notoriety
So what you have is a lot of people on social media all acting like they're above caring
That all very much want to have enough followers or back in the day get a blue check mark or whatever to validate them
And the theme that we're going to explore throughout Fez's tiktok he's going to do now with what happened is
Ask yourself does this help validate the person saying it
Because in almost every case you can almost guess their position
By what they could say that would most validate the way they act
That's fair I think like the argument that I'm more likely to promote
You know line shopping and responsible betting and doing all these things because it has a more tangible impact on me
I think that's fair
Generally speaking
It's hard to separate like your biases especially when you're involved with businesses
from
You know everything else, but
This is
This is an interesting conversation. Let's let's hear what Fez has to say in regards down
Reval was going to say one thing and it's going to validate him and
Pursuit Fez is going to say typically what validates him just like humans do
And we should all know what the motivations are here
It's not always well in the abstract what I believe it
Okay, so this is this is kind of like what bothers me about the whole thing
And this is the kind of what I was saying on the bet bash panel that you were at
We're very clear about our motivations
Right and I'm not I'm not I'm not saying like I'm a saint
Whatever
You know we run businesses myself and Johnny right we were on the hammer we run bet stamp
we are
We are trying to grow our businesses. I think the issue in the space
Is where like greed
Exceeds ethics so to speak right like there's a lot of people out there
So my whole thing was misrepresentation is a real problem. So
Like
With our businesses
We've been very upfront with people right pinnacles a sponsor of this show
I love pinnacle I've used pinnacle since I've been betting for a long time
I'm happy to promote a product that I stand behind
When we're in the affiliate business we send traffic to sportsbooks. We've been very clear
That we make money off of that that is our that is how we monetize our business
We're very upfront about that
That doesn't mean that we try to send literally as much traffic possible to sportsbooks at all times or will promote anything
Like there's an ethical line at some point or another and I think that's where a lot of this gets blurred
And that's kind of what I was saying to rebel like obviously you guys action network you have a subscription base
People can subscribe. You're in affiliate as well. I'm not saying you can't do those things
Just do them in a way that's morally responsible
Don't have people coming on air and representing themselves as experts like rebel right now in his mind
Like based off the tweet. He sent me this week. He thinks he's an expert in the betting space
Like he thinks he's become an expert
That's where we get into like dangerous territory in my opinion
So okay, who's gonna police this who can say what's right and wrong?
But like talking about parlay's is bad for betters
You can't consistently win at rob pizola with the the
The sponge bob type of uh, you're an idiot
Yeah, you're an idiot characterization and posting his parlay winners over the course of a week
And it's like dude
You've completely like lost the plot
You won you won some parlay's on one day like you've lost you've lost the plot and this is what's
Scary and dangerous in my opinion. So that that's kind of my
Things like clearly dude. He doesn't even know what a parlay is then if you say like betting for this just it's
Parlay betting is literally just betting and then betting more if your thing wins. It's the same. We've explained this a million times like
A parlay is on a revolutionary thing
You're just doubling your bet amount and rolling it over which is a very irresponsible for a recreational better
Agreed and that's kind of the point I'm getting across and like listen
I say this all the time on the show as well right you want to bet parlay's go bet parlay's go do whatever you want to do
It's your own money, but just at least be aware of the
Of what you're doing when you're betting a parlay on top of that
I would never give out a parlay myself or talk about teasers like I do on on pizza buffet
On Sunday mornings without providing some context as to what those bett types are and like the sportsbook hold and stuff like that
There's there's an opportunity just to to air that stuff
And people can make their own decisions at the end of the day, but
99% of the population they don't get this stuff like look at my look back to my tweet from 2014 the RJ Bell one right like that's me
I don't get that. I don't get that at that time
Maybe that's like what incentivizes me now or motivates me. It's like I don't want people to go down the same path that I did for all those years
but
Yeah, I mean, it's like
I don't think this is like an apples to apples. Let's hear more. It's ethical. It's usually what is gonna make me seem better than everyone else
All right fast give us the tiktok all right
So the panel was
Moderated by Sammy P out of Chicago, but the big conflict was between
You kind of wonder about the industry that the moderator is Sammy P out of Chicago
Panavitch and in Tovich
Out of Chicago sounds like it's like
I can't spell what I can't pronounce actually out of Boston now you work for you works for nissen
He's a betting analyst for nissen. See now he's validated. Yes. All right, but really it started out guns ablaze in here with
Revelle going up against Rob Pizzola and Rob basically calling out
Revelle so both are on the panel. They're both on the panel and saying you know what you know
You're going out and you're you're giving out all this betting advice that is not respected amongst the expert sports
Veterans and giving yourself out. Where does that? Where does that?
Council meet the experts
The is this like a poet is it like the wise guy smoking the cigars together? Hope gets elected
Is this is your way out of smoke comes up in the like I'm just wondering because right there with what and again
I'll be honest with you. I like Rob. I mean, I've had personal dealings with them. I listen to some or I listen to a part
He's on the matchbook pod
He is quite sanctimonious. He has a strong opinion about right and wrong
And that and he seems to be the arbiter of that opinion meaning that what who's accepted and not who sharp who's not
He's in that club that's deciding it
Pause in my in my viewpoint. I'm not this this is can can be how it's perceived from the outside in
I merely state my opinions period
I don't expect every single person to adopt those opinions. I just want to put that out there like that's
I mean, phasic didn't do a great job of giving a recap of honestly like what this
The the the thing was so maybe yeah, maybe he's not providing like a ton of context here
But I'm you know again the issue with rebel was misrepresentation and like
Coming across as if you have subject matter expertise that you don't and again
Yeah, like we're can't all meet in the back not all you least I'm just stating my opinion
That's all that's coming down. Yeah for those who weren't at the panel. I think rob rob came across is basically this
He was like it's okay. You want to be a losing better. It's it's fine
Like not everyone's gonna be that and it's still okay for you to be in the space making content doing all these things
But it's not okay to represent yourself as a pro better who's gonna help win if you follow my picks and also be a losing better
That's how like rob came across you mentioned a few other people in industry as well, but back to the interview
Yeah, but and I just want to make it explicitly clear like I don't think that I'm the person that can like is
Deeming okay, you're a winner. You're a loser. You know, you deserve to have a platform. You don't deserve like I have those opinions
But I don't expect that the entire industry is gonna adopt them like that's not what this is about
Yeah, isn't that interesting. Yeah, so he had consensus so Dave Cherapan who was on the panel Vegas
Why is guy pretty much agreed with rob was saying Jeff Benson who runs the circus sports book
He pretty much agreed as well
Then action network was pushing the envelope towards
Giving themselves out as an expert providing expert picks even though
Darren Revelle was like well, this is entertainment and we like to give these the same game parlays and the like and I bet everything that I think that I give out
So a couple of quotes here from the panel
Where Darren Revelle admitted he's part of the problem. No, really
See again, Rufus put out a Twitter thread that says like Darren Revelle. I'm part of the problem
That was like taken out of context. Yeah, he never actually said so everybody picked up on this and that that never happened
So to Darren Revelle's credit
He said it sarcastically and it was like as a part of a longer sentence
So anyways keep keep the old scots going to keep reading out quotes. I think here or whatever
Yes, that was just the initial quote now hold on a second now if we were doing this against fat first of all me and Darren Revelle
Our nemesis is is is is this point. I used to like Darren
I fact the first TV hit I ever did was for him at CNBC like 10 plus years ago
Well, I didn't know that yeah at some point
I mean he became very
The reality is and we've seen this a bunch now people who don't know sports betting as experts are stepping in the industry
Now that's something that we've really strived when we brought in non-full-time sports bettors like aji like scut
We make it very you know when they the prior careers
Well for you your prior career was in the most recent was in the media for sports betting
Yes, but then prior to that NBC etc etc
So neither of them are
Going to say I'm like fat. I'm betting what fuzz is betting
I like that. I think having other experts come in like for example our baseball pod
On Monday. It's taping Tuesday. It's released. We got a former professional baseball player Josh towers and he really knows
Baseball and we think okay, and he he's been around betting. He's a vagus guy, but he's not a professional batter
Okay, so I don't mind stuff like that we do this at the hammer by the way like we bring on Eric Eager of sumer sports as a football
Analyst he's not a pro better
We never sell them as a pro better. We just sell them as a football analyst is what she is
VP of analytics for sumer sports
We don't claim that he's a pro better or anything like that and the reason why we have him on
On forward progress on youtube go and hit that subscribe button
We've got lots of NFL content coming up this year
But the reason we have him on is because I learned a lot from him and like he provides context that
Is helpful for bettors
So I have no issues with that
But it's kind of different like if I go to pregame right now a J Hoffman who's part of this broadcast got side in berg
Like these guys are selling picks on the platform
You know you have rj right here saying like these guys aren't experts sports bettors. I don't know
You know, I don't know like isn't that not like super contradictory
Like that he's calling them not pros and they're selling picks. Yeah
I mean if the records are public and stuff like he anyone could sell anything
It's just a matter of being transparent to be honest. Yeah, well okay
So the there are the so there's like the marketing records that are here
You can click into picks on any one of these guys and you can see
A full every pick ever
But you have to do it in such a convoluted way that I wonder if it's intentional or not
Like I can see the last 100 picks for someone
But if I had to if I wanted to search from like January
2021 to now I cannot do that
I literally have to click every single day in between
And see the record by picks by day picks by day
So it would be very very very challenging for me
To go out and do something like like get a guy's record. Yeah, the power of like technology
Yeah, but I don't mind like I don't mind if people brand
Or like people produce content that aren't experts like I don't I don't maybe I've I've been
Like poorly communicating this
All along
I just think the onus is on the person to represent themselves as who they are
Rather than something that they're not I think you you push the ethical boundary
When you start to do things that you're not like if Eric eager came on
Every single week and we're like listen to Eric. He's this great professional sports better like that's crossing the line in my opinion
That's not what he is that's not how we want to represent him that doesn't mean that you know
I'm not telling people who to throw out on air everyone has some sort of
You know draw could be entertainment it could be whatever
Just be real with the audience like that's the one ask
That's the biggest frustration for me in terms of pet peeve
So I mean, I think the lot like for for RJ to say that
I think the lines are kind of blurred with pregame in the sense that okay, you know
He's telling AJ and Scott we hired you not because you guys are sports betting experts
but because like
You can contribute to a conversation type of thing
But they're selling picks on the site
And maybe the counter is like well all the picks are there for people to see and they can decide what they want and maybe that's a fair counter
But I don't know just fumes a little bit
uh
Contradictory let's see what else they got to say on Pizzola. Yeah
To me that's a scum if a person's trying to feed
We can always just find it but see what they got to say about Pizzola different level of choice when it's the gutter or scam
Versus middle class or upper middle class, but you just got to scam those are the people I disrespect the most you know
Personally, so I was always gonna be able to make a living
I don't think ethically I would have been okay with anything to make a little bit extra than I couldn't feel good about myself
So, you know, I'll just be candid. That's why I didn't even think about it, but so we have that with the
uh
We'll call it the boiler room outbound calls now what you guys mentioned next the flash the bling
Listen, no names here, but we know a guy says that probably the most mild mannered probably the lowest
Monthly not where he doesn't spend money and
He was working for a company that was pretty flashy for a while and they rented him what was it like shark skin shoes
He had he this is the guy that literally had a 18-year-old car running
And they had him rent in a Lamborghini. I mean, so not do we think that guy's evil
Yeah, that's the question
Yes, I've had a guy
Renting stuff in general
Like this in general just a shit sleazy marketing. Okay, renting things in general. Yes
And giving the like renting things is completely fine. Yes for the most part is fine
If you want to rent a Ferrari drive it around for the day. Enjoy it. What's wrong with that?
You got you got the ability to experience driving a frog
Renting it and then giving the appearance to others that you own it for the purposes of marketing something is
Very common however, like yeah, it's it is it's just a marketing place
This is when profit becomes more important than ethics and you don't care that this isn't you
You just want people to perceive you and as this now listen. This is social media in general
Right like look at people's Instagrams and stuff like that
You're not posting stuff of like oh look at like most people aren't like oh look how shitty my life is or whatever
It's the highlight reel, but also sometimes it's not even the highlight reel. It's like fake
Yes, but so like listen that like there's an extension of this
That just exists because we're like we're conditioned to do this by social media like you have lots of of points in the day
That aren't the finest hours for you over the course of a day that are not going to make it to your Instagram reel or whatever
So are you misrepresenting yourself in that case?
Maybe like I don't know like this is it's a very
Different conversation, but I think this is like more around businesses
And especially when you're getting into the into the whole territory of trying to turn a profit
So like is that a scummy move?
Yes, if I'm going to go out and like
Rent like or buy alligator skin shoes that I'm going to return at some point
Um or a Rolex and like that's not mine or whatever or a fake Rolex
Exactly. It's a real right like that. That's just shady. That's like bullshit is what it is. So yes sells it sells
I know that's the stuff that sells in the pick selling right now. Yeah
Is not even really the record
It's the whole
Like look how look how sick my life is like a pure stuff. I have yes like you want this stuff
By the picks yes
It's weird look at look at look remember we did that tiktok reaction episode where Zach wanted you can have a stroke
I could see the nerve in his neck with the Jeep Rubicon was the car though was the comedy of that thing
Is that like again? It's not a bad car, but
But to flex the flex it from the passenger seat of the car like it was his own
Yeah, you know, I'm saying there's his mother's car something like that
But that that's the type of stuff that
We can see that here's the difference right we can see that
10 years ago me could have easily been duped by that
And it's a cycle because people can be duped by it
Then it's just going to happen more and more because there's enough people out there that are
Are willing to do that
But again, I'm trying to say to a million times in this episode for me
It's making sure that profit does not exceed
Ethics
I literally had an 18-year-old car rumbling into the lot and they had him rent in a Lamborghini
I mean, so not do we think that guy's evil
I mean, that's the question best for every set again
We've all been I've had a guy by the loan $10,000 too because he's like
Hey, you know, I'm gonna be at the camera's gonna be rolling. I need to be able to show that I'm making bets
You know, can you help me out with a little like, you know, so just for today? No, it's like 10 years ago. Okay
Hey, when was the cameras wrong? What was the event? I don't want it disclosed. Okay. All right, so
So in this story just to if you're keeping score fads low
He had so much that he could have his money for that you were involved in the shoot too, right?
No, actually, it was not okay. Well, when I was on ballers, and I had that big water bill was my hand was that yours?
Can you come down with some money? That was the rocks. I tell you that I love love that
Because that was my idea. I just showed up. I go you think he's a good prop. He goes. Yeah
I don't think I don't know how bad I think that is I think that the very premise of Instagram
Is misrepresenting your reality. Yes, right isn't there's all kinds psychological studies how everyone's judging themselves against this fake
Perception and that's they all think they fall short. Yeah
So if everyone's using a filter or makeup like if that's like someone dressing up in fancy clothes is
Just like an ugly girl putting on enough makeup to come off come across. It's pretty and judging girls again
No, I'm just I'm just saying that that that happens and it's like no one says oh she's a terrible person because she wears makeup
She's just trying to present herself in a certain way. We got a supervisor and because so there's a lot of things here, but
We also have to talk about like the nature of the industry which people just gloss over all the time right
We're in an industry that leads to a lot of addiction problems
You know what I'm saying like someone putting on makeup to make them
You know to sell more it's a day-to-day part of life
It's not gonna send someone down a path
Of like they're gonna be living on the streets because they bought too many nail polishes or or perfumes or whatever
You know what I'm saying
Sports betting is very different because there's an addiction element associated with it unlike
99.9% of the industries out there, right? I'd say more industries are
The addiction focus and you realize if you really think very possible. Yeah, definitely. Yeah, there's there's a there's an element to that
When you be careful in sports, but yeah, so like I
Again, you can you can have like these debate these debates where you're just like using all of these examples
And it's like well do you call this like misleading? Do you call in a lot of cases? It's all misrepresentation
But in some cases, it's much less harmful
But honestly, Robert my my honest opinion like it's like this in every industry once you realize it and you really start to see
Very possible like here's a here's an example. Okay. I'm not I don't even want to shit on like specific brands
Okay, but let's say like just to keep it general
A soda soda pop sure, okay? Yeah
The marketing in that soda soda
It's so predatory towards you drinking that and getting essentially addicted to that product and continuously consuming that product
That is bad for you. Okay, that's one simple example that you might be see
But like now truly watch those ads and see how it isn't like how they're portrayed and how deep they go into the mind
And that's one industry. I just gave a simple example not to shit on you come
Well, there's lots but they're like think about the commercials to kids the cereal commercials hundreds thousands exactly
So when we're talking about marketing. I said this a while for a while like people think sports betting is brutal
They're like oh, it's all all these touts all predatory like I thought that as well when I was younger now I realize
Every single industry you won't find a single industry that doesn't have these exact same tactics is exact same marketing
boy the whole
Get a six pack in 30 days. That's all it is. Yeah
It's a good point. I mean listen. I'm not
Like I've never worked in marketing. I've never really thought about this
Like I built my own brand my own personal brand like how did I get to whatever following?
I got on Twitter by like live tweeting football games and just or getting myself being yourself being myself
So that so I come from it with a little bit of a different perspective because
And again, this is not to like make me seem like a saint or whatever
But I've always felt it
unnatural or uncomfortable to sell myself as something that I'm not
It's just not me. I mean, that's just the honest to God truth
It's just not me. So when I see other people do it
It's very hard for me to resonate with that and I naturally associate it with being scummy in some way
Whether that's right or wrong and again, I'm opinionated
He might think my opinions are way out in left field and that's totally fine
I mean how many people approach me after this bet bash panel that said great job
And how many people approach me that said like oh you're a hypocrite because you do the exact same thing
Or I'm like you know expand on that tell me more and they do I'm like, okay, that's fair
Here's my counter argument to that
But like they might not buy it and that's and that's totally fine
But I don't like comparing the other industries
And maybe that's just me at a personal level because of my experiences
And maybe you're right like a lot of this is just maybe way more harmful than I realized all I'm saying is like in general
People typically tend to be super negative right in anything like you're you're more negative than positive
Hang around negative people you're in a community of let's say on Twitter with super negative
And then what happens is you think that the stuff you see is the worst the worst possible stuff
But oh, yeah, I guess all I'm trying to say really is like in terms of like predatory marketing in sports betting
Yes, it exists it exists anywhere though
And and the amount of people that complain about it and think that like guys like oh Rob doesn't know this needs this
And they hate him and they're or like even RJ
Physics the worst because does this like
Man, everyone's just a human being. They're all trying to make money. They're all trying to do something
It's not it's not that badly. It's not the end of the world like I if people were to just actually truly understand the
Downward spiral of the negativity. Yep, they're in. I don't think they would even care this much about this stuff
It's very that's a very bad look at phesic and like disguised a scam or whatever
Yeah, then they go buy a kickcat bar at the store and they didn't realize
And then they go buy a Ford focus the motor trans truck of the year and they don't realize that's the same shit
I just happened just in a different scale and sure
One might be more clear because it's like man to man and you understand the industry
But you know those car companies manufacture these random awards and all these things that they can say that the number one
This this this this this and then they market to you and they have all these commercials or whatever for you to go buy the things the same thing
It's hard for me to get out of that the mindset that that it isn't the same thing
I can I can understand the argument. I know that like for me
Like buying a pick from Vegas Dave to me is like
Like what Vegas Dave is doing is a million times worse in my mind
That's not to say that it is. It's just hard for me to get over that and maybe listen
You know his his is like a one of the nut low
So you don't compare Vegas Dave to like one of those big Cola companies. Yeah, but you can compare Vegas Dave to like
Someone else who's set like just scamming in a different industry selling like fake jewelry or something like that
You know what I mean? I think what you have in my personal case is someone who's very vocal about things
opinionated I will share those likely lots people just like stew and they keep it to themselves
I'll never say anything like I'm not that person never have been so you have like these personality traits and then
Me just going through the life experience of
Being 16 and like losing money betting on sports and then getting to be 19 and 20 and finding a bunch of toast and thinking that
Oh, I'm just gonna play these guys free picks and then the good ones
I'm gonna buy their packages and I'm gonna be set and then like losing money that way and then getting to 23 and 24
And finding people on Twitter and being going through the same cycle
Of like just trusting people that market in themselves in a good way. So it it
He gives me as when I was 16. I wasted all my money. I'm McDonald's. Oh, I so did I mean that was another and you know
And and there's people right now that don't even realize that that's true. I mean the same
I forget it's not the same thing. Well McDonald's had the the day of the week when I was younger make
Value picks menu. Yeah, three ninety nine
Talk about value. Yeah, except for Friday with filio fish, which I was in a big fan of personally. Wait. Wait. Hold on
I got to ask you a question. Okay. This is not this is not my opinion. I
Ask you. Do you like the filio fish? I like the filio fish. Yes. All right, but it wasn't the one of the week
Okay, the argument the argument's over basically basically like I like fish sandwich with mayo and whatever like I'm into that. So what happened was
Someone was asked hey, you like the filio fish like now we're staying on the menu McDonald's and the response was
You ever had one and then the guys like no, you actually you got me. I've never had it
And to this day anytime someone says the filio fish I said you like the filio fish. Yeah, and anybody who says no
I say you ever had one and I'm like
Maybe 17 for 17. They're like, you know what? Actually, no, I've never had one. I just don't like like it's one
It's one thing if you don't like fish. I get that
Told like if you say oh filio fish is terrible because you don't like fish. Well, of course you're gonna
Of course, right? It's like oh, I'm gonna. I don't this tofu burger is terrible. I hate tofu. Like what am I gonna do? Like that's just my personal opinion
But those those the value days were absurd. Oh the inflation is nuts though
There's a 399 combo. This is when I was in high school you're obviously even older than me
But I used to go with dollar dollar 29 McDubbles go get a McDubble now. It's like it's over three seventy nine
I know. I did one the other day. I did one the other man
Man those kids are getting broke these days. What's going on? But you know what? It's a it's a good point because it's
I guess at the end of the day eating McDonald's literally every day
Probably contributed to me going towards being broke
But I always associate it with like the gambling
But also it's so much going broke financially is only half the battle
Eating McDonald's every day contributes to you becoming unhealthy, which is even worse
It's a good perspective honestly. I don't I didn't come into this with that perspective, but
It's fair. I mean, I do see how the arguments that you're comparing for like especially in this podcast that they compare from other industries
Can can be I know it's not the same thing. Yeah, all I'm saying is there's similarities very big similarities between every industry and for those of you
Listening to this podcast who are in sports, but you think it's the worst thing ever. I can assure you it's not and there's differences in other industries that are just as bad
And for those of you who are in other industries thinking what the hell how is this guy getting this is this it's the same
So they're very similar in everyone. Yeah, I'm just shaped by personal experiences. Yeah. Yeah, let's go ahead. Okay, so this is a same section
But I skipped a couple of minutes because that conversation leads to them rating chicks on Reddit. So okay, we can skip over that
We don't need we don't all right
So where's the line guys? I think the line is if you are misrepresenting yourself in a way to
I guess I can say scam your audience
Then then that's crossing the line, but isn't everything we're talking about misrepresent
Yes, but to what ends all right. Yeah, I wouldn't use the word scam. I don't I think misrepresentation on his point
That's the line. That's crossing the line. Yeah, that's what is scamming well the other thing is like
Let's end it on you. It's on you. God scamming is not
Not supplying the returns on the customer's investment whatever that investment is so if someone doesn't win
Not no, not maybe not necessarily win, but not have the lifestyle that you are portraying
That they can have with your representation. It's the same thing as if saying like
I don't work for a team or or or whatever
But yet I'm selling tickets to an event that they're not real tickets
But I'm putting it out there that I'm representing myself as I go to the game
I'm sitting at the 50-yard line. I got great seats. You can have these seats too
So I let's define what you're saying because I think there's something here important
Is if there's something that is intrinsically definable and that's the key good and bad isn't right all playdose about that
But thank you, but the question is is is it quality
Information or is it a fugacy is it inauthentic? Is it counterfeit? Let's use that word. Is it counterfeit or not counterfeit?
Example, I say my records
118 and 100 I am having a winning year, but I'm laying my s 123 on average in my place
So I'm actually down for the year now that's a different thing that's lying about an objective truth
So that's a good line about your record is next on my tears, right?
But I do think and maybe there's not going to be an answer
We'll go back for one more try
I think this idea of counterfeit or not counterfeit if you're selling something that's inauthentic that's not
Or that's counterfeit then you're selling something doesn't matter how you sell it in a way
It's that you're selling something if I say this is gold and it's not and I sell it. I've done something wrong
That's the real question is and it's back to raw pizola and whomever who's the arbiter of what authentic or not if it's something like
Opinion because all a pick is as an opinion. Sure, but then heaven places
Started to put like disclaimers like this is for entertainment purpose only or or we or we do not claim to be experts in the field
And that's where he reacts for people say that because you can get you can be liable
I mean the original of that this is for entertainment only was the the wire act in which
Bob Martin one of the first lines makers every one of the most respected guys in the history of agus went to jail
Over the wire act literally pick up the phone someone in Chicago says hey, what's the line on this game if he told him
He goes to jail over that because that was the way there were the the wire rooms
That's the only way people got the line there wasn't any dawn bastard whatever the way to get the line was to call
Vegas and that's why I remember it says out of the start us those bank of phones six phones there the more and six or like 12 or something
There were a whole bunch of them. Yeah, and I used them
Absolutely
So what are you gonna say? What's the difference between what's considered scamming? Well, so there's there by the way
This is actually an interesting conversation
Um, I will listen to the pod and full after this, but there's there's like
It would be inherently
Challenging for me to define
Like what is a scam like what is right and wrong in this and this would be my own definition
But it would be very hard
As someone who's lived through this like I've been betting more than half my life. I've been betting professionally for several years
There's like not a thought probably like I see something
It's hard to disclose this it's like the spider spider sense, you know spider-man
You see something and you're like this is a scam like or you can't you can't describe it
But just like as as a season better you're able to look at something instantaneously and say like
This is wrong. This is wrong. It's plain and simple. This is wrong
You know what I'm getting at like I know that they're they're trying to arrive at a definition of like and it's a good exercise in doing
So and Scott side in berg brings up like some interesting scenarios and he talks about misrepresentation as well
but like
Lumping everything into like scam or whatever is not the way that I personally think about things
I just think about things in right and wrong and I'll go back to big like again
I'll repeat it over and over right like I got a decision to make for the hammer
We want a profit as a business we've aborted directors
We have people who genuinely want to make money
I'm the CEO of the hammer because I want to make money
This is a life play for me
I've loved doing content we want to monetize but it comes down to okay we can do this
But
Ethically does this make sense? That's how I make decisions honest to God. That's how it happens and in a lot of these instances
Like you know, they'll go they'll go around here and they'll talk about this and I think in their mind like in RJ's mind
He probably thinks that what they're doing at pregame is totally morally acceptable
It's fine. We're running a business. Yeah, of course. We have to market ourselves
That's what every top business is going to do. How are we going to get pick sales if we don't market ourselves? Of course we put
You know the lat if someone's hot we elevate them to the top of the page right
And that's fine. That's that's a business
But like I would already just go to the site and say like
Okay, you you're gonna advertise that every single pick is there
Technically, that's correct every single pick in the history is there
But having someone have to go through yeah, but imagine they could only see one pick per 24 hours
Yeah, like it's like okay, this is really so to me that's like okay, it's not an outright scam
But it's like immoral in a sense right like if you're gonna put all the picks up on the site
Give the people a filter to see all time like there's not a filter where I could see all time record from somebody
Or just filter by sport like if you want to run a legitimate service
That's what I would say that in my opinion again. It's not a scam
But it's like is there's an ethical boundary that's crossed and that's my own personal thoughts on that but like
I don't know them
I'm ever gonna be able to like come up with a definition of like this is this is morally right. This is morally wrong
No, it's like on a case-by-case basis. There's just so many things that come up where like
You know somebody recapping their winning days on Twitter, but never recapping a losing day
Like it's not a it's not a scam
It's just like it's just a shitty thing to do. I mean a true scam by definition would be like
As he mentioned if he said something was gold. He sold it as gold. It wasn't gold
Yes, that that a hundred percent is that's a scam right but and obviously that happens
It happens out there, but now it's now it's into like marketing tactics. Yes. How
What marketing tactic is offline exactly where do you cross the boundary with marketing tactics?
And I don't know that there's a good situation there
But I do feel like I have the right to call that out as does anybody people can call out the hammer like they can call out
This podcast and be like well you guys collect money from a sportsbook
I mean, there's someone in the comments right? It's like oh, you're gonna send pinnacle players to pinnacle
It's a sharp sportsbook, right? It's like well, yes
It's a sharp sportsbook, but like we preach why we go to
pinnacle every day competitive like you're gonna find the best price at pinnacle like half the time
We're gonna do that if you're a better that gets limited go play there because you're not gonna get limited like we preach why
And to me that it
Maybe it's a way of convincing myself that it's morally acceptable
But I feel like we're giving we're arming people with that information
Without them having to like dig through
And find it or learn the hard way you know you know what I'm getting at do and same with me like I'm
I'm with you like you're
There's nothing wrong with sending someone to to this if you think it's gonna be good
But yeah at the end of the day man like I don't even know exactly what they're getting at though like I'm not
They're not fully into this uh into this combo here like I understand like I feel like there's we need a little more
context they if they're just saying who's the police of like this that it's kind of what it's getting up
It's like okay. Well at the end of the day
There is no police for this correct the person makes their own decisions. Yes in
regular in in other businesses
There is like oh this regulatory body that has to approve these
marketing conditions and these
Ingredients on packaging and things like that. So there's like somewhat of a police here
But even that's bullshit in a lot of industries as well as pay for stickers and whatever
Same thing I mentioned like at what point is the I don't know which conveys is but like the Ford motor trends trucker the year award
In what point
He's like yes, okay, did it win that award? Yes did Ford make that company up last year and just give it car the award also
Yes, so at what point is that
scamming someone
Versus
Marketing your product around no one knows like who's the police? I don't know there was got to make your own decision
I watched a documentary on Netflix is a food doc called poison
And it was about the US food system and specifically there's like two
Major companies that manufacture chickens or like breed chickens or whatever and then they send the eggs
Down to four companies who then like get them ready or whatever and and that's like who sends it out into market
And there's supposed to be like salmonella checks and all this shit
The the industry is just policed by a company that just decided they were gonna be
The ones to police it and they I mean the implication is that they're getting paid under the table or something by those actual four
chicken manufacturing companies
So like I'm not an idiot like this happens across the world like people you know there's there's
There's
There's no policing of the sports betting industry there were never there's regulators for sportsbooks and the individual markets
The rest of this stuff there never will be which is why like I feel that I'm at least entitled
To regularly voice my opinion on a lot of this stuff and
Candidly, I think the people who get most upset with me about voicing this stuff is people who are selling stuff on top of it
We're just like who are you to say that I can't do this and that and I'm not saying that you can't
I'm just saying that you should do it in a way that's
Not immoral. Yeah, all right. Let's get to where they talk about circles off specifically Zach
So fast I have found you guilty of this kind of stuff in the past
You say you know I do this so that's okay, but everything to the south of here is a problem
Do you kind of see where that's off at this point? I get why you want to feel that but you see where
Hey, there's people look remember you went on some podcast and they were attacking you
It's like how can you say your professional if you do this and if you're such a great world-class professional
Why don't you have a betting you know
Of 30 million dollars. How come it's below that? Yeah, I stick by that by the way 100% yeah pause that for a second
Yeah, yeah, I mean that's that's it was a fair question. Oh, I stick by that a million percent go ahead
Hit play and that was a person who was being sanctimonious that was deciding by his
critique by his values you folks short of it
Yes, and the irony is now you by the way you equated yourself really well in that case
Thank you very much and the irony was that was on the circles off podcast with Rob Pizzola and Johnny and Johnny came after me
But Rob but it but you see the no here's the thing. It's easy for the I told you at the time didn't I I go
Rob was defending you you're yeah, I go, but was that guy on the show the next week? Yeah, yeah, you know
That's the thing. It's nice to have an attack dog that does I never attacked anyone by the way on his pot
Agreed so don't consider that attack on Fez. I also don't consider what I was doing a defense by the way
I'll get into that in a second. I'll simply say that my argument
Was rooted in straight logic and I stick by it 100% and we'll not back down for that
If Fez was betting the way he said and had the edgy said his bankroll should be significantly more than 30 million dollars
I can math I can map out the math for all you guys improve real life examples and by the way
tons of people that I met at bet bash we're like
100% you're right. I don't even know how this is an argument like this is this is simple mathematics that's going on
To meet Fez like at bet bash. I met him for like
Honestly 30 seconds and I was like hey, and I wanted to talk I wanted to talk to him about it
Just like nothing hashed out. It's not like an argument. We don't
do if people those you don't know me in person like I'm a very very easy going guy
I'm not trying to argue with people ever ever like not even podcast this nothing like I'm just trying to
anything
But I didn't get a chance to like actually talk to him for a long period of time
I wanted to but as I mentioned at the start of this like man
Bet bash is crazy people coming up to me all time. I'm going here. I got to run here. Go. Okay. We got a dinner here
This guy wanted to meet so I didn't get a chance to but I I will in the future
I would I actually am gonna listen back or watch back that episode as well because
I when I was sitting next to you and we were we were chatting with Fezic
I didn't like I didn't get the feeling that I was defending him
I just didn't want to like pile all like we I don't think it would have done a great service to the interview
Maybe I'm wrong, but like you have to make these calls when you're in the moment in the interview
And like generally we have an idea of where we want to go with the guest
But I didn't want to make it seem like he was coming on the podcast and we were just gonna like
Both of us were just gonna go at him the whole time. I don't think that's gonna do a good like first of all
He's giving us his time second of all. I can still ask questions that and like be a neutral party in that conversation
Without like I don't know maybe I did come across this one other thing here. Yeah, just just for a legit thing here
Okay, for anyone who thinks I'm like attacking people or even just listening to this is kind of a little bit annoying like
Rob sends if you've been on this podcast, you know
Rob sends a question list to every single guest before the show
With time in advance to review it and the message is this
This is what we think would be a grid entertaining episode that we can talk about
If you have anything on this list, it's not cool. You don't want to talk about let me know right now
There's anything you want to add. They do want to talk about let me know right now, okay?
We sent that list to fessick
I give one more caveat by the way. I'm sorry to interrupt you let you finish
I also let them know that we're not gonna just stick to the list
So just to be fair, I do say to everyone this to me is like a good flow
But if you say something that
Compels us to have a to steer the conversation in a different direction. We are gonna do that
Like I don't like to interview top the bottom question order. I like to have general topics
So I do let the guests know that as well
And in addition to that if I'm not mistaken on fessick's list for the show was hey, we're gonna ask you about pick selling
Why do you sell picks? Why do you do it? What are like you know everything in regards to it? Okay, and in addition to that one other thing
Which you know, we don't like to do this and it's not and we don't it's not like we're editing all these episodes
We haven't actually had to do it very often, but we also do tell the guests
Hey, if there's something you said on the show that you don't want out there because
I think it's gonna make you look bad. I think it's gonna harm something like and I'm talking post recording
You got the best in the biz here
Yeah, producer Zach say Zach's gonna cut out
Producing not for EV not for circa millions
But
Serious we got the best in the biz here. We say Zach can cut anything out
We'll make sure we make you look good not to worry. It's a pre-recorded pod. We don't do this live
We're gonna make sure that there's something you say that's like oh, you know what?
I wish I didn't say that on the podcast. No worries. We take that out
So for an episode to come out of circles off
The sheet was sent in advance. The guest has to okay the questions with that on there and in addition after the interview
The guest has to okay. Yep, perfect. I think it was a good episode
I think it was entertaining. It's gonna be a lot of fun. We talked to physics for half an hour off air afterwards
I know but by no means do I consider like what I ask them an attack and in addition to that as I'm saying right now
100% standby and believe everything I said there in regards to him
If he's betting the way he says and if he has that edge, which he's selling
Should have that bankroll it my my my two cents really quickly on this where that you ask questions and you didn't feel like you were getting
Justifiable answers and you continued to press on those questions which I think if you're in media or journalism or do whatever
that's just natural and
I I personally don't think what you did in that interview was unfair. I think those are questions in media or journalism
I did this podcast for fun 100% but like that that to me like if you just if you're getting answers that
You feel personally like don't vibe or you can sense you know, there's something tingling and you're like
No, no, no, no, I don't like and you want to press
That to me is always okay period
The guest is there representing themselves. They can't answer questions
Or you know if the host and guest disagree like it's gonna happen, but
Yeah, I mean like I don't
I kind of think that's a little bit obviously RJ is gonna say that I didn't like it was not an attack
But if it comes across then I guess it wasn't attack if it comes across is that so it is what it is you know
But yeah, we talk you can say we talk for half an hour after I'll share my thoughts on on after like I will share my
Let's listen to the rest of this and then I got yep because people were saying all why don't you like attack Brad powers then if you're gonna
I'll explain it. Go ahead. Yep, and then you can seem like the reasonable one
I might have been bristling more. I've sitting next to him during this this you know and you were defending each other
I mean, I don't listen. I like Rob
Yeah, all people might say RJ because he was a outlaw once. He's too sympathetic to outlaws
You could I mean we all got a very sad you know, you have a bad reputation to Rob Pizzola and I said
Rob Pizzola has a great reputation. I think it's impeccable impeccable is what he said isn't that the quote?
It's got I'll get the quote. Yeah, it wasn't packable. You said impeccable
Yeah, I don't think I mean I don't know anyone that's like I know I think Rob is legitimate in that he doesn't do anything
It could be perceived as illegal or unethical
I find it to be and again, I'd much rather have someone it's a little too sanctimonious that is naturally ethical
And maybe help them see. Hey, maybe we shouldn't judge quite as much
Then someone who's just a scammer that you that's hard to reform them. Did you have I know the word is regularly said your your reputation is impeccable
That's cool direct. I never used that word too. No, you do pretty you use it pretty regularly never mind
Thanks AJ
And RJ there says like Rob doesn't do anything that can be perceived as illegal or unethical
I don't agree with that either
I think a lot of people can perceive what I do as unethical
I don't agree
But like there could be people out there that be like you work with sportsbooks. You take sportsbook dollars
That makes what you do unethical
I don't agree with that argument, but that can totally be so like I you know
By the way, Fezick
Calling saying my reputation was impeccable next to me really caught me off guard in that moment
I would have never and I could have never imagined that like
All the moments in my life that have like led to this would lead to Fezick defending my reputation
Um against Darren Revelle honestly can't even believe that that happened, but
Anyways, Johnny. I think that I think the larger conversation here that they're kind of getting through is is it's a conversation about the ethics of sports betting, right?
And this is a two hour long dream preview episode
We're not going to listen to the entirety of it overall
But I think that there's a lot of conversation points that are worth discussing people will have different
um
You know opinions on them the lie on different sides of the argument
But it comes down to like what is considered unethical or immoral in the sports betting space who gets to be
The arbiter of that and say like what is what is real what is not what can you do what can't you do and honestly
I think it's very interesting discussion
But I don't think that there's a real answer
It's just like everyone is valid is entitled to their own opinion
The things that really bother me are when when people make personal attacks on others
I've voiced that before I think like at the end of the day
You might not like someone
But there's still a human being and just treat them with respect
I don't know why that's such a big problem, but arguments happen all the time
Um, Fezick powers, you know, it's happening right now
Um in in in real time and has been for the last couple of weeks like it's gonna happen
But you just don't cross the line and you know get to the point where I think it's you know nasty type of thing
But I don't I've spoken I've spoken my piece on this
But you do have to you do have to answer to why the powers interview
Didn't go the same way as the Fezick interview. I can give some commentary on
I'll give you the exact I can I can also speak to my side of things there. So
um
First off anyone who understands betting in limits is already under census
So I don't even know who I'm talking right now because most people should easily be able to understand this
if you don't
And you if you still don't understand after explain it leave a comment and I'll try to do my best to
Actually put an Excel spreadsheet down over a 15 year period and really just map both the numbers for you
Okay, so I try to pull up a little bit right now
Here's the main difference between Brad Powers interview and Steve Fezick. Okay, Brad Powers college football originator Steve Fezick NFL
Regenerate does other sports
I'm sure they both do other sports, but in the context of the interview Brad Powers was talking about how
He sells his picks and how
He sells his picks is it's a guaranteed source of income diversifies a little for him and he's making good money on the pick sales
Okay, so
Brad Powers is betting and he's admittedly openly openly betting
College football openers or let's say early in the week early in the week or openers. Okay, the limits on the on this stuff that he's betting
Without working with a major group or syndicate is within the single digit thousands. Okay
So what I mean by that is like you're probably gonna get anywhere between zero and $9,000 on the play
9,000 would be pretty impressive for an early weekend
I felt and again unless you're working with
groups things like that
Also, if you're not working with groups and you're just on
The regular sports put accounts might have limp cut here cut here cut here
You never know where you're gonna be able to get down. There's very few places like pinnacle sports where you can constantly actually get down
But for those of you who know pinnacle limits early in the week not very high for college football
Obviously depend on the region in the game. So
For Brad Powers, I'm gonna throw out some numbers here now just to be clear
I'm not sure if this is the numbers of what he's making from from pick sales
I don't know if this isn't even close. Okay
Let's say
Powers makes a hundred thousand dollars from his pick sales and let's say Fezick makes a hundred thousand dollars from his pick sales
Okay, that's a significant amount of money a hundred thousand dollars not not a lot of money not a not a
You know life changing amount. It's gonna set you for life
But also 100k a year that's higher than the average salary in the US and Canada a lot of money. Okay
When we look at this
The amount that Brad Powers can make on his own from betting
If he is getting let's say an average of two or three thousand dollars of play
If he has a 35 unit season
You made 70,000 in order for him to odor in his pick sales
He would have to have a 50 unit season at 2k or you know, whatever equivalent at 4k 25 unit season winner
I'm assuming he's picking spreads and totals at minus 110 obviously it's not the case, but for the simplicity of this you guys understand it
If
Powers has an incredible year
Now he's got an extra 100k in his bankroll
And now let's say he continues to grow that bankroll and he's at 300,000
And he's at a million and he's at two million dollars in bankroll
He still has the issue
That even though he might want to bet 30 40 50,000 on those games because he's betting early week and that's his edge
He doesn't have the ability to bet 30,000 on a game
Due to that if powers had a billion dollars
Or 300,000 he's still betting the exact same amount of money therefore it does not scale
There's no one who he's able to cross with there's no group. He's able to you know
Work with that's going to give him three four five million dollars a year to actually be able to provide value to those picks
In that scenario which he's open with
Doing stuff like media doing stuff like selling your picks that makes an extra couple hundred thousand a year
Insanely plus EV diversified revenue stream. There you go. That's why I don't have an issue with it
Okay, to be clear
I also don't have an issue with physics model, which is I'm going to sell my picks for NFL
But here is where I question physics and say hey, it doesn't make sense
The reason is let's say physics makes a hundred thousand dollars for his picks and again, I'm not sure that's the amount but assume it is
For physics
If he has been a documented winner for 20 years and I'm not sure what the exact claims are
If I need to and people still don't understand that after this
I will go through and get his record by year whatever best I can possibly find and I will map it out
And I will kelly stake the exact things and I will prove to you how he should have at this point
A bank role that is well into the tens of millions well into the tens of millions and if you have a bank role well into the tens of millions
Maybe let's say your bank role is 30 40 million
Then every NFL game that you have an edge on if you still do what she claims he does
You should be hammering that number until it's no longer in place
Therefore it make even more money
So to put it into perspective
I just want to pre-game right now. I pulled open physics record again
The drop said it's kind of hard to see current season. It doesn't actually have it here
But I'm looking it's a hundred dollar picks case. That's like boat even
So that'll be for
He's up about
This is it's tough man. You're gonna have to go day by day one
You're gonna have to back you're gonna have to backtrack on this
Rack all-time record thing probably because you're gonna go day by day is to take you six three weeks
He's he's up it says current season. He's up about 60 units. Okay. Again give or take I can calculate it after
If he's up 60 units in the current season
If he was up 60 units in his first season, let's say you started with
$50,000 now he's grown his bankroll big time. Okay Kelly staking
Every year that's compounded by this point. Sky should have
If he's winning 66 units a year or this is just current current season. It looks like he's even promoting more than this
How is he not a
billionaire at this point and this is all I'm saying is
Physic had claimed on the show. He said I give out NFL picks on Sunday morning and those picks those numbers are available
If they are available
Pinnacle sponsor the show
100k a click
Yep with rebate on a one cent move meaning if you have an edge a minus 105
And you're willing to bet that to an average price of minus 110 as a million dollars you get down
One cent move every time you're going to get down roughly a million dollars
First simplicity may not move like that eventually after a couple hits they'll move the number further whatever
But leveraging every book every oath that you have that's not going to limit you
Medical circa few other books that you know we all know
Getting down into the mid seven figures
Extremely easy easier than getting $9,000 dollars down on Brad powers is early week college football
Out of conference college football stuff
So that's the simple argument for me is this
If you're betting NFL and you're claiming they're still an edge and you've won super contest
When do you win the super contest years ago? So you had at least has that bank role that we know for sure
That's been in there plus the pick selling services plus all this stuff
Physics response was
How how could I be a I have a family oh give a family that and I'm not trying to be con ascending here whatever
I'm explaining the math anybody who knows knows it's very simple
If you had an edge betting NFL during
Sunday morning at the high limits and you've had that edge for 20 years
You're a billionaire
Bear enough well said do you agree or disagree? So I agree with a lot of what you're saying
But with with like the I think that there's some nuance here that could be discussed right
You're very driven like you have an edge in sports betting you're very driven by maximizing that edge making money
Whatever and that's totally fine like lots of people strive to to that and for a large part of my life like when I had
My peak edge in NHL like that was all I could think about is like how am I gonna extract the most money this year
But there are people that lose that drive and maybe in physics case which he didn't articulate by the way
At least not to my recollection
Maybe it's not just like money for him and his appetite to grow is not the same as yours
So I think that where there could be potential disagreement there right like his motivation in betting
Might not be I want to make as much money as humanly possible. No, but Rob this like I know I know
Maybe I'm different in mindset, but it doesn't exist like you're not gonna make you're not gonna even bother
Doing the work to make a hundred thousand dollars selling picks
If you're making thirty million dollars a year betting football fair
You're not gonna make put the effort into even type those picks and the the the hundred thousand in sales
Is gonna erode your ability to make thirty or sixty million dollars like so it when we're talking this here
I don't accept the excuse of
Well, you know, I don't really care that much about betting. I I'm happy to make a hundred thousand betting and a hundred thousand
My thing I I mean listen
Maybe there's people who think like that. Yeah, but it's so far fetched to believe that
Someone who actually believes what she said on the podcast. Yes. I have an edge betting football the numbers are there
I give it out. I asked them. I said do you think people who buy your service will win. He said yes
Said yes, and they're they're marketing it hundred units 20 units 50 units 60 units whatever it is here
It's hard to find the exact amount. Yeah, they continually market that
30 units
A van of fell. Yes is on Sunday morning is
60 million dollars. Yeah, if you could write roll. It's 60 to a hundred and 50 million dollars if you have the right roll
and
What I mean by if you have the right role is it's possible to get that amount down
I'm not saying everyone should be betting that much. I'm not saying there even are people betting that much what I'm saying is
It's possible. It's been done people can do it. Yeah
I'm not I'm not gonna make any more like at the end of the day. He had his opportunity
To to give his own answers on the situation right and
When I ran into him at bet bash we were talking a little bit not very long but about that interview and specific and
And again, this is just my like opinion or or my read of him on the situation could be entirely untrue
But my read was that I think he wish he had a do over on a couple of questions and could have voiced them a bit better
We can definitely do it again, and I want to also give my thoughts on physics as a better by the way because this is
Despite what I just said here. I will tell you this about physics. Do I think he wins?
Actually, yes, I do. I genuinely think he wins. Do I think he wins at NFL? Yes
I do and I think he's wanted NFL for a long time. Obviously, you know
Might have had a losing season in here or there, but I genuinely would back him if you told me hey
I got to stake out my own money would I bet for physics to win on NFL this year? Yes, no
I'm betting the yes max bet easily
however
With that being said
Do I think that his Sunday morning available lines over the course of the NFL season are going to be profitable for subscribers?
No, if I did I would buy those picks and I would jam on with my own money
Yep, and then I too would be would have a hundred million dollars and then eventually a billion dollars
So therefore I don't mean to disrespect the guy in any way
I'm just explaining the concept of how the liquidity works in the market and the answers of oh I have a family like
I don't really understand how that plays into the mathematics that I'm showing or
You know can show in terms of like actually providing and that physics agree he's great at math
I'm pretty sure he's an actuary. Yeah, he knows the calculations better than me, right?
So that's that's all I'm trying to say there, but in terms of the physics like he actually is
super sharp in
The way he handicaps and the way he bets. He's found countless edges over the year. I used to listen to him
Prior to he and being on the podcast even prior to me even
um, you know when I was young way younger when it was just getting into sports being used to listen to him
So actually matter spec for him as an actual better as well as as like a mind because he is very sharp
Plus cv minus cv you already gave your minus cv
Zach got to get it together, bro. I'm the I was I but Maddie Simon honestly
At Vegas underscore Maddie. He's a good proxy and literally does not pay me. I'm just telling you
I've used Maddie Simon as a proxy for many many years
This is all I'm gonna say I'll end this conversation now never made a mistake
I've heard horror stories from everyone else that has had to do stuff in Vegas. Do you have a plus cv
For the week you mark these all down, huh? I got to start doing this
Well, let me actually go to my thing. So I just write them down like if I think of them
Yeah, it's smart life and then I'll and then I'll see
um
I have some I wrote them down while Johnny finds them if you want me to go here go ahead Zach
Okay, so uh, I went to
Circa this past weekend and we did the hit the book show there
So that was incredible my first time in Vegas. That's kind of why I was there to sign up for the contest
um plus cv
live tv on planes
I've never been on a plane with live tv. Oh, it's a bad day flight on Thursday had the live tv
I got sat down and I was like oh my god like I'm locked in watch the tour championship for three and a half hours on the flight
It was it was the it was the best I I honestly had just had never experienced that before
That was plus cv. That was that was incredible. Yep. I had never experienced that. Yep. I'm a big fan
live tv on planes as a game changer
Then you connect to the Wi-Fi and you throw some live betting on while you're on the game. I'm not joking
That that's going to be like delays in the live
You're not you cannot be doing that
But wait till the commercial breaks man. So I got I got a plus cv uh written down. It's actually uh
It's a plus cv from a live dog Luke. Yeah, uh part of the spanky crew
I call him Luke the man. That's what I'm going to continue to call him
It's it's I don't want to be saying all Luke. Oh, which Luke uh spanky's get knocked that's listen. Yes. He's on spanky's team
But he's his own guy Luke the man. That's what I call him now. So if I ever say Luke the man is live dog Luke we were at that bash
Uh, he came up to get a drink and I said oh, I have an extra here. Have it
Said that's the most negative EVV move ever. It's a it's an open bar. I'll just get my own like I don't know
So happened and I we laughed about it
Day later
He comes to the other bar again. I'm there and he's like oh, I'm just gonna get a water and I'm like
I actually have an extra water and he's like buddy
Negative EV got his own water. So the positive EVV move is at an open bar
Get your own drink get a fresh drink. It's an open bar. Yeah
There's no downside
All right, what do you go? And I already gave my negative EVV which by the way it wasn't about the super contest
The negative EVV play is not asking friends for help when you could potentially
I did ask friend. Okay, I but I will say I will say based off the conversation
Negative EVV is asking Pazola specifically for help based off the conversation
There could have been a little bit more
context and like
Questions provided in which he just asked me how do you sign up to a pro I know I know I don't get a proxy gave you
I gave you the answer. Yeah, this is the guy I use but he didn't even tell you like yeah
You didn't even ask him like I'm I getting absolutely rinsed. Yeah, what's typical's fee or whatever, you know how much like that that kind of stuff
I would have been in a bad mood because I think I was golfing at the time you sent that to me
But either way I probably would have got bad back to you, but okay. Yeah, fair enough
I just assumed that that was normal price based on like you were like all
I'm not throwing you on the bus here, but you that was the person you recommended. Yeah
I like but for context for context
I'd sign up for 15 contests. Yeah, right. It's not negative for him. Yeah, split in the big across multiple bets. Yeah, I got understood
And and let's not forget converting the the money at the ATM with the credit card. Yeah, there's a lot of mistakes happen
We need to have we need to have a conversation definitely played the eight and a half percent resort fee
You definitely played the roulette wheel with three zeros
No, there wasn't there's not one at circle
Plus EV for me. This is actual advice
Maybe this is stuff that like people knew about beforehand
I never knew about this shit before. I don't wear dress shoes a lot. I had my sisters wedding last week
My dress shoes didn't come in in time
So I had to run out the night before like 830 as the mall was closing to buy a pair of dress shoes
That would match my suit
But I have issues with dress shoes generally where they like wear down the bat like the Achilles area of my leg
And it's bothering me forever. I've never been able to find a comfortable pair of dress shoes
Little did I know they actually sell these soft pads that you can put in on the back of a dress shoe
Absolute game changer did not feel them forever
So don't be an idiot like me and wear dress shoes that are painful forever get yourself one of these little pads
That goes around the back at the Achilles. It's soft. It's really nice. You can dance you can do whatever you got to do
Plus EV it's like six bucks. I don't know which companies make them doesn't matter. Just get them
minus EV
consuming content
That you don't actually like and you people might say like why would you do this? Why would you consume content that you lose half our subscribers?
Well, you know you get
Go ahead Rob continue. Well, you know what there are I mean bet pod ratings definitely does not like circles off
He just continues to list. Thank you very much for listening by the way every single week and promoting our episodes
I do appreciate that
But consuming content that you don't actually like you get messages on like what's app and telegram and signal from your friends
Or like oh check this out check this out and you can read the title and you're like I'm really not interested in this
But like all right, I'm gonna
The problem is once you go down
This like and start clicking on all these things that your buddies are sending you
Or these podcasts that are like rattling you like people like oh check out what Simon Hunter said
I'm like I'm not gonna listen to it
You know why because now my feeds are just full of shit content that I don't actually want to ever see in my life
So I've gone down. I've made big mistakes
YouTube I did like some competitive analysis on YouTube and I went to other sports betting channels and started watching the videos
I should have done this under a burner account because now I'm getting fed the worst sports betting content imaginable
What's app like clicks into Instagram you should see the shit I get recommended on Instagram now
It's very bad these algorithms they pick up quick
They think you like something and you're watching something and you're clicking into it regularly
You're gonna get force fed that for a long time
So do not consume content that you don't actually like unless it's this specific thank you podcast
On top of that just want before we end
Thank you for tuning in everyone out there and supporting the show obviously click the like button subscribe and all that
Football season is right around the corner hit the books is absolutely killing it right now in terms of viewership
And I will say we finally got Joey Kanisha Mike the next episode of hit the books
You're gonna hear him with an actual microphone if he plugs it like I can't force him to plug it in because we've done this before with him
I will force him but Joey crystal clear baby Joey crystal clear will be there
Kanish and powers it's honestly the best show the real reason if you listen this long that I didn't share powers
And I was tripping physics is because powers part of the hammer betting network like subscribe. Yes
Douglas farmer Parker Fleming on Wednesdays never punt never parlay
I'm very proud of the college football content
So if you haven't checked out to hit the books YouTube channel do that
You can also check it on podcast form and forward progress powered by pinnacle
During the NFL season starting next week
We are going to be live six days a week Monday through Friday and then Sunday two shows pizza buffet with myself in the mornings
And then the recap show at night with Clive Bixby as well. So we have live content every single day
It's the usual cast and crew me Clive Fabian Somer Eric Eager hit man
George G stack George sharp Clark. I'm missing people all over the place Jeff Feinberg
Like we get we got it all so forward progress on YouTube and check it out in podcast for we are so back
Baby we are so back and let's go
I got one last thing it's a brand new show on hit the books. So you obviously see condition powers
But Monday mornings nine a.m. Eastern time rad powers release. We're gonna do a Brad powers release
We're gonna see how it goes. I'm not you know that steam
We're gonna start with a Brad powers release show to start the year
And we're gonna see how it goes because a credit by the way to Adam turn off who like coined this idea
At what I give credit where to do yeah, I'm not
I'm not gonna call no, no, no, it's not called big churn. I don't think he likes that
I heard him say that before is like where they'll just come from big churn
I'm not big or whatever. I'm like no, that's not what we mean by big like it's just anyways never my baby churn baby churn
Is what I like to call him but
Yeah, also one of the things
Right angle sports the actually like originators of the whole release. Yeah, I will say this right now
If you're thinking of signing up again, they crushed CLV record on bet stamp
Hit me up
Personally
Circles off at circles off HQ on Twitter. I have a promo code for you guys for writing those sports
If you want to buy the package for this season and it's actually a big discount if you buy it. So actually hit me up
Hit him up. You can email as well
Email circles off at the hammer dot bet hammer dot bet
This has been a big bomb banger of an episode. We got through a lot of topics
People were asking for more links. What's the clip gonna be you've been asked for more like for this or haven't you?
What's gonna be
What's the clip gonna be for this episode?
That's a tough one. You make notes Zach as you go along. You have to be making notes. Don't don't make it
You got a time stamp my rant my monologue on physics. Don't make it that make it make it robbed for this one. Make it me. Please
All right, there's probably a lot of quality clipable content in this one. Yeah, thanks. I think they're I think so
This has been circles off episode number 117. We'll catch everyone next week
Peace
You