Toss Up: Bruins Over/Under 100.5 points in 2023-24?

Es ist der Lockdown Podcast-Nedwork. Your team everyday. Und viel mehr kann zum Livestream verfolgen. Die Zukunftswoche von DM. Bist du dabei? Alle Infos auf die MDE-Slescht-Zukunftswoche. Die Überunter auf Boston-Point-Total für das Jahr ist 100.5. Das ist ein Fandschluss. Heute ist ein Podcast. Ich werde darüber übernimmt, warum wir die Überunterhöhung machen. Und warum wir die Überunterhöhung machen wollen. Plus ein paar Note aus der ersten Einrichtung des Trainers. Jetzt gehen wir ins Show. Your Lockdown Bruins. Your Daily Podcast on the Boston Bruins. Part of the Lockdown Podcast-Nedwork. Your Team everyday. Was ist das? Und willkommen back zu The Lockdown Boston Bruins Podcast. Ich bin Your host, Ian McLaren. Und das ist ein Daily-Show, das wir uns alle sagen wollen. Heute ist Friday, September 22. Und ich danke dir so viel für making Lockdown Boston Bruins. Part of your day, every day. The Podcast is free, and available on your favorite Podcast app, as well as on YouTube. Please do subscribe so that you never miss a thing where part of the Lockdown Podcast-Nedwork. Your Team everyday. And today's episode is brought to you by Fandall. The official sportsbook of Lockdown makes every moment more right now. By signing up, new customers can bet $5 and get 200 in bonus bets guaranteed. Visit fandall.com slash Lockdown to get started. Quick reminder, you can find the Podcast on social media, at Locked NHL Bruins. You can find me, my dad jokes, hockey tweets, hockey, thoughts at ENC McLaren on X, Twitter, Threads, on Blue Sky now as well, and Instagram. Alright, let's get into today's topic, my friends, and that is the Over Under for the Boston Bruins this season, set by Fandall at 100.5 points. So, if you take the Over, you're expecting the Bruins to amass at least 101 points. If you take the Under, you think there could be 100 point team, but likely less. The Bruins are coming off a season in which they recorded 135 points. So this is 34.5 points fewer than they garnered last year. But some regression is not just to be expected, but pretty much guaranteed. They will not be as good as they were last season. But there are some indications that it's still a safe bet to take the Over. Those of you who have been listening every day will know that I'm still very high on this team defensively. They have an elite goal-tending tandem, arguably the best in the NHL between Linus Allmark, Jeremy Swaman. Those two guys together mean the Bruins offer no reprieve to the opposition in net. There are some teams have a clear number one goalie and then the back up is, you know, not necessarily a gimme or a scheduled loss, but the gap between their number one goalie and their back up is extremely wide and you can bet on teams playing their back ups against lesser competition. And given the opposition a better chance to win than with the starting goalie in net. But necessarily the case with the Boston Bruins. On any given night, Linus Allmark or Jeremy Swaman can stand on their heads, put in above average performances and get the W for the Boston Bruins. That's a huge reason why you can confidently take the Over and expect the Bruins to get at least 101 points because of the goal-tending alone. It's often net for the Boston Bruins. The defense is also going to be very strong in front of them. You have an incredibly solid top four in Charlie McAvoy, who likely will be in the Norris conversation if not a Norris finalist, perhaps even the Norris Trophy winner of the season. You have his partner in McGryslic who is in a contract year. You can bet that he's going to come out strong and have his Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, a fantastic second pairing and then some combination of Derek Forbord, Kevin Schett and Kirk, Jacob's Borrel and perhaps even Ian Mitchell in the bottom pairing. The Bruins prioritized keeping the goal-tending tandem together, resisting the temptation to sell high on Linus Allmark or trade Jeremy Swaman in an attempt to lure a top flight center. They prioritized keeping the defense core together, the only major change is Connor Clifton out, Kevin Schett and Kirk in. And they should still be very good at suppressing the opposition, keeping the goals against it down. And those two factors are huge in terms of taking the over for the Boston Bruins. Now again, they're not going to be the same team they were last year. There could be some regret, well there will be some regression. As a team, there will be some personal regression in terms of Linus Allmark's safe percentage. Perhaps even Jeremy Swaman, but think about it, even just look at Allmark alone. Last year he had a safe percentage of 938. But even if he comes back to his career average of 919, that's still very, very good, still very high end. And those numbers were in part recorded as a member of the Buffalo Savers when they were in very down seasons. 915 and 917 safe percentages in the two years before he came to Boston where wins were few and far between in Buffalo. They were still in their rebuilding years. And Allmark had a 917 safe percentage in his first year with the Bruins, a transition year for himself personally. He admitted that he was much more comfortable in Boston last year, 938. Even if he goes back to his career average of 919, still a very high end, Goldtender with Jeremy Swaman as his 1B who will step in and offer comparable if not perhaps even better, safe percentage for the Boston Bruins. So Goldtending, defense, that's a big reason why I would say take the over with respect to the Boston Bruins. Coming up after the break, we'll take a less favorable approach, maybe look glass have empty and talk about why you should take the under on the Boston Bruins here in 2023-2024. Alright, let's talk for a moment about bird dogs. I have a few pairs of shorts and a pair of bird dogs pants. And let me tell you, I cannot take them off. They are so incredibly comfortable and they have this liner on the inside with anti-stink sweat protection, just incredibly comfortable and perfect for date night, perfect for walk around the neighborhood, for working out in. They are so versatile, so comfortable, and again, I can hardly take them off. Now bird dogs right now is offering you a free bird dogs water bottle with every purchase. All you have to do is go to birddogs.com, slash Lockdown NHL, Enter Pro MoCode Lockdown NHL at checkout for the free bird dogs water bottle. That's birddogs.com slash Lockdown NHL for a free water bottle at checkout with a short shirt pants purchase. You will not want to take your bird dogs off. I promise you, they are so incredibly comfortable. Luisa Dellert und viel mehr. Die Zukunftswoche. Vom 25. des 29. September ab 18 Uhr live aus Berlin. Alle Infos zum Livestream auf DMDE slash Zukunftswoche. Also nächsteMMT upcoming yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummy yummyama für die Boston Bruins und dann die andere Spot ist kind of wide open at the moment and they're hoping for a resurgence from James Van Riemsdike after a very down season in Philadelphia last year. Could Trent Frederick jump up and grab that second line left wing spot possibly? Could someone like Jesper Bokewist or Alex Schaison surprising camp and ride high exhibition shooting percentages to an NHL job in the top six maybe? Could Fabian Lysel make a jump? I had an argument with a guy on X yesterday saying that if if Lysel doesn't make the team this year then he's a bust and he should be traded. Well he's still only 20 years old he's had one year in junior one year of pro hockey in North America still a bit premature for that but it'd be amazing if he was able to step up and fill that scoring role this season. Yesterday I tweeted that it's a very interesting situation up front for the Bruins. You probably have Captain Brad, coiled to brusk on the top line, JVR, Zacka, Posternack on the other top six line, Frederick Morgan Geeky who needs to take a step forward this season as well with maybe Danton Heinen or Alex Schaison on the right side maybe Jesper Bokewist and then the fourth line probably Luchich, John Beecher and Jacob Lauko which will be a banger of a line not necessarily the most offensive line. They've lost a lot of offense between Crachy, Bergeron, Taylor Hall, Nick Filino not to mention the guys they added at the trade deadline, Tyler Bertuzzi who's probably going to have a monster year playing with Austin Matthews and Mitch Marner in Toronto. Demetri Orlov helped push the offense from the back end. Some of these guys are going to have to come in on these million dollar contracts, maybe Kevin Schattenkirk can provide a bit of a boost, a bit more offense than what we saw from Connor Clifton on the back end but goals are going to be a bit more challenging to come by this season and that is a big reason why to take the under. I still believe this team is a playoff team. I still believe they could end up top three in the Atlantic. Again Florida barely squeaked in, they're starting the season with major injuries on the blue line. Tampa lost Alex Killorn, they're kind of in transition. Steven Stamcoes said yesterday that he's a bit disappointed with the lack of progress towards a contract extension. He could become an unrestricted for agent next summer. He would look good in black and gold. So there's some unstability there. The Leafs again, very top heavy but they're looking to deploy a second line of Matthew Nies, John Tavaris, Steven Lafferty. Buffalo is going to be coming up, Ottawa is going to be coming up. But I still think the Bruins are a playoff team and I say all the time you look at the roster in training camp, you look at the roster on opening night, you look at the roster at the trade deadline and on game one of the playoffs to assess their chances. Not necessarily a finished product in Boston as Don Sweeney could be looking to add a center throughout the course of the season if it becomes apparent that Zaka Coil can't carry the load in the top six. But offensively the Bruins could struggle and that's a reason that you might consider taking the under on the Bruins in 2023-2024. All right, we're going to wrap up today's podcast by taking a look at some news and notes from day one of on-ice activity, the training camp and that'll be coming up here after the break. While it's almost time for your favorite NHL team to start the chase for Lord Stanley's Cup, you might have a cup of your own to chase after. So check out Lockdown Podcast Networks Lockdown's Fantasy Hockey to help secure your own fantasy championship. For 30 minutes every day, our all-star team of Steel Rodin and Flip Living Stone bring you the latest player insights, trend-setting draft strategies and trade secrets to propel you to the top of your lead. Don't settle for mediocrity, aim for fantasy greatness with Lockdown Fantasy Hockey, available on YouTube or your favorite podcast platform. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. Now remember, players can play nine games at the NHL level and still be sent back to the OHL and not have the first year of their entry-level deals kick-in. If he plays with the Bruins for 10 games, then they burn the first year of his entry-level deal. He is still only 19, but he said his goal is to try to make the Bruins. Quote, it would be a dream come true to play in the NHL, but just to put my best foot forward and make it as difficult as possible for them to send me back to juniors. Can't play in the AHL this year, but he wants to make it a difficult decision. He said, quote, I'm still young, but why not this year try to make the Bruins and play in the NHL. End quote. He had a nice showing at the Prospects Challenge last weekend in Buffalo, one of the better players, for sure. And he was playing with Jesper Bulkfest in David Posnerak. Jim Montgomery called Poacher a high-end thinker. And he likes to place younger Bruins alongside veterans to kind of show them the Bruins way. Montgomery said, Poacher shown the ability to make a lot of plays. Yet 80 assists almost last year in the NHL, almost one and a half per game, playmaking center. Why not see what he can do with a proven goal score? That's the thinking, and they want to see if there was some chemistry. End quote. Poacher said, Posnerak came up to him, made him feel comfortable, skating with a guy like that. As a young guy, he felt a little nervous, and Posnerak said, don't be nervous, just play, have a good practice. So very cool to see Poacher thrive at training camp. I still expect him to see back here in Guelph. There, season opener is next Friday. But again, he might get a look with the club out of training camp. And yes, some interesting decisions ahead for Don Swini and company when it comes to the forward group. Another guy who's getting a look is Johnny Beecher. He was playing with Luchich and Lauko. And it seems like they're the favorites to start the season on the Bruins 4th line. They want a guy who's face off, proficient, a left shot centerman. And they threw those guys out to see if there was any chemistry. I believe Luchich said that Lauko is a scary guy. That's quite a compliment from a guy like Milan Luchich. And so that is an early look at what the 4th line could be come opening night. Finally, Jeremy Swaman spoke for the first time since the end of last season, said he's eager to team up with Lina Salmark. And keep those goalie hugs you on. And again, that's a big reason why I think you could take the over with the Bruins, this special, special goal-tending tandem. He also said of Brad Martion becoming the captains, no surprise. That's the guy that wears the crest every day the right way, he said. And everybody in the locker room knew it was coming. Great honor for him. And Swaman said, quote, I'm going to run through a wall for that guy and same as everyone around me. We all know he's going to put in the work, show us what it's like to be a Boston Bruin through his actions and of course have a vocal presence as well. So full endorsement from Jeremy Swaman. On behalf of the entire locker room for Brad Martion being named Captain as if there was any doubt. Bruins are scheduled to practice once again here on Friday. They will do so I believe as well on Saturday. They have two group practices at 10 a.m. and 12 p.m. respectively. I believe that's open to the public if you want to go check it out at Warrior Icerina on Sunday. No pre-games gate but 5 p.m. pre-season game versus the New York Rangers at TD Garden on Nesson Plus. And on Monday's episode I will be sure to bring you all news and notes from that game and a new format for how we're going to recap games here on the podcast this season. That's it for today's episode my friends. I hope you were all doing well taking care of yourselves, taking care of each other, having a good week and thank you so much once again for joining me here on Lockdown Boston Bruins. Part of the Lockdown podcast Network your favorite team every single day. Now is the best time to join Fandall the app is easy to use and you can bet on everything from spreads to player props and more. 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