Nobody wins, let's everybody win.
This is your climb.
We're in this game.
I'm going to press the buck back.
That is possible goal.
These guys aren't good.
Scary, good.
And this crowd is going for the bananas.
As they say, a hockey, let's do that hockey.
Hello, everyone.
Welcome back to line change.
The NHL betting podcast from the action network.
My name is Michael Leibov,
and joining me for this and every episode
are my co-hosts, colleagues, friends,
Nick Martin and Tim Kalinowski.
And together, the three of us will break down.
Tuesday nights, nine game NHL slate.
We'll also be back on Wednesday morning
and Thursday morning to do the same for those respective nights
of NHL action.
And the last time we spoke, gentlemen,
we were talking about how
there's a chance that this podcast would have been over finished.
Done.
We would have been retired,
because we would have hit some lottery ticket parlays
on the Oilers and Sharks games.
The caveat there being that the Oilers
would probably need to win in a blowout for us to do it.
The Sharks 1-3-2.
The Oilers never really looked like winning that game.
And because of that,
and because Tim took a shot at the San Jose Sharks attendance,
he has reported to duty in,
with teal face paint.
Yeah.
So it's going to be, I guess,
a little bit tough to get through this
because every time I look up at the camera,
I'll see Tim in teal face paint.
And I'll just do my best to keep the ship steady.
But as always,
we're going to start with our favorite honor dogs
on a big slate.
And you two are on the same one.
You showed up in make up,
and that means you got to go second.
Nick, who do you like tonight?
Yeah, I'm a little lame here.
I'll let Tim mainly sell it,
because I didn't love dogs on this slate,
like I hoped.
But I think the ducks,
if you can get them a better and plus 140,
are a good play.
I'm not really going to hard sell it too much.
I think I've actually kind of ripped on the ducks.
I don't think they're that good at all, really.
But the Preds, I was pretty surprised to see this number,
a pretty big price.
And the Preds are not defendingly defending overly well.
They had a really rough go Saturday versus the coyotes,
which was great for the pod.
But yeah, like we talked about all season.
This isn't going to be a team that controls more of the play.
And they've actually looked a little better than we expected.
But I still just don't think they quite have the offensive fire power.
They look more or less kind of comparable to the ducks.
And we'll see the one concern for Anaheim 2,
that could be noteworthy,
is it should be a Leo Carlson rest day soon, apparently.
So that's one thing to keep your eye on,
because this price moves around.
But yeah, I think better than plus 140.
I'm just, I'm getting sucked in a little bit.
It's a little too long.
So I think I kind of got to go against some of my ducks negativity.
Yeah, well, now that I've served my suspension of talking
for the first five minutes or so,
I'll say that.
So the, the, the teal face paint.
I, we obviously were all on Edmonton.
I was probably the most boisterous last week when we were trying to pick
them in a million parles to beat the sharks.
And then on Twitter,
I thought I was going to get heat for like being so,
so in on the oilers,
a bad team, mind you.
But this guy, Javier Jose on Twitter tweeted me and he said,
I expect an apology on the pod.
Not because I was picking Edmonton,
because I made a comment about San Jose's attendance.
Only five people will be there.
And I have nothing against San Jose.
It's like I love the shark tank.
I love going to California.
And so I said to him,
he said, I expect an apology on the next line change.
I said, no, forget, forget the apology.
No disrespect.
But if the sharks beat the oilers,
I will show up to line change on Tuesday with my face painted teal.
So ordered on Amazon,
basically the second the shark scored that terrible,
like bad bounce goal.
I just went to rate to Amazon,
and it ended up in, and now we're here.
So Jose, like, you know, Javier Jose,
this is what happened.
I'm from you.
I'm sorry.
The sharks are my daddy.
Yeah.
And as an Islander fan,
I always like to
commiserate with fans on those cheap attendance jokes.
So I'm happy with the,
with the punishment here, Tim.
Yeah.
Now talk about the ducks.
Yeah.
Okay, I'll stay in California.
I'm not paying my face or injure anything else.
This is the last face paint that I make.
But yeah, Nick,
you and I were talking.
I'm going to play the ducks here
because I think them in Nashville are closer than this number.
And, you know, that's not always the,
we bet based on numbers based on value,
but you said to me before we started the show,
would I think I would pick
Nashville if it was just a head to head,
or I had to do a pick,
but the number
is gives value to Anna.
I mean, look,
this is a Nashville team that's lost three in a row,
that's lost three in a row, and usually I would put a caveat on this bet and say watch
for sorrows starting, but sorrows has, hasn't been good this year, 3.24 goals against 89
or 0.894 save percentage. So even if we get sorrows, probably will not that scared of
them the way he's been playing this year.
Yeah, he's a funny one. And he's, he's had these, these kind of slow starts every year.
And then his number of drafts like 40 to 1 to win the Vezana and everyone's like,
okay, now it's the time to back him. I like the ducks too. I had them as one of the, I
had a couple hundred dogs that I liked here. They were definitely on the list, but it's hard
to look away from the coyotes at plus 190. This is the range that we've been targeting
this team.
Ooh, baby.
Yotes on the road for basically the past season plus now, since Andre Turingdi took
over, since they moved to Mullet Arena, they're, they're taking out a stars team that looks
to have started to stabilize a bit. So it's maybe a little concerning, but it's, it just
comes down to the ceiling of the, this coyote team being high enough, and they have enough
scoring talent. And the blue line looks just fine, that if they can get the gold tending
to at least match the stars, we're in good shape here at a big number. And one that I
don't think is all that dangerous of moving too much off of the plus 190. So I don't think
you need to rush to bet the Yotes here, but I'll be on them plus 190.
Yeah, I'm, I'm a little too scared here. I think the Yotes have kind of had a less convincing
stretch of play, like they're finishing, but the cracking game was pretty mid. The blue's
performance was not good. The Preds game, they found a way, but I think it just feels like
that this kind of form we saw early on has gone up the window a little bit, some a little
afraid, like I'm not saying bet the stars, but I just thought this looked appropriate.
And obviously it's still rooting hard for the coyotes. So any of these like middle of
the ground ones, maybe I'm just leaning a little bit towards just hoping for the coyotes,
but yeah, it feels all right to me. I don't know if I'm going to muster up the confidence
to bet the coyotes here. The stars, the stars are humming. They're clicking,
blow out wind over Minnesota the other night. And the biggest thing for me with the stars
is always, are they going to score? Can they get scoring? It looks like they have recently.
And then on the coyote side of things, I think this game, if you're going to get a coyotes wind,
it's going to have to, they're going to have to score on the power play. They got one of the
best power plays in the league. And Dallas kills the best in the NHL. So that's kind of correlated
right there. You're going to need a coyotes power play goal for them to win the game.
Okay, so it's the coyotes for me is my favorite underdog ducks for you too. And now onto the rest
of the nightingame slate on Tuesday nights, we'll start with a fun one, I think, between the
Bruins and Sabers. Boston is doing its thing, wonky, wonky performance against the Habs and
Saturday night. But put that aside, they've just kind of done what we've come to expect out of
this team under Jim Montgomery for almost the entire season, 11 one and two on the year.
The Sabers, meanwhile, coming off of a tough loss against the the penguins, a shutout,
they lost four or nothing. Yet they're still getting, I think, a little bit of respect from
the market as a, even, I know they're at home, but a plus 128 underdog against a really good
Bruins team. I think you could have argued it could be a little bit longer on the Sabers here.
So I think it looks just about right. I'm not looking to get in front of the Bruins with a team
that is just going to struggle to get the saves with, with whoever goes swimming or all Mark,
I don't know whose turn it is. And I don't really care anymore, Tim.
You shouldn't care. And no one has a less of a feel for the Boston Bruins than me who lives
20 minutes north of Boston. They don't stop winning. Obviously, we heard one in Montreal the
other night. But for me, you said it a little bit. I'm surprised at the number. And this is,
I honestly kind of want to bet Boston. But again, I'm almost like recused myself because of my
lack of feel for this team. But we think that one of the best teams are league and it's under
minus 150. Is this one of those? Is this one of those for me? Are we going to take the cheese
on getting one of the best teams in the NHL at like one of the rare prices we'd actually be able to
bet a match? Yeah, I was looking at this as a spot, which kind of works to your point there that
it's just closer than expected where I was going to get a number I wanted to bet Buffalo at.
Like I thought we'd get the Sabers at like plus 140 here. And then I'd want to play that. So
yeah, it just looks aggrate. It does seem like they said it almost a little lower than expected.
And Buffalo's kind of coming around. I think you made a good point just with like the
goal-tending that, you know, it's just such a mismatch on that front. And the burns are such a
sharper defensive team. But yeah, I don't really think there's a better number at these prices.
Okay, Nick, we'll go to your favorite team, the Washington Capital. So Red Hot, Washington
Capital's nobody is saying it, but there was a time three games into the season, you know,
whole three game sample size where not us particularly. I think we were down on the caps
and that started in help. But in the mainstream hockey media, I heard this might be the worst team
in the entire league. Not from just one place, too. Like there are a lot of teams. They were
getting placed 30 by around 30th. Yeah. So you talk about two like because it kind of ties in
here. When they were power ranked like 30th, I don't think that was with a lot of teams
agree justly out of place. Like I think that's just the way it is this year. We talked about pre
season. Each conference only has like two or three teams that look like locks to be like contenders
and playoff teams, which is awesome. Like the competition for the wild card spots is insane.
In the east, if you look, it's like Columbus is the only team right now that I'm looking at.
And I'm like, this team is dead, which is some maybe the winner more of some Columbus fans
going to tag me a bit. Come on. But uh, I changed my best bet now. Yeah. Well, and I,
I historically kind of liked Columbus, but like I just think you look at it and it is so close.
Like the, the senators are in second last. I won't point out my sense to make playoffs pick
what looked great. And it's just been a going show sense and the aisles like everyone's just
clumped in there. And then the caps are quietly snuck into a playoff spot and are playing really
good hockey and they've had not good injury situations too. And a bad schedule. Like schedule
hasn't been easy at all either. I know they caught the devils with, you know, without hues and
and he sure, but that was it back to back and they swept it and I think there's there's a full
mark. They get credit for that. They get credit for that. They're playing really
as a team. Like you got to give it to Carbury because they're, it's not even really just like
none of the stars are showing up and stealing them games. Really like they're defending really
well and and are getting some scoring from kind of all over the place. But yeah, it just feels like
one of those ones where you can point to him as much as any other coach for the turnaround, I think.
Yeah, I think that's fair in there. Plus 136 underdog hosting the Golden Knights, uh, who are
minus 162 total at six. I think the markets may be a little high on the caps. I would have liked
a better number, but I would lean towards Washington if anything and I like an overtime bet here
actually. We've talked about the Knights playing a ton of close games and coming out on the right
side of them all season. Like they're just not really built, although they did it to Colorado
so the sounds asinine. They're not really built to just blow competitive teams out. Meanwhile,
the caps are doing a really good job of just coming up the works. They're getting in front of shots.
I, uh, I'm impressed with the way they've been kind of just handling situations. So I think this
is a decent overtime looked in. Yeah, I think because of what you said in that, um, kind of a lower
variance like the Knights don't have that blowout capability unless they're playing Colorado and they
put up a touchdown. But so I'll ask you this, Nick. We, we, we, we say that Vegas plays this
game where they don't make mistakes and then they capitalize on everybody else's mistakes.
Can the capitals, the, the, the capitals a suited partner to not make a lot of mistakes and,
you know, grind out a one to nothing two to one type game. And they have, they, it takes two to tango
when you're talking about the Knights. Yeah, I think that's actually kind of like exactly what the
caps are trying to do right now. They've kind of had some of these games where the mindset is,
you know, you're just going to need to play your game. Focus on not making mistakes. You're not
going to get any cheap wins and that sort of thing. It almost feels like some of those spots where
they're so like so much is working against them. It's almost like, let's just go out there and play
our game the best we can and live with it. You know what I mean? It feels like I thought Saturday
was such a tough spot for them with the pieces are out of the lineup and they have hunter shepherd
in playing it back to back like. So they've, they have proven a lot just playing within their
structure. Yeah, it's, I think the backs, I think the backs from thing helped to just to kind of
like get that out of the way, right? Well, and the thing is like I had said, like, it sucks and it's,
it's bringing them together, but the reality of it was like those minutes are going to like
players playing better now. Like, don't throw him playing great. Backstrum has touched that level
in since he's been like back in the lineup and Mick Michael's playing really good too.
And then the other thing is nicked out. I always say it's like one of the most underrated players
in the league. He's one of those guys every caps fan knows how effective he is.
So I think if you just look at it, like they're, their center situation looks pretty good really.
And I think that could be sneaky or the blue line's a little dinged up though.
But yeah, I think Mike's overtime call is actually pretty good.
If I get, if I get more than plus 140, I'll play the caps. I think we could get some see some
Vegas love come in by the time the game starts seeing this good of a team at a shorter number
than we're accustomed to. And Vegas is just crushing me this year. Okay, I'm just
all right. From Ovechkin to Crosby now, the penguins are laying minus 175 on the road
to Nix. They're dead now. Columbus Blue Jackets plus 145 at nationwide arena. Columbus
a total of six and a half for this one. Tristan Jari posted a shutout. So no concerns,
I guess with his health anymore, it looks like they'll be fine to ride him.
And avoid having to start third stringer mangas helper. The Blue Jackets.
Man, the frustrating thing I think for the Blue Jackets is they're, they've been playing some
decent games like the structure has looked all right. They're not just giving up chance after
chance after chance like they did last year and playing these crazy side show circus games.
But they're still not getting results. And that's got to be frustrating. But I do think that
laying minus 175 with Pittsburgh, just given their propensity for just defensive miscus and lapses
is a little daunting. So I think this one looks about right. It does seem like I think I think
the overall be pretty popular. But Tim, you you have a play on on a side here. I lean the Columbus Blue
Jackets. I lean the Columbus Blue Jackets. And it's similar to the docks handicap. And I just
if I had to pick the game, it's Pittsburgh. If I had to pick based off the number, which is indeed
gambling, I would lean Columbus here. And it's not a great matchup. And it's because Pittsburgh
gets a whole ton of shots on net. And Columbus allows a whole ton of shots on net.
Two teams going opposite direction. Pittsburgh is one four in a row. Columbus has lost five in a row.
I guess my question to the panel to get me to lean all the way to a press play on Columbus is
is this a price good enough for buy low sell high? I mean, it's close. I don't love this spot here,
right? Like it feels like one word. It's not great. I think we talked right before this win street
for the pens that it seemed like they were about to get going. They were just scoring well
blow expected. But this does feel like the kind of spot they've blown historically. You've heard
the comments from the Blue Jackets after the Rangers collapse. I know that doesn't mean anything. You
want to just try bet numbers more or less. But it's not a spot that I'm happy about. I think,
I mean, as competitive as League is, the Blue Jackets should probably be a little better than this.
So I think there's that part of it. The one thing I'll throw out there that I think is an
interesting look. And maybe we talk quicker on it on Wednesday. I still think that Crosby's 150-1
to win the hard. If they sneak in a wild card swap this year, that race looks so open. He's got
15 points. It's like he's in a huge hole in terms of the stuff that they're going to look at. He
would obviously need to go in a bit heater. But I think his defensive play, if he puts up
like 95, the pen sneak in, it just feels like a less complicated row. And the other thing I looked
at too is just like, I think out of the super long shots, it's the best on the board by a lot.
I like looked at some of the players ahead of him. I can't believe it. Like, always ahead of him.
And as much as I love Obie in the caps, he's not really doing anything. And there's a lot of
players like that I looked at. And I'm like, really, they think. So I think that's a decent
punt, especially if you're maybe a pen span. I really think that quite reasonable.
Yeah, I think so too. Actually, we talk every other Monday. We do a collaboration with the NHL,
.com guys. And we talked actually about that on today's episode. And we talked about the bar
that Connor McDavid has surpassed to win the heart because of what he said, how high he said it
with his performance last year. Crosby of all the realistic contenders on the board probably has
the lowest bar to pass. It's basically get the penguins into a playoff spot, be close to 100 points,
and be really good to weigh and play the full season. And enough media members out there will make
the case for Sydney Crosby because of his status as the base. He's going to be on a stamp someday
in Canada, right? Like, he has he already been maybe. I have no idea. But I think that's a good
point and one to keep bringing up as long as he's still up there in prices.
All right, let's move on to the Devils and Jets. I actually like the Jets here as a short home
favorite. They're minus 125 Devils traveling at plus 105 and total six and a half. I like,
the Devils at full strength are on an elite team. They were one of the favorites for the Stanley
Cup, deservingly so. They were one of the favorites for the President's trophy, deservingly so,
but without he sure and Hughes, they're not that far off from the Winnipeg Jets. We were playing
some good stuff. So when you adjust for a home ice advantage here, you move this line 20 cents
and you get the Devils without Hughes and he sure as a minus 115 favorite on neutral ice.
And then you consider the goal tending this parity as long as we get hell of buck. I don't know.
You can start to really make a case for the Jets as a favorite here. So I'm going to be on Winnipeg name.
Yeah, I fully agree. I think the Jets have looked really, really solid. They've played really
good team hockey. They look, I mean, their biggest flaw has been middling goal tending, really,
which is like, you'd think at some point their goal tenders will course correct a little bit.
So I fully agree and you made the Hughes and he sure point. I think people are
ring a little hard on the Devils. Like even before those two went down, they didn't look
entirely crisp, right? Like we kind of talked about it. They're stealing some wins with their
their offense. The goal tending wasn't going so well. So they haven't exactly looked like maybe
myself and some of these people thought they would before the season got going. But the Hughes
he sure thing is such a valid excuse. Like you could look at so many different teams if you
pick the exact two worst guys to go down. Like this is how they're going to perform more or less,
especially at the exact same position where it's just harder to to fill out those minutes.
So I fully agree. I think this is a pretty good number to bet on the Jets and it sucks for the
Devils right now. It sounds like those two are close. So hopefully they'll they'll get back and
they'll sort it out in soon. But yeah, I like this play for sure. As of Monday, neither practiced.
So I mean, they could be getting closer, but still not encouraging enough that there's a chance.
So it's I don't like that at all. Look, you're playing a Jets team that's stingy. They're solid.
I mean, they haven't gotten them. They've been fine. Go with any right? Halibuk's been not
Halibuk's standard, right? This year. But look, the Devils have to score their way out of problems.
And I don't know if they're going to score their way out of problems against a Jets team that
doesn't make a lot of mistakes. So think Leibov, think you're bang on it as a small favorite.
Probably go Jets up to one minus one 30 on my end. That's what I would say.
Yeah, I wouldn't play all too much further than this. And the point about the gold tending is
is true, right? That you look overall, say, percentage Devils are fifth worst in the NHL at 8.79.
And the Jets are sixth worst at 8.81. And you'd expect one of those would almost certainly
trend in pretty heavily in the right direction. And the other one will maybe slowly start
to get towards League average. And the other thing that Devils, they're clicking at such a
good rate on the power play. But when you lose Hughes and Hescher, that dings that too. So a step
back there wouldn't be all that surprising. Yeah. And I'm just going to say, I think to talk
about the Jets point two, like we're not just picking on the Saper Central. I think they've defended
fairly well. Like it, I don't think it's just looking at the numbers and saying Halibuk hasn't been
himself. And then yeah, the Devils just take like even Hughes, I think, is actually pretty well
better than average defensive center now, especially with how you're just going to use them
and till play in the right direction. And then obviously Hescher is everywhere for them.
I thought he was going to win the selfie for us this year. And you know, the one thing we're worried
about was the health and right away he gets hurt. So sucks. But yeah, I think the Jets are a good
play here. And I think it's kind of interesting to talk about the Devils.
All right. One more game before we get to our best bets. And that is Tim, your team,
the San Jose Sharks is a plus 185 home underdog hosting Florida, the Panthers might as 220.
Total six and a half Florida hats off to caps off to the cats, I guess, for the way they've been
going. Despite injury issues out of the gate, they are currently sitting at nine, four and one
with a plus four goal difference. And so there's seventh best in the NHL in terms of overall points
percentage. I think that's a lot better than Austin. Basically, everybody thought, so kudos to the
Panthers. That said, I'm just not going to lay it here. Just these sharks numbers need to get so
much higher for me to be interested in. And I don't think that Florida, I think this number has
room to grow for the Panthers. Like we could see it close a lot higher. But I just don't want to lay
this big of a number with a team that is still banged up, although getting healthier now.
Yeah, I agree. I think the Panthers, I mean, we've done pretty good to pivot off our point
about them earlier in the year, because I think their plays have been pretty eye catching.
They're about to get those d back too, which is enticing. But I don't love this spot. And the other
thing that's kind of scary is like, obviously, we all got crushed on that sharks oil game, not
getting that not going the way we expected. But the sharks didn't even play, right? They didn't
forecheck. They just couldn't lay it more timid hockey and just they did exactly what they had
to do. But now I'm just like, like, how are they going to play this? Is it going to be the same
kind of thing? I could feel like a bit of that was kind of like the spot. Like that was like the
sharks makeable. And David Quinn actually seemed to shake up the strategy a little bit and
be pretty much as prepared as he could possibly be to hide their flaws. And now it's just that whole
experience has me just a little scared off the sharks here. But they made sure to follow it up with
two horrible performances on the weekend and get right back to that shark standard that we
knew and loved. So yeah, I agree. And then that scares me too. We're like this might normally be a
spot where you're probably going to want to people might be thinking hammer the panthers props.
I don't think it's a worst idea. But it's just like if the numbers are going to be moved and the
sharks are going to go into playing this insanely low event style that they did the last time they're
a huge underdog at home. Then that scares me a little bit. Not touching. You think I'm touching
this? You think I'm playing with this at all? No, no, I'm not going near this. What nothing to do with
it? The point we're back to after we broke all of our rules and hammered the oilers and as a
podcast that loves underdogs, I think we're back to the spot of you can't bet the sharks unless we're
getting way bigger numbers than this way bigger. This is like this is too much respect. It's like
quietly say that with my face painted deal. There's too much respect for that shark's team. And
panthers, they deserve a ton of credit. I was going to make one more point about the sharks,
but I forgot what I was going to say. I think it was something along the lines of oh yeah,
in that oil's game, they finally got some bounces. It's like well, they finally got some bounces
like they create their own luck. Like when you're not playing in the offensive zone at all, you
can't really say, oh, they don't really get a lot of bounces. So yeah, sharks, you know, you're my
daddy and the panthers, they're damn damn good. I love the panthers. They've, they've complete left,
done a 180 on them. I thought they'd start the year a lot slower than they have props to them.
Yeah, you're not alone in either of those thoughts. I heard other people say man, it was nice to see
the sharks finally get about. Yeah. Yeah. Well, yeah, I mean, some of those games early on in the game,
it was like the first two and the goalie's grounded, but like the first two decent chances would
just go in and they wouldn't bury any of their early chances. Like we talked about even that
conox game. Yeah. The first few minutes of sharks could have been up and then it was like four
and nothing a little bit later. So it was kind of the polar opposite of that. And then I think it
helped them play the way they needed to versus the oilers. We have all watched scene played in
a hockey game that unfolded exactly the way that oilers sharks game did in terms of like ice tilted
and then, you know, you have a bad goalie. And up there in the second, the sharks are, you know,
going down the other end, you're like, you're holding your breath. You're like, why am I holding
my breath? The saddles in sharks. One of that I just want to bring up before we move on to our
best bets is the New York Islanders are 31st in the NHL in five on five shooting percentage at
six point five. The sharks are obviously the worst team at three point nine.
I don't know how much further it's going to move up. So I remember what I was going to say too.
I am not betting this game too because I need my life back. I've stayed up way too late watching
the sharks every single night. We've had some sort of action on them every day. I'm going to bet
at 230. And I just, I need my life back and if I say any back, I need a break from the San Jose
sharks. Once this watches off, I'm watching them out of my life for at least a week.
Standard zone 10. Yeah, yeah, you live in the best hockey time zone. That's for sure. One that's
conducive to both watching the sharks and the blue jackets. Top show for mama hides the cookies.
All right, best bets now. We'll start with the flames and habs. Calgary,
laying minus 155 on the road, Montreal plus 130. The over under here is six and a half. Nick,
I would say you probably spent more time dissecting Montreal's legitimate issues,
maybe than any other team on this podcast. So no surprise to see where you're going here.
Yeah, I mean, this is just, it sucks because I feel like Montreal thrives in winning the games
that the way this is going to look. But I think Calgary, like this just sets up. And they've been
playing really well too. I talked about it before that. A tough spot versus a lot of while that I
still thought could have gone a lot better as we always think with Calgary. But like if you look at
their last six games or so, they're completely tilting the ice. And I don't think it's just been
classic flames, whatever, where we're complaining that they can't finish. That's still happening some.
I think that's going to happen always. But it just, it feels like they are playing like,
they're finding it defensively. They're playing much better. They're generating chances at a high
level. I think they're completely cave in the habs here. The habs have had that going on with
everyone. I was hoping for a better number given that Montreal 7, 6 and 2 when the flames are 4,
8 and 2. But I still think anything better than minus 160 is a play. And then this is another one.
I think this is going to be a smash spot for Jake Allen or Sam Montenboz saves because it'll probably
be 30.5. I think they're, they'll probably fly by that. Like the flames are so money on that
prop. It just feels like they haven't, like they don't let down. They always, like they just keep
pouring pucks at the net. And they have their strengths. I still love the blue line. I was laughing
when I read Zadderal's Asian say that he's the best player on the blue line. I think he's the
fifth best player, which is the minutes he's getting. So that situation's interesting and a little
ugly, but I still like Calgary. Like I think that blue line is going to let them tilt the ice in
the right direction. They don't really have any stars going, but I just, I look at this. I think
it's a great spot to try to pay off the flames. It just sucks because those ones were all
it's makers kind of new. Like they know the way the processes have looked between these two teams.
And that's obviously reflected with the price. So hopefully Calgary's number, people can get a little
better tomorrow morning. But I also just think Sharper money kind of knows how it's going between
these teams teams. And the price is already worse than on Calgary, which also doesn't surprise me.
I think it's just a great, great spot to get on them, even if the records don't suggest it.
I was going to say props to the odds makers for watching a whole lot of flames and Canadians,
yeah, good for them. When they have flames all year, yeah, it's a good point, right? And even last
year, like how much steam came in on Calgary from game one to 82 last year and that this
happened again this year. I was I was a whole lot of that not necessarily steam, but I was a whole
lot of that love for sure. So where it was I was ready to say this was a smash, but like if it was
minus one 30, I thought it might be I had texted you guys on the weekend and said I think Calgary's
going to be such good bet on Tuesday. But yeah, I'm giving them a mulligan for the back-to-back loss
to Ottawa. They they have been playing way better. So that's that's how I got there with my,
you know, obviously a sour taste with the way things have gone for Calgary the last couple of
years or so, a year and a half. But yeah, like I said, mulligan, I'm taking him, Nick, I like that
you're giving that endorsement. I'll probably take him when I like about like this. I also take a
little taste on three way and a little taste on pop line when that's when I like about like this.
Yeah, and you know, I don't want to let the people down on this again, but I think if you're
person who likes, you know, maybe they do like a same game parlay boost or something like that,
this game could be good for that because if you look, Calgary's getting their shots and getting
their chances here and I'll probably end up posting a flame shooter to if especially if we don't get
like a good goalie number. But yeah, it just looks like it. And I thought that sends the game to Tim,
like the flames could have had more goals, which we say every game, but like they had clear cut break
ways. They had great looks. They just not ended up in the net. I also thought too that Wolf was
great before that came back out of reach. Like the the first two goals were noble. It was
stopping them. They're perfect tip ins. Like I thought he stalked all the ones who's supposed to,
which maybe is another interesting note because his numbers from that game finished on paper,
pretty bad. So like I still want to bet him. I'm not expecting to play in this game, but I thought
he was actually pretty great. Other just a couple of chances. No one's going to say I've got to
in my favorite bet is a team we talked a lot about already. That's the ad hoc ducks. They were
your favorite underdog off the top, Tim and Nick. So we don't need to get too much further into that.
The last game we'll talk about Tim, your favorite bet, Tampa Bay's hosting St. Louis.
Bolts minus 142 on the road. Blues plus 120 and a total six and a half. Yep. The Tampa Bay
lightning Vasilevsky on the ice today at practice. Don't know if that means. I'll be playing in this
game, but regardless, I think it's a great boost for the fellas. They get to see 88 back in practice.
Guys, we hung on by the skin of our teeth until our hero that saves all of our defensive
blunders for us. So I think I just think it's a good vibe for the for the for the lightning here.
Seeing that guy back and, you know, I know this isn't college football and emotion doesn't
play that much in your butt. I think it's good for them. I think it's in to me. This is what we look
out. This is indicative of this entire board is a lot of really good teams as shorter favorites
that we feel is kind of discounted. And we're kind of just walking around tiptoeing here,
picking which ones are the right time to back the favorite, right time to back the dog. And I
think this is the right time to bet Tampa is a favorite. Camp Bay top five power play in the league.
They've been absolutely humming, clicking and then St. Louis. They're a bottom 10 penalty kill.
So as long as Tampa Bay can get on the power point, I like him here probably up to
minus one 55. Yeah, I actually don't hate a bet on the blues here. I hate to say it.
At home, been sneaky. They're like, yeah, they're more I think they're just more pesky than
I would have. They weren't pesky at all last year. No, right? Like when they played bad,
they got blown out. And they're defending better. I still like, I see where Tim's coming from
when you look at it. It feels like it's it's not. It's about first yet to St. Louis. Yeah.
But like it I agree. It feels like you're getting a good price on the team that should be way
better long term. But the blues have kind of played surprisingly decent. So yeah, they just
be colorado 8 to just be colorado 8 to the gold tentings held up so far. Yeah, I think St. Louis
for me actually Tim. So yeah, best luck. That's man win kind of situation between the bolts
and the blues. There's always going to be a team every season where before the year starts,
like I'm probably just not going to be betting this team a lot this season. I think the blues
were kind on that list for me, especially after before last season, being pretty bullish on them,
it's because of their forward group and being able to maybe outscore some defensive deficiencies.
That obviously didn't age well, but this year it's been okay. So I agree. I feel like you only
need to look stupid if you don't adjust, which I say as I bet on the flames is minus one. Yeah.
I don't know whatever. I'm stupid. I am. I just don't love this blues team and they just
don't really move it for me. And I'm kind of on board with I'm just idiot brain licking my
chop seeing the bolts at I just I think kind of a discount. Well, yeah, I mean the blues at some
point aren't going to get 940 gold tending a five and five either. So there's going to be there's
going to come a time where this team will fall off the rails a bit because they're not generally
pushing playing the right direction, but they're they're they're they're gold tenors have played
well and they're giving up more than they're they're generating almost on a nightly basis, but
I think that they are a little bit dangerous as an underdog because of that gold tending and
and some finishing power. Robert Thomas has been pretty good lately too. Which name it. Yeah,
go ahead and start. He's so good. All right. On that note, we'll we'll wrap this episode up.
It was the ducks as your both of your favorite underdog. I like to coyotes. No surprise there.
Best bets came in on the ducks for me. Nick likes to flames. Tim likes the bolts. We will see you all
again on Wednesday morning as Nick alluded to will we'll do another look at the futures market as
well as break down the short slate for Wednesday night. And then again Thursday morning as we
break down a more another busy night in the NHL for Tim Kalanowski and Nick Martin. I'm like
a leap off. Thank you again for listening to line change. Action Network reminds you please
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