Week 1 fantasy viewer guide: Games to binge, stream and skip

Welcome to the pod. This is the college football inquire with myself Dan Wetzel, Ross Dellinger, and SI's Pat Forty. Where every week we fill you in on all the biggest news across the college football landscape. We offer perspective from veteran connected reporters who always remember this is supposed to be fun. If you like football, animal attack stories, UFOs, county fair foods, or just the general news of the weird that this sport provides, this is the podcast for you. We hope you join us this season on the college football inquire. It's Friday, September 8th. I'm Matt Harmon. Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy football show presented by Nerd Wallet. It's a hell of a day to talk ball because it is week one. One game is in the books. A bunch of great ones are on the horizon. Joining me to do just that is teacher Hernandez. My good buddy from four for four TJ. It's going on, man. Matt, I mean, this is all sincerity. I would not rather kick off a week one of NFL season with anyone else, but you and I truly mean that you and I go back to the very, very early days of doing this. So it's always a pleasure to hop on with you and talk to football, man. Yeah, we do go back. I mean to like the 10 people, 15 people watching a stream on Sunday morning. We had double digit people. We were crushing it. Yeah, we really reached out to like our moms and their friends and like our relatives. So yeah, TJ and I go way back. We actually used to host an episode on this podcast feed, like 15 podcast iterations ago, doing a little game by game, DFS stuff. So that's kind of what we're getting back into today, man. Let's waste no time. We have a big show ahead of us. And this is a new format for our preview show this year. And I'm with TJ, man, there's nobody else. I basically was like, I don't care what I got to do. I got a big TJ to be on the inaugural episode here of our binge stream skip weekly preview show. You all know this out there. We only have so much attention to spare and time to commit to the content we consume in our streaming platform dedicated world. No matter how much time you think you have, you can't watch it all. No matter how much you may want to an NFL Sunday, honestly, and your fantasy lineup decisions that kind of unfold the same way. And look, I'm as much of a true football sicko as anyone. I really think I could sit here and convince you there's a fantasy football must start to love and a storyline to follow in every single game on a slate because I really, really do believe that. But again, the reality is you only have so much screen space on a Sunday. You only have so many starting lineups out there. So with all that in mind, because I know TJ feels this as well, game environment is the foundational starting point in making lineup decisions. We're going to sit here and we're going to break down each game on the slate into these three categories, binge, stream, and skip for the just to get this all out of the way the games you want to binge. Those are like the show that you can't miss. You're watching as soon as it's live. And you may just crush all the episodes in one weekend. These are the kind of start all your guys fantasy games and the ones with season defining storylines. The games you want to stream. Those are like the shows you certainly will watch probably start to finish, but you know, maybe you're skipping it over a few the courses of a week. You know, maybe your there's a couple days that'll go by. You're not going to sit down and watch them all in one sitting. These may not feature all must starts, but we can pick and choose our spots to find valuable plays. And these teams are likely going to matter in the grand scheme of the playoff picture come December. And lastly, the games you want to quote skip every week. You know, those are kind of the shows that you're leaning towards passing on. You know, you might be able to catch an episode here and there. You may just stick to reading the recaps online honestly to stay up with the cultures and to be able to pay attention to the memes. You know, these are like there's not going to be a ton of players to start, but there's going to be a non obvious player or two that we need to highlight that stand out. But overall, these aren't the best environments for fantasy football and may only feature one. If that true contender. So TJ, does that all make sense now that we've laid out here? Yeah, my only contention would be speak for yourself with the limited screen space. If your living room doesn't look like a sports book, I don't think you're trying hard enough. How many how many TVs do you have? I rock with three screens, not including the laptop. So four altogether. Okay, fair enough. Yeah. Now that I have my own office here in our new house, I did say this with ecler a couple episodes ago. I've got the main TV, the side TV. I'm going to turn this screen around. So I'm with you. I'm going to try to rival you. But listen, we not not everybody is as blessed as us out there. So people who have to make decisions. Yeah, I mean, living alone is a single guy helps. I don't have to contend with anybody asking me why why the wall is covered in screens. All right. Well, with all of that out of the way, let's dive into the week one fantasy football viewers guide here. That's really the fittest football viewer guys preview of the week. That's what it's going to be. All right. So binge is our first group of categories here. The games we want to binge starting with. I think we got a start right here at one PM Eastern CBS Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns. The Bengals are two and a half point favorites. We've got a nice 48 and a half point over under TJ. What stands out to you in this game as we head into the end and actually, you know, before we do that, just week one in general, when we come into week one, it's different than every other week because we've literally not seen these teams yet. We're doing a lot more guesswork. So just kind of before we go into the specific game, like process wise, how do things change for you going to week one? I'm trying to kind of stick to what we worked on all off season understanding players that we think are going to break out. Offices that we trust. Not being overwhelmed by week one, right? Not looking at the guy that scores three touchdowns and saying, oh, he is he's the fantasy all star this year. Paying attention to usage things like routes, things like snaps, targets, not necessarily fantasy points because those things don't always come into fruition like we hope. But the usage is huge. And that goes from the player level to the team level. How much are our teams passing in these neutral situations? How much are they running? 11 personnel things like this. So those are the big takeaways we could take away from week one are those types of things. I mean, just looking at scores and fantasy points can get us trapped a little bit, I think. Yeah, I totally agree. And that's a look again, it's difficult because we don't have that true route run data, right? Like we don't have the playing time data going into this week. But I think we have, I think we're better than ever, honestly, about trying, about predicting that stuff, going to week one and having a few for it. So just kind of wanted that disclaimer out of the way for the people first. So back to this specific game here, Cincinnati bangles at Cleveland Browns. How are we feeling about this one? Well, it's funny. This starts as a bench because the NFL is really good at doing schedules, especially for week one. So we actually don't really have a lot of shootouts on this early slate. Like they're either on the afternoon slate or in prime time. But this one, I think there is a lot of obviously players were going to be playing in this game on the bangles. We know we have the big passing game with TN Jamar. We're starting those guys, same with Joe Mixin, like they kind of told us what they are going to do with their backfield. The bangles did. So on the bangles side, like we kind of know what we're doing there, right? We drafted those guys to start them. The brown side, I think, is really interesting because we have Nick Chubb. But are they going to keep pace with the bangles in the past game? And if so, this could be a very early tell of how good this Brown's offense, especially the passing game is going to be Dishon Watson now finally has a full off season with the team. We know who a Mario Cooper is, but they brought in Elijah Moore and we got underrated players in DPJ and then even David and Joku. So I'm really interested to see how this passing game goes because I think most fantasy players are starting the obvious guys. But this Brown's passing game is what I'm really interested in seeing this week. Yeah, it feels like there's a like if you have Joe Burr, you're playing him, you're playing the Cincinnati receivers, at least the top two guys for sure, and you're playing the running back and then you're playing the running back on the other side. There's enough guys there, I think to put this in the binge category. But there are sort of these fringier players where it's, I think you got to be and you're probably starting to Mario Cooper too. Like I don't think you should be making one decisions about a Mario Cooper. He should be like your wide receiver too. You probably drafted it to be that guy. I think you can go ahead and plug him in. But the other receivers and the other guys on this on this list, whether it's David and Joker, whether it's Elijah Moore. I think this is more of a wait and see spot. The Bengals defense, you know, last year, their eighth and EPA allowed per play, their seventh and defensive success rate. It's not the cleanest runout for Deshawn Watson or for for guys like Elijah Moore, these fringier players. I think, look, I love Elijah Moore. I think he's gonna have a huge role on this team. But I think he's a wait and see guy and with you there and Deshawn Watson, I don't know that you need to go down to like, all right, let me play Sam Howell who we'll talk about later or something like that. But if you have like a really viable streamer, like if you have a Daniel Jones or a Geno Smith type alternative, I might even consider playing them over Watson in this game. And that's why I think this is such an important game to watch because people were drafting Watson like he was going to be a fantasy starter depending on your league. He was going, you know, as high as as six or seven sometimes if somebody really liked him, but definitely being drafted in the top 12. At four for four, we haven't ranked as the QB 16 this week. So you drafted this guy into starter and you probably spent a single digit round pick on him and now bigger maybe not even started him. So I think this is a really important game for a lot of drafters from from that perspective. Yeah, I'm with you. That was my problem with Watson too is like, are you look at his overall his consensus ADP action on four for four, I referenced this tool all the time. Like there's a he's in a weird no man's land where 50 third overall was Trevor Lawrence and then 87th overall was two down to DAC and her cousins Daniel Jones. And those guys are all kind of stacked right there and Watson was just sort of weirdly in the middle 76th overall player off the board. And yeah, that that does say like he's sort of closer to those ladder guys, you know, the former guys there and Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence. And I just you're again, you're right here in week one and you're already like, I don't even know if I could start this guy. Like should I should I go with their current cousins, you know, against Tampa Bay. So I go with the Daniel Jones. It's it's a little bit of a tough spot. But all right, let's move on to a different game here in the binge category. These are the ones that are later and the NFL definitely set us up here. Like you said, they're good at making the schedule. We kind of have a banger, a bunch of banger games here in week one starting at 425 Eastern. We've got the Miami Dolphins at the L.A. Chargers. The charges are three point favorites. A beefy 50.5 over under this certainly is a little bit more so even then the last game may start all your guys type of contest. Yeah. And on Miami, we know what we're getting, right? The past game is going to be very concentrated between Tyrie and Jalen Waddle that goes all the way back to the beginning of last year. The backfield is a little tricky because we have Jeff Wilson else. So the information we get in week one from that backfield might not tell us the whole story. We don't know what it's going to look like. Jeff Wilson comes back. The big storyline here is the Chargers with Kellin Moore as a play caller. Justin Herbert was hurt last years, offensive line was hurt last year. White receivers were hurt last year. The big thing everybody talked about. Oh, Justin Herbert's average depth of target fell off a cliff last year. Does Kellin Moore have them pushing it down the field more if that happens? Does that mean Austin necklace suddenly getting less targets? I'm interested to see exactly how they really like deep down the fantasy depth chart. How does the Joshua Palmer, Quentin Johnson, White receiver three play out? And do we see any change in those short A dot roles are Mike Williams and Keenan Allen rotating between perimeter and slot? I really want to see how Kellin Moore is using Justin Herbert. Again, like the previous game, we're starting our studs, but guys like Quentin Johnson, guys like Gerald Everett. How are they getting used in this more in this Kellin Moore offensive? I really can't wait to see that part. Yeah, Kellin Moore historically great. You know, I'm not going to sit here and say like, well, don't judge at this many targets. So let's just paste that to Gerald Everett. That's not what we're talking about, but the packages they used with tight ends were really interesting in Kellin Moore's offense and Dallas. And I think that's the one thing. It's sometimes I say it's tough to split between what was Mike McCarthy and what was Kellin Moore, but I think that is more Kellin Moore stuff. So if you're in trouble at tight end this week, I, you know, like Mark Andrews is coming in banged up. You know, there's some tight end injuries across the board. Obviously, we are recording this before Thursday night football. So I don't know if Travis Kelsey has played in this game, but hypothetically, like even Gerald Everett is a guy that I think you could throw out there as a potential streaming option in this high scoring game. Like these are the type of things in these binge games. Like, all right, if you shouldn't be quite so banged going into week one, but if you're banged, typically, like these are the guys you could look for sleepers for. And just overall, again, I know we are starting pretty much all of the main guys in this past game, but I guarantee you TJ, this is going to be a narrative defining matchup here, because coming out of it right like last year when these two teams played, Brandon Staley had a great defensive game plan. You know, I think the 49ers had kind of pitched a nice heater against the Dolphins the week prior. I think Staley even more so had a great game plan to take away that middle of the field RPO heavy offense that Miami had been like just mowing people down with. Even to the point that I've seen Mike McDaniel and press conferences be like, oh, the Brandon Staley plan. Like he's even kind of like rolling it, getting frustrated at it, right? Because that's the people don't talk about the Dolphins offenses. They started to hit these speed bumps, even before to his last concussion of the year that took him out. So, you know, does the Dolphins offense kind of solve the charges defense? Which on paper is still, you know, it'd be great if Joey Boas is 100%, but I don't think this is a defense. We're totally, totally afraid of, but Brandon Staley is a good game player. And on the flip side, you mentioned, right, we're all excited about the A.Bump that's allegedly coming for Justin Herbert. But these two high defenses have been, you know, the wave in shutting these high flying vertical passing games down. And the Dolphins didn't just go get like some cast off from that tree. They got the dude in Vic Fangio. They paid him a bat to come there. So this is going to be a narrative defining matchup to me. Yeah. And I think also from that perspective. And again, going back to like, we can get a lot of information from looking at these rookies, back to Quentin Johnson, and both Devina Chen on the other side. If they come out and their usage is way higher than we expect, that tells us a lot. If they're just kind of rotating in, like they could still break out later in the year. A lot of rookies get eased in. But if those two guys come out and their usage is huge, that tells us a lot about that narrative. And one final thing. Does Miami get a third pass catcher in the mix? I mean, how we just never happen last year? So do we see like a Braxton burials get like a 15% target share or something like that? Because that could be have some fantasy relevance, at least for looking ahead to waver wire type ideas, because there was just no number three last year. 100%. I know there is one big name that we didn't have a big name, but a guy that people are very curious. So we did not talk about here in this game. Stay tuned to the very end of the podcast when TJ and I give out our smart decision flex place of the week. But moving on to the next game here, a primetime banger, baby Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, NBC, Sunday night football. Cowboys are three and a half point favorites. We got a nice 45 and a half overrunner. One thing I'll say here, TJ, this looks like a cool fun fantasy game, but that Cowboys defense coach could show up here and really muck things up here. Yeah, they are arguably the best defense in the league. And that makes me nervous because two guys that I was very, very high on this offseason were Daniel Jones and Darren Waller. And I want to see if Darren Waller, and we saw that hype after the preseason, right after he had a couple games where he was just getting the monster target share, which we assumed would happen, but saw that ADP bump does that come into fruition in the regular season. And then after that, I mean, where do the targets go after Darren Waller? It's kind of been anybody's guess. And on the Cowboys side, I mean, Mike McCarthy coming out early in the offseason, saying he wants to run the damn ball. I mean, they already had a pretty high run rate last year. But does that impact everybody beyond CDLAM? We expect CD to get his. We're assuming Tony Pollard, if they are this run the damn ball team, Tony Pollard just gets all of those touches. But after CDLAM, Brandon Cooks, was he a good signing? Do we have a usable tight end in Jake Ferguson? And what does Michael Gallup look like, finally 100% off of that ACL a couple of years ago? Right. The Brandon Cooks thing, I don't know that he's definitely on the Flex radar for sure. I think this defense overall, like they have a Dory Jackson in the secondary, Deontay Banks is a rookie. They're a very aggressive, very blitz happy man coverage defense. I could see if they get in any sort of single high looks, or they bring a guy down to deal with the run game, right? Or CDLAM, guess that extra attention in the slot. I could see Brandon Cooks. If you're playing any sort, you know, you're doing player props. You're doing any sort of like single game daily fantasy contest. He might be an interesting guy as like a vertical big play option. So wouldn't say he's on the must start category, but that particular matchup is really interesting to me. And man, you know, just on the giant side. Yeah, it's it's kind of straightforward. I think Daniel Jones is like, again, if we're doing in the Geno Smith sort of tier, I think I like Geno better. We'll talk about that game later. But I think you can still get away with him just from the rushing perspective. There should be some floor there, although this isn't one of the best runouts for Daniel Jones. And I'm not really messing around with any receivers, but it's going to be a big like learning moment in week one. Yeah, that's going to be the biggest takeaway. You just can't start a giant's receiver at this point. But again, if we see a really big route disparity with one of the guys or obviously a target disparity that is going to tell us a lot. But though the route participation, especially because those targets can be slanted a little bit just based on some coverage and defensive things we see. 100% and yeah, I really like Darren Waller. Again, not the best runout in the world for him, right? The Cowboys typically like they're pretty good at shutting down tight ends. They only one touchdown allowed last year to the position. But Darren Waller was drafted as a top five, often at the position, especially by the very end. So you're still playing him this week if you have him. All right, next game up here. Buffalo builds at New York Jets on Monday Night Football. Talk about a narrative defining game. That's for sure. Over under 46 and a half, the bills are two and a half point home favorites for the Buffalo bills. Man, I love the bills this year. They're my Super Bowl pick. I think this offense can take yet another step. Despite the fact that TJ, they were second in EPA per play last year with Josh Allen dealing with an elbow injury. So man, I think I can't wait to see what the bills look like. And obviously there's a huge reveal on the other side of the field too. I mean, the crazy thing about Josh Allen is he's from a passing perspective. He still hasn't had that outlier year in terms of like touchdown rate. We've seen Lamar patch of my homes. On the other side are our guy Aaron Rogers like eight, nine percent touchdown rates. Josh Allen hasn't had a year like that yet. So I mean, he still has like a beyond Josh Allen nuclear year coming up, I think, but there is a lot of question marks in this game because on both sides, we've had a lot of like fringe starter fantasy players starting on the Buffalo side. What what's going on with the past catchers after Stefan digs gave Davis. I think is was one of my biggest post hyped sleepers going into the season. I think people are drafting him below his floor last year. You talked about him a lot on reception reception. Like not necessarily one trick pony, but he's not going to be a 120 130 target guy. But but with a good touchdown right now. And I think he has like solid wide receiver to upside. What's the tight end situation going to look like? Obviously we're talking about Dalton Kidcade kind of having that slot role. But Dawson Knox could be on the field 70 75% of the time if they're running them out there together. And then that backfield and Buffalo man. I mean, everybody wants it to be James Cook. But if he really only is the between the 20 guy, you're really going to need a lot of PPR value out of him. And then Aaron Rogers. I mean, went from MVP level to barely fantasy starter level last year. What does that look like this year? And is there anybody beyond Garrett Wilson that that we're playing? And then again, backfield questions there. There are a lot of questions to be answered in this game. Again, starting our studs except for maybe people are trepidations about starting. Breeze Hall this week, even though they're drafting him in the third or fourth round. Yeah, that's that's the thing here is if you've got an all I know you drafted Breeze Hall in like the fourth round or fifth round. And typically, you know, you're just going to start that guy like you go. Okay, the team I drafted is probably just a team I'm going to go ahead and play here in week one. But I think if you drafted Breeze Hall, you should have been looking at the Rahim Mosterts or the Jamal Williams. You should have been looking at like a, you know, even a Samaj P Ryan type who we'll talk about way later in this show. You know, shoot like a little Herbert, right? Like again, we'll highlight these guys throughout the show. But I think you should have been prepared for some sort of alternative like that. Yeah, I mean, I think if you have, if you're in a two running back with the Flex League, I think you're probably starting Breeze Hall still. I mean, we have him kind of in a no man's land as as running back 32. But I think I'm still starting him over the James Connors, the Isaiah Pacheco's like kind of in that range Brian Robinson. Especially in this game where there could be a lot of scoring potential. But it's a tough spot, man, because you drafted him like he had running back one potential. And now you're talking about sitting in week one. It's it's brutal. Yeah, again, I think it's just something you had to be prepared for. Like you, you should have known going into this. You should have had the stomach for less. I got to, I got to maybe take this a couple of weeks, right? Yeah. And that had to be part of like your draft plan, right? With the past game on both sides. Yeah, we know what we're doing in Buffalo. You know, Gabe Davis, I'm with you. Like I think he is a post type sleeper because he's not, he's not terrible. He just has a very limited skill set. I could see that very limited skill set in this game either going both directions. Like I think he kind of encapsulates the entire game where I could see this game. Turning into a high flying, you know, multiple point like back and forth sort of a fair. Yeah. I could also see it being sort of a, you know, 21 to 14 type of game or 20 to 17 type of game. You know, because both these defense are supposed to be pretty good on the Jets defense, though. This is a unit that was really good last year. They weren't like elite elite against the run, right? Like they were 17th and EPA, we're rushing EPA allowed, you know, they allowed 85 catches. So running backs, you know, six, only 630 yards. But again, there was ways like if that aggressive past rush was there, you know, maybe James Cook is a guy that gets a lot of check downs. I kind of think James Cook goes a guy came around to a lot, even though typically I don't love those between the 20 backs. But I just think he's so far ahead of Davis Murray or Damien Harris or any of these guys that if you're in a spot with a running back too, I think he's at least interesting to me in this one. Yeah, and I also think the between the 20s thing can get overblown. I mean, especially within the flow of the game, but if you got your running back cooking a little bit, it's not just like they crossed the 20 yard line and magically Damien Harris comes in. You know, with those, those quote unquote goal line backs, you know, maybe he steals, you know, like five or six. Touches that should be going his way, but this people act like James Cook is just never going to be in when they're inside the five yard line. And that's just not how teams operate. Right, especially if they're throwing the ball down there. I think you will. In the mixer, but yeah, I mean, I could see this game going either way. It's one of the games that it has to be in the binge category because it's a must watch game. And there are so many big name players. And lastly, just expectations on Garrett Wilson. Where did you come down on him from a redraft perspective? I'll tell you what, TJ, I'm in a legal betting state now. You know, I'm a law of binding character. All right. Okay. I'm a straight and narrow type of guy. Totally. That's 100% me. I had some fun with Garrett Wilson at sports book this morning. I'll tell you that. I'm very, very high on Garrett Wilson this year. I'm a redraft perspective. I just didn't end up with a lot of him because I was taking a monitor out there every single time when I could. Okay. But I mean, I had him right. Well, probably pretty comfortably ahead of Devonte. And then usually taking him over CD when I had that decision. So yeah, I mean, I'm pretty on the Garrett Wilson trade. He is, he's just a dog. Yeah, he's a dog. He's just the more you think about him and Aaron Rogers. Like what Aaron Rogers likes a guy that like Devonte Adams going to get off the line cleanly. I've talked about his success rate versus press a ton and how that's a historical sort of great indicator for him for Garrett Wilson. The way he, you know, wins over the middle of the field. Rogers just didn't have anybody that could do that last year in Green Bay. But he loves to work with that type of player. I just think it's Garrett Wilson of the moon. And I'm with you that like, I didn't get a ton of him in drafts. Not because I didn't want him but shoot because everybody else wants Garrett Wilson. So I was like, you know what? Let me get some exposure to to sweat Garrett Wilson all year long. So that's a, you know, there's a lot of different ways you could take the bite out of the apple in fantasy. Absolutely. Yeah. And I don't, I'm pretty cool on on any secondary pass catcher. Like I'm sure that there will be guys that get theirs in New York. But it does just, like you said, it does feel like kind of old school Aaron Rogers Devonte. I mean, Garrett Wilson is, he could easily lead the league and targets this year. Did you see they worked out Kenny Galaday yesterday? Oh, man. Oh, man. What are we doing? What are we doing? Dude, I'm so stupid that part of me was like, you know what? Is Kenny Galaday into, is he? No, listen, listen, listen. Let me, let me explain. I just like think this guy was actually really good in Detroit. And just, did he just stop trying after signing a contract? Will he, will he try again? I don't know. I don't want, I don't want to like assume anything, but it was a bet. It was definitely a goofball contract that Dave Gettelman handed out to him. But damn, dude, I don't know. It's just, it was at least mildly like, okay, I raised my brother. Speaking, speaking of betting states, if they brought him, I will take the cobside of Cobb versus Galaday. You know what? That's probably the good, that's probably good advice. That's good advice from TJ right here. That's why he's here in week one. So that I don't, I don't go on a Kenny Galaday so little for five minutes. My God. Like I said at the top, I am a true football sicko, okay? So I could see the bright side and anything. But there is no better time than right now as I'm bringing up Kenny Galaday to take a quick break when we come back. I'm a week removed from tweeting positive Eleanor Robinson takes again. So I can't be too mad at you. Well, then you know what? We definitely need to take a break because I actually will, I will go down that rabbit hole with you, my friend. And in that case, like I said, let's take a quick break. So maybe TJ and I can, can center ourselves here when we come back. We'll get into the games we are streaming this week. 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Let's get started with Tempe Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings. One PM Eastern Vikings are six point favorites. Over under is 45 and a half. TJ, this game is like, I know there are, there are guys on the bucks. I don't know about you, but I was like all the way out on this Bucks offense this year. I think I drafted maybe a little bit of a short white. I didn't touch this past game with Baker Mayfield. It didn't get any better with Mike Evans basically saying he has one foot out the door going into the season. But I mean, they were, they were being drafted in the single digit rounds. Both of the past catchers in Tampa Bay or shot wiping drafted and single digit rounds in Tampa Bay. So the thing that you're going to be looking at on that side is that, do they have any type of juice whatsoever on the Viking side? I mean, we know what we're getting with Justin Jefferson. But then after that, does TJ Hawkinson's target share carryover or do we immediately see, I mean, going back to these rookies, so many rookies to just look at in week one, just draw Madison come in and definitively have that wider sea ritual does that cut into TJ Hawkinson's target share. And then I mean, people were cool on Alexander Madison. But there's not really a lot of information that says we shouldn't be bullish on Madison. I mean, the only thing that is maybe a negative is that Vikings were very pass heavy under Kevin O'Connell. And they ran very good in one score game. So like, you know, are there some game script concerns? And maybe is this a possible week one upset? We usually see one big upset there. Like, does Minnesota come out flat? But yeah, basically for this one, for me, is it is Tampa Bay a little bit better than awful? And what does Jordan, Madison look like? I'm glad you brought up Alexander Madison, too, because the profile that he has, I get there are holes in it, right? I ended up drafting a decent bit of him as my as like a running back to if I waited on that spot. Because there are a lot of people like you said that I guarantee you there are going to be week one victory laps on Alexander Madison. If he goes out there and has like, you know, 17 carries for 50 scoreless yards or something like that. There will be a bunch of analysts ready to take that victory lap. But again, we can project this dude for like 17 carries here in week one. And his team is a six point home favorite. But that's the type of back that from a DFS perspective or shoot. Like again, if you were making lineup decisions between Madison and somebody else in your flex, those are very good indicators for him here in week one. Yeah, I'm oddly high on Madison this week. I thought he would project better whether it be at four for four or across the industry, not projecting that great. I don't know if that's just a lot of people projecting their preseason priors into their week one projections. But Tampa Bay was a past funnel last year. They were stronger against the run last year, but I mean, if Madison is going to not be giving up to touches to tie Chandler and going to be in a good spot, going to be healthy and going to get used like, this is about as good of a spot as he's going to get. So yeah, I mean, I'm pretty high on Madison this this week. I don't think too many people are thinking about sitting in him if you drafted him. But I think he has like weak winning potential this week. I think I could say the same thing for Jordan Addison who right now on bet MGM, player prop of 38 and a half receiving yards, because of that. Yeah, that seems low because of that past funnel. I don't mean right now, but because of that past funnel defense of Tampa Bay was last year, as you mentioned, that makes me really raise an eye. Like if Jordan Addison comes out here and has six catches for 85 yards or, you know, even more than that and like a touchdown or something, I wouldn't be surprised if he gets himself off to it a nice start. I think he's a good flex play. Yeah, we haven't projected as the White receiver 37 and a half PPR scoring. So that's right in that flex range. But I mean, we have them behind Skymore, Michael Pittman, Brandon Cook, George Pickens. I would say I'm starting him over at least more and Pittman, maybe even cooks. Yeah, I think that's fair as much as I like Pittman. We'll talk about that game again towards the end of the podcast. All right. Next game up here. Tennessee Titans at Norland Saints, one PM Eastern CBS, St. John three point home favorites, 41 and a half over under. That is not very high because this this game. This is one of those two good run defenses, two good running teams. DJ, this damn game could be over in two and a half hours. But I ask you this. I think we know what we're kind of dealing with on the Tennessee side. If you have anything you want to throw out there, you know, let definitely go for it. But I've got a lot of questions about Jamal Williams this week. And I mentioned him earlier on the show. It's a rough spot. It's about as bad of a run out as you could get for Jamal Williams in week one. But number one, if you drafted Jamal Williams, you drafted him to play him in the first three weeks. And two, Kendrick Miller's got a hamstring. He seems unlikely to go. He's going to get like, I mean, certainly 15 touches at the bear bear minimum. Yeah, I mean, I don't know if I could say I'm a sucker for volume because it's usually smart to follow the volume. But we were drafting. We were excited to draft him to play him early in the year because Alvin Camaro was going to be out. And that was with the knowledge that Kendrick Miller was going to be around. Now Kendrick Miller has the hamstring issue. And we're going to get all the work to Jamal. I mean, I know the Titans or at least they were a past funnel last year. If that carries over, um, Saints are home favorites. And I mean, I, you know, maybe take some ruins. This for me and steals the goal line opportunities. But I'm willing to take that risk. I mean, I'm, I'm starting Jamal Williams as a running back to and really not thinking about it. I'm right there with you, man. You know, there are definitely guys you could break ties with with him. But I think he's going to, when I do final rankings, he's going to be kind of in the starting range. And the rest of the game, like I said, I think it's very simple. You start Chris Olavi. He's in a great spot. Talk about another young receiver. I'm extremely excited about. And then on Tennessee, yeah, obviously we're playing Derek Henry. We're doing that. And then passing game, you know, Deandre Hopkins is probably like a low end wide receiver to this week. And, you know, I think you've got to be in a bit of a rough spot to start trailing Berks. And, you know, I think you're, you're juggling Chigo Quanco with like these other tight ends that are low end tight at ones. Yeah. Chigs projecting pretty well. Kind of my general philosophy on, on those like fringe starter tight ends. As like the reason they're fringe starters is because they don't have a lot of projectable volume. So I'm more touchdown chasing. If I'm streaming these guys. And I mean, the, I mean, the touchdown upside is pretty, pretty small for chick. So I, I don't think I'm touching chick this week. If I have other options. If it makes any difference to the Saints have longed under Dennis Allen have been great, you know, kind of stopping those tight ends. Because they have good, good coverage linebackers, good safeties there. They allowed the fewest yards of position last year. All right. Next one up here. San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh dealers. One PM Eastern game on Fox. 49ers are two and a half point long road trip favorites. Measily 41 point over under Nick Bosa. Signs just in time. To play in this game. These are two offenses. I'm very excited about TJ. But these are also two perhaps of the best five defenses in pro football this year. Yeah. That's, that's the tough thing here for me. I mean, as far as like a deep sleeper passing offense Pittsburgh is one that I talked about all off season. We saw somebody. We saw some progression from from Kenny Pickett late. Everybody knows about the Diancé Johnson regression and his zero touchdowns on a million targets. But I want to see, you know, I mean, again, if Kenny Pickett struggles here, that doesn't mean the Steelers can't still be this breakout offense because obviously it is really tough spot. I'm a little opposite than you on the 49ers. And not because I don't think they could be good. But I mean, we were just paying such a price. Because I don't think they could be good. But I mean, we were just paying such a premium for this offense. We were paying single digit round ADPs on everybody in the offense. And relatively high ADPs. I mean, I just thought somebody is going to not live up to expectations. And so much of this projection is from what Brock pretty did down the stretch. And the way I look at it is Brock pretty kind of had like some unsustainable success. And on a very limited sample, less than 200 attempts and over a seven percent touchdown rate. Like, that's not just going to happen. Kittles not just going to score, you know, five touchdowns and five games or whatever was. So I'm a little nervous about how San Francisco plays out. Even down to CMC, we saw him like with a 65% touch share when Elijah Mitchell was healthy. And talk this late in August about the San Francisco sitting CMC more than the Panthers did because they want to keep him fresh. So I'm actually pretty nervous about the San Francisco offense. And I want to see what they do look like against a good defense. No, listen, those are all fair points. You know, Purdy, I think obviously is a tough guy to project. I did kind of sort of settle on Kittles being the guy that I think takes the step back here. I agree. I rank Darren Waller. And I love George Kittles, right? I mean, he's been on the podcast. He's the man. One of the best like two way tight ends, I think really of all time. But when you just look at the career arc of where these guys are, I think, you know, McCaffrey still in his prime, Debo's in his prime, Ayuk, I think is still ascending. I mean, who's the one guy I was on? Yes. I mean, same. Same. This is a very pro brand in Ayuk podcast, of course. And I actually like Ayuk this week, too. You know, this is a secondary that lost players in the offseason. They add Patrick Peterson, who's, you know, I mean, he's probably like as old as you at this point, which is super old. There were 25 last year in passing success rate. They didn't have TJ Watt for a ton of the season. But Ayuk, I think could get loose a couple times in this game. But yet, it's definitely, I think this is going to be one of the games that like might lead to the most overreaction after we want on both these offenses. I agree. And I mean, look, the overrunner's telling us like, right, like this isn't going to be fireworks. We're going to need to have a little bit of patience here. I mean, the good thing on the steeler side is like we weren't drafting a lot of these guys to be slam dunk starters. Nobody was going, you know, in the, like sometimes we would see, you know, picking slip into maybe like the fifth round or something like that. But for the most part, we're drafting these guys as French starters flex plays. So we shouldn't be like overly disappointed. But I agree, we should have some patience here on both of these teams. Yeah, we'll see the upside case for the Steelers at some point. It's probably not going to be here in week one. Yeah. Next game up here, Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens 1 p.m. Eastern time game. Ravens are heavy 10 point favorites with an overrunner of 43 and a half. TJ, you were the first one of the first people in the industry really hammering like implied team totals. And what do you think this team total is implying about about the Houston Texans? It's telling us everything that that we expected coming into the season. I just, I know, you know, we got some of that tank del hype in the preseason. I mean, are we, are we really excited about a wide receiver three on one of the worst teams in the league? One of the worst pass. Maybe, maybe wide receiver three, man. I mean, like, yeah, exactly. Maybe, you know, Noah Brown might play more than him to start the year. And I'm not saying I'm like, let me pull up Noah Brown's reception perception. But I'm just saying, you know, that that hype train was one of the most like preseason brain hype trains ever. Ever. So, I mean, I, I guess if we see Damien appears to have a good game in horrible gamescript that tells us something, but he's not a player I was touching. The biggest storyline here for me, and I think the obvious one is the wide receiver target share on the Ravenside. We know Mark Andrews is going to get his, you know, Richard Bateman, a little hobbled all of preseason. And then Odell hasn't played in almost two years. So I think I, I would like to see Zay flowers come out again, more rookie wide receiver talk. Big surprise. I would like to see Zay flowers come out and and run 90% of the routes and command like 20 to 25% of the targets. If you could do that, I'll be really excited. But the, this is one of these tricky spots. We're going to have to look at target share. If, if this comes, becomes a blowout, look at target share when the game was still relevant, right? Kind of a preseason mindset. Yeah. I don't know that I'm rushing to play any of these Ravens receivers outside of like bunch of like multi start wide receiver type leagues, like maybe then I'll throw Odell out because he's the one guy I think is going to be on the field for, you know, like 90% of the snaps and stuff like that. But I think there's also risk that the Texans maybe not in week one, but eventually by the end of the year become a little bit of a run funnel defense. Because I, I actually like a lot of these young passing game players for the Houston Texans like in the past defense sense. But the run defense not as much. So I think this could be a big JK Dobbins week who's a guy didn't draft very much of, but am interested in in week one. I mean, he was being, you know, again, like he was drafted as an RB two, but we haven't projected as the RB 15 and half PPR, which is pretty high. This week and I agree I think he can have a monster game a little bit of like early in the off season. We thought maybe Gus bus could be cutting into his workload. It seems like Gus ever probably is going to have the role. Maybe some of us expected early in the year. So I mean, I could see JK to obviously Lamar is going to take a lot of the rushing, but just from a backfield touch share. I could see Dobbins being a 70% backfield touch share guy, which is very, very hot. Yeah, and lastly, us Nico Collins bros. Well, we're going to have to exercise patience here. This thing angle happened here week one, even though Marlon Humphrey's banged up, I was probably going to happen here week one. We got to wait a little bit on this one. Next game up here, Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears 425 Eastern, the Bears are one point home favorites. It's a 42 over under TJ. I honestly considered after the news that like Christian Watson missed practice. A little bit this week, you know, Romeo Dobbins miss. I honestly almost considered dropping this down to the skip tier. But yeah, we'll keep we'll keep it here. And you know, again, I think you're going to have to probably monitor all the way up until like later in the week on the status of these wide receivers. And dude, if those two guys don't go is my is my man, Jaden Reed. I love Jaden. He's he going to get like 10 targets in week one in his first NFL game. Is he going to get 10 targets or the Packers going to be all of a sudden this team that's giving like 65% of their touches to the running backs? I mean, what one thing that kind of made me an again, I don't know how much truth was to this rumor, but that the Packers were like the secret team that was interested in Jonathan Taylor. And if there was any truth to that, they already have two good running backs. And they were thinking about bringing in Jonathan Taylor. That kind of tells me that they have plans to use their running backs like crazy. And if I mean, if that happens, like, I think if that had happened, I feel like I feel like they'd have to have send AJ Dylan or something back to the Colts. Maybe, maybe or. But if you're Aaron Jones, by the way, are you like, yeah, I took a contract like cut to come back here? Yeah, I'm with you. It's I think it does say that. Yeah. So I mean, I think it kind of no matter how it plays out, I kind of think this is the game we learned that both running backs have big value. And we're really lucky if you get anything out of the Packers passing game. And really on both sides, we're going to be lucky if we get anything out of the passing game. Yeah, that's fair. It's a good spot for these running backs too in Green Bay. The Bears were dead last in rushing a success rate allowed. They were dead last in dropback success rate allowed, but they were also a pretty rough run defense as well. And the Packers too have historically been more of a run funnel defense. If anything, I'm interested to see if that's any different this year because they have so many young defensive players. But I mean, for the Bears offense, we'll talk about Clill Herbert in our final Flex segment spoiler alert. But yeah, I'm not too gasped up about the Justin Fields DJ more connection here in week one. Yeah, here's one for you. We were talking about, you know, that that Jets game earlier is a must watch in the backfield. I would go out on the limb and say I got AJ Dylan over both Jets running backs this week. I like that call. That's a that makes a lot of sense. And again, he's somebody I think you could break ties in favor of as your Flex spot player. Yeah, they're going to be this is another game that could be over in like two and a half hours, man, these two teams, especially if Christian Watts is not out there. This is going to be a pound the rock type of game and it might be that anyways. Yeah, and speaking of you talked about props are there. It was so funny. Everybody was talking about Justin Fields, you know, coming out and the Bears having a better pass game this year. I think his passing attempt prop came out at like 22 and a half. So good luck. Good luck with that, guys. Good luck with that one. All right. Next game up here LA Rams at Seattle Seahawks for 25 Eastern start time. It's a five and a half line in favor of the Seattle Seahawks 46 point over under. Yeah, this is this is definitely a one team is getting them in the in the stream category. And it's the Seattle Seahawks who apparently are going to have rookie wide receiver Jackson Smith and Jig about there. Yeah, and this is another game where I think we're going to have to take the data we get with a bit of grain assault. Obviously, if Cooper Cup comes back in any realistic window, whatever the Rams do is not going to be reflective of what they're going to be for this entire year, whether it be target shares or them just being good or not. With that said, if there is a guy that I do like on that side, it's Tyler Higby on the Seahawks side. Again, take things a little bit with the grain assault. I was one of the biggest JSN guides this off season. Maybe a little sacrilege on this podcast with Matt Harmon, but had JSN over Tyler Lockett don't tell anybody. But, but how dare you? I do I love JSN, but how dare you? But one of the things that I did think JSN would bring to this offense is them spreading out a lot more with three wide receiver sets and Tyler Lockett and JSN. Like you mentioned, interception perception, maybe being able to rotate that slot and flank roll a bit and switch things up probably in week one with JSN being limited. We don't maybe see those three wide receiver sets 75 80% of snaps like we are hoping for. So, you know, if JSN is a little bit limited, don't just assume that this is what the Seattle office is going to be because I think as he does, you know, get some more reps. Obviously miss some of season preseason and training camp that we do get a little more spread out offense from Seattle than we might, especially if they get up early in this one, just might not have to. So this might just be the Kenneth Walker game to be honest. Yeah, you're right about that. Whatever happens with JSN, like if he does, if he has some kind of two catch for 33 yard game or something like that, you don't, you know, don't be going to drop in him after week one. You got to be patient with JSN coming off that preseason injury. Honestly, it's like a, I'm really surprised he's even supposed to play in this one. I mean, be careful having a surprising injury result. He's usually so honest. He's usually just a straight shooter, man. Much like all of our politicians, a straight shooter guy you can trust. No doubt about it. I've been canceled for saying that. But anyway, yeah, politician. All right, on the, on the ramp side of it to you, I'm with the Tyler Higby is the only guy I'm really interested in here. Like I'd play him over a guy like Chig who we talked about earlier, just because that volume projection is there. And I am, I, I won't be overreacting to it, TJ, but I really am interested to see the roles for Van Jefferson, who I think is a nice, steep sleeper. Probably don't want to be playing him here in week one, but does he run like a route on 90% of the dropbacks, you know, is just puking a kooa date. I'm typically not like banging the drum for day three rookies week one of the NFL season, but I at least like to see if he gets some playing time. Because I could see him being a second half of the year dark horse player. Sure. Sure. Yeah, I mean, I'm, I'm definitely interested in the ancillary guys. I mean, just from a usage perspective, but this just wasn't a day off. And so I was targeting the ancillary guy as much to begin with. And again, who knows what, what their roles look like with Cooper cut because he just comes back and, you know, is a 33% target share guy tough to get some true takeaways on this one. All right. Last group here. This is our skip category. And remember, these are the games. I'm not telling you don't watch these games or don't play anybody in these games. All right. This is a little bit skip, right. But these are these are the shows. Like I said, maybe you tune in once in a while. You catch an episode or two or again, you just keep it up with it because everybody puts these memes out of it. And you never you've never watched an episode of the show. That definitely applies to me for some shows. Okay. People will be using memes from that show. What's that guy? The Tim Robinson or whatever? What's that show? Man, I think you should leave. I think there it is. I've never seen an episode of the show. All I could see was the hot dog being and I couldn't think of the name. Yes, exactly. This is the I think and people are going to piss me because I know they love that show. But I've never seen the show. I'm not really tempted to watch the show. But I need to at least know what it's about because people use freaking memes of it all the time. So that's basically that that is the that is the category of this of this group. That's fair. I mean pop in and you're going to be you're going to be entertained for some time. But then other people are going to be talking about it. And you're going to you're not going to know what the memes from that that's what these things are. That's what these games are here. So let's get it kicked off with Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons 1 p.m. Eastern. Three and a half point favorites are the Atlanta Falcons at home 39 and a half point over under. Listen, there's actually like players in this game. I am excited about like obviously B. John Robinson was a first round fantasy pick and he's involved in this game. My dude Drake London is involved in this game. That's about it though. I just want to see if the Falcons offense is going to be as Uber concentrated as we hope for. And the one guy were scared about that forest Kyle pitch just because we've heard some weird stuff come out from camp. You know him being fourth in targets on the team possibly. But that's not looking at like I think with Desmitter. There's a chance that all three of these guys and the main fans guys B. John Drake London and Kyle pits can not just pay off. But maybe even exceed 80 p if if they're around that 30 to 32 attempt per game mark and the targets are concentrated. I think there's a chance all three of these guys pay off 80 p and that's that's a pretty unpopular opinion. But you're in good company here man because I'm an Arthur Smith bro. I'm a big fan of the way he calls plays and the way I mean, they're not going to be as run heavy as they were last year. Period. Like it's just not going to happen. I don't think he wants it to happen. Even though that's the common knowledge around in fantasy. But I like the way the offense is designed. I think it could be very highly concentrated. So I agree that's that's something to pay attention to. And I'll throw out miles Sanders. The one guy on the Panther side. I think is is outside of deeper formats. Like start multi receiver stuff. I think you can consider Adam Dylan. Although he popped up on the injury report this week. Dude, the pants are so banged up at wide receiver. The Falcons last year, 32nd in Russian success rate allowed. And I think miles Sanders projects for a big role. Now he's healthy off that groin injury. But let's move on to the next game here. Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts. Hey, the Jags are a good team. Maybe do they belong in the I think you should leave tier. The only thing here is I think the Colts might not be carrying their weight in week one with a rookie quarterback. But this one I did struggle with a little bit. Ultimately did put it in the skip category. It's a one PM Eastern game. The Jags are five point favorites. And the over under is 45 and a half. I would I was going to say this is the one game. I think this should have been in the stream tier for the simple fact that I think the week. I want to see if the Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence. Take that leap to the legit like elite rings like the the Justin Herbert type tier. Obviously not just Herbert last year, but you know that that tier of offense and quarter back. I want to see if Jaguars come out and indeed you know with the JT stuff just with injuries. Kind of a roster in shambles a lot of hyper Anthony Richardson. I want to see if Jaguars can come out and just blow the doors off the Colts because I think that they have that kind of potential. And I think we could find out quite a bit about how good this team is going to be even though you know Colts don't look good. If Jaguars come out and absolutely smoke them, I think we are seeing the beginning of a very exciting offense this year and multiple must starts on this team. Yeah, now that you've got me thinking about this right like Calvin Ridley. I took him I think like 40 to one to leave the NFL and receiving yards this year. I love Calvin Ridley. Calvin Ridley is a must start Trevor Lawrence is a must start Travis ETN's a must start Christian Kirk. I think is pretty close to must start territory. Even though there was some spooky preseason usage, you're probably playing Travis ETN at tight end or excuse me. You're probably playing Evan Ingram at tight end. That's five dudes right there. And I mean on the again the Colts are not carrying their weight here. I probably don't want to play Anthony Richardson is first start, but they're fringy. I think you could play Michael Pittman just because I think the volume's there so that's like five and a half must start guys. I'll tell you what TJ if we get real clarity before I publish the article version of this like I mentioned there is going to be an article version of this on Yahoo Sports every week. Please read it. Please continue to justify my employment. I will have this game in the stream category and I will bump down the bears and the packers to the skip category. Let's move on. Let's move on to the next game here that a pit of my epitomizes the the skip category because the Arizona Cardinals aren't. Yeah, the Arizona Cardinals are going to drag down a lot of teams into the skip category, including this one against the Washington commanders. I'm actually really excited like disgustingly excited about the commanders this year. One PM Eastern time start the commanders are seven point home favorites. It's the lowest total of the week. 38 point total TJ any Cardinals here. We can talk a little bit about the commanders here. I know we have one player we're going to talk about in our flex segment, but I like the commanders in this this game and I do not like very many Cardinals in this game. I I can't even touch or even think about the Cardinals. I mean James Conner is going to get like starter level touches, but I mean they might just get smoked here. I want to see John Paulson at four four was calling Sam how arbitrage Anthony Richardson all off season. So I see if if he could be, you know, a fringe starter, maybe even like, you know, if you if you missed out on that, that good to your quarterbacks, maybe even early in the season, you're every week starter. And then I know you got some more to say about the right receivers, but I want to see if one particular road receiver can absolutely ball out this year and maybe make the leap to the wide receiver one status. 100% yeah, we'll save the receiver talk for our flex segment. I'll just say on the running backs. I think Brian Robinson and Anthony give Antonio Gibson excuse me are both viable in this game wouldn't say either as a must start, but I think they're both viable because of the potential game script. Moving on here, Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos 425 PM Eastern Broncos are three and a half point home favorites, the over under is 44. The Raiders, right, we have two must starts here and that that's just going to be the case every single week, right with Devonte Adams and Josh Jacobs. Not surprisingly, you were not in on Devonte Adams this year. I drafted him only once I had him ranked in a decent range, just only ever drafted him once. So I mean, I'm playing him and I'm playing him every week, right? I mean, he's he's a second round pick. He's I think he still projects pretty well with Jimmy G just not quite the ceiling case. Obviously, we know what Jacobs is it's a tough Broncos defense. So this is not the week I think to be messing around with like, Oh, Jacobi Myers is a potential flex play. He's more of like once you get to your bi weeks, you're considering Jacobi Myers. So I'm a big fan of him as a player, but we don't know what this Jimmy G Raiders offense is going to look like. And then on the Broncos side, man, I know there's there's a guy we're going to talk about here in a sec on the Broncos, but anyone else you're interested in on the Denver side. It's our first look at the Sean Payton Russell Wilson marriage, which there was some some little spicy ESPN quotes out this week from Seth Wicker. Shaman Profile did on Sean Payton, where he told Russell Wilson, basically, to stop being a politician, you're not running for office. It's not like his babies and stuff. That's great quote such great quote. I don't know if Patrick Stratan is going to shadow, but I mean Devonte is he's match up proof almost always has been. But you know, getting the start hand treatment is an exciting. I think we're going to find out pretty quick. If like Jimmy Garoppolo does just torpedo this offense. I think there's a chance it happens, man. And you know, you're going to start Devonte and Josh Jacobs. But anyone after that is tough. I think the biggest storyline here is Devonte Williams. I mean, everybody just assumed because of his preseason usage, he's back at full health. It's really we have we're expecting him to be the outlier of outliers if he is coming back at full strength. So full four quarters real game usage. How much is Devonte being used and how effective is yeah, I think that's the biggest storyline of this week with Jerry Judy out. You know, we're going to we're going to look at quote and sentence and mark, quote and sent to Marvin Mims, but their usage is going to again, little bit of a grain of salt because we don't know what it's going to look like with Judy. I think Judy is kind of overrated just from a ADP standard. I like court and something this week. If Russell Wilson does get that deep all magic back. You know, such a stretch it a little bit. And I think I think I think all the past catchers on on Denver cupop if there is any return to even even average for this passing offense. Yeah, I think we could maybe get back to average. That's about it. Sean Peyton did speak about Devonte Williams and said he's going to play a big role. I'm put together a snap number for him, which that's like that tells you basically nothing. And then when he went on to say like, we feel like him and P. Ryan give us. I don't want to say similar backs. And then obviously we have a little different dimension with Julio McLaughlin. Is there undrafted rookie or I think he was undrafted, but he's lesser lesser rookie back. So yeah, man, it's, that is a big storyline. I think if you have P. Ryan and you're in a bit of a bang spot at running back. I don't mind throwing him out this week. Yeah, he's a pretty tough one. He's kind of in that like AJ Dillonish, David Cook range that we were talking about before. I love, I love, love, love P. Ryan, you know, but he's someone that we weren't drafting to start right away. You know, we're drafting him and sometimes double digit round. So I think he's, I think the Broncos are kind of a wait and see for me. I agree. I would love to wait and see on some of these Broncos, but TJ with that we end the podcast with our smart decision flex plays of the week. It's week one. We're going to help you make some smart decisions on who to start in your flex spot this weekend courtesy of nerd wallet. Nerd wallet helps people make smart choices every day with their side by side comparisons of top financial products. TJ, let's do a side by side comparison of our own and chat about a few smart flex options that fantasy managers might be choosing between this Sunday. You start with your two and then I'll give you mine. Absolutely. We talked about the dolphins early in the show. Raheem Mostert against a chargers defense that has typically been quite a big run funnel. I like him to get a lot of touches with Jeff Wilson out. So I am starting Raheem Mostert my flex and back to that game. We just talked about Marvel mims getting back to normal for the Broncos against a Raiders defense. That was very, very bad last year. I think Marvel mims is a target monster in week one. Love both of those plays Raheem Mostert. Man, I have we talked about Breeze Hall earlier in the show. We saved this for him most or suffer the very end man because that is how you start off with that game and you make people wait all the way into the end here the podcast. I have these two guys on a team Breeze Hall and Raheem Mostert. I'm actually going to play Raheem Mostert over Breeze Hall in week one because I feel much better about the usage and the matchup to be honest. My two flex plays here. Number one, we teased them both Clil Herbert from the Chicago Bears backfield. I think we did get pretty good clues and preseason. He's not going to be a feature back. He's not going to be out there every player, anything like that. You know, Rochon Johnson might mix in, especially on third downs, but in this very run heavy slope paced game against a green Bay Packers run defense that again has been pretty rough against the run in the last couple of years. I think Clil Herbert is a flex worthy guy for me this week. And John Dodson is my other one and this one I'm going to say really with my chess man. You know I'm a huge Terry McWorn guy. I love Terry McWorn and if he's playing this week, I am probably okay with playing Terry McWorn. Although I think he should, I think the commanders can beat their Cardinals without Terry McWorn. So I'd love him to give it a minute here. And if he does, whether he's out there or not, John Dodson man is just set up so well. The entire year, he's a guy drafted a ton and weak one man. He's going to run around on 90 plus percent of the dropbacks. He showed last year that he's not just, you know, a slot guy, which some people pigeonhole them as he even outkicked my expectations. The visibility to be pressed coverage last year. It's got great hands to win in contest situations. I think he gets over 50 yards. He gets a touchdown. He's a guy that is one of my top flex plays this week. And number one, White receiver value on four for four for Yahoo DFS leagues this week. Boom. Love it. Yes. Love me some Johan Dodson this week. So all right. Those are smart flex decisions for week one. And when you need to make a financial decision, make it a smart one with nerd wallet. All right, TJ. We did it. We previewed every game. We binged games. We streamed games. We skipped a few, but not really skipped. You know, just again, we kept up with the memes like old I think you should leave or whatever. So I appreciate you doing this with me, man. Like I said at the top, nobody else that I'd rather kick the season off with. Always a pleasure. Happy week one. Really excited to finally get to all the offseason workers for us. Happy week one, everybody. All right. I love it. That's going to do it for us today, folks. Let me know if you like the binge stream skip preview format. Of course, I'm always willing to hear listener feedback. Next time you hear my voice week one minus bills jets. It's going to be in the books, man. We'll be doing a Sunday night recap. That is absolutely electric. I'm so excited that football is back. Be sure to tune in. First thing Monday morning here, Scott Pinaus can I break everything you need to know from Sunday down until then we're out.